Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 160910
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0310 AM CST THU FEB 16 2006
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE
   GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE PERIOD. ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM...A STRONG
   ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS/MIDWEST. AHEAD
   OF THIS FRONT AND TO THE WEST OF A DRYLINE...WARM TEMPERATURES/LOW
   RH READINGS COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT. IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER SYSTEM...WINDS WILL
   DIMINISH OVER THE SWRN STATES. HOWEVER VERY LOW DEWPTS AND
   SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO LOW RH READINGS AND HIGH FIRE
   DANGER.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF WRN/NWRN TX...ERN/SRN NM
   AND SWRN/SCENTRAL OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH...WITH
   GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-25 PERCENT...LONG TERM
   DROUGHT.
   
   AHEAD OF A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST..AND IN
   ADVANCE OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT...WARM/DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS
   WILL OCCUR OVER THE SRN PLAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE ADJACENT SRN
   ROCKIES. TO THE WEST OF A DEVELOPING DRYLINE...STRONG MID LEVEL FLOW
   COMBINED WITH STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED
   WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH IN HIGHER TERRAIN.
   VERY DRY AIR...WITH DEWPTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS OVER ERN/SRN NM TO
   THE 20S OVER NWRN TX AND SWRN/SCENTRAL OK... ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES
   IN THE 60S TO 70S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-25 PERCENT BY
   AFTERNOON. THE ERN EDGE OF THE CRITICAL AREA IS ALONG THE EXPECTED
   POSITION OF THE DRYLINE BY MID-AFTERNOON /ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-35
   CORRIDOR/. THE NRN EDGE OF THE CRITICAL AREA IS ALONG THE EXPECTED
   POSITION OF THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT AROUND 18Z. WITH THE PASSAGE OF
   THIS COLD FRONT WINDS WILL SHIFT RAPIDLY TO NLY DIRECTION WITH
   DRAMATIC COOLING EXPECTED /20 DEGREE DROP WITHIN AN HOUR/. EXPECTED
   RAPID MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT SHOULD ALLOW FOR CESSATION OF CRITICAL
   RH CONDITIONS BEFORE DARK ACROSS MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND THE TX
   PANHANDLE.
   
   ...PARTS OF ERN OK AND THE NRN TX...
   DEWPTS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH JUST EAST OF THE DRYLINE
   /40S-50S/. ALTHOUGH SLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE FROM 15-25 MPH...MIN RH
   READINGS SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 35 PERCENT PRECLUDING A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 02/16/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 160912
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0312 AM CST THU FEB 16 2006
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DEEPENING OF AN UPPER TROUGH WILL TAKE PLACE OFF THE WRN COAST ON
   DAY TWO. DOWNSTREAM OF THIS TROUGH...MILD TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH
   READINGS COMBINED WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST OVER PORTIONS OF
   THE SW/SRN ROCKIES...LEADING TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS. A LARGE AREA OF POLAR HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENCOMPASS MOST
   OF THE REST OF THE COUNTRY...WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NO
   FIRE WEATHER RELATED CONCERNS.
   
   ...SW/SRN ROCKIES...
   MODERATE MID LEVEL WINDS WILL EXIST OVER THE REGION AHEAD OF A
   DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST. A THICK CANOPY OF CIRRUS
   EMANATING FROM THE SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION IN
   ADVANCE OF THIS TROUGH LIMITING DAYTIME HEATING/MIXING. SUSTAINED
   WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE FROM 15-25 MPH...DUE MAINLY TO
   INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER
   THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. HOWEVER...COOLER TEMPERATURES DUE TO THE CLOUD
   COVER ARE EXPECTED TO KEEP MIN RH READINGS SLIGHTLY ABOVE CRITICAL
   LEVELS /15 PERCENT/.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 02/16/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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