Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 170752
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0152 AM CST FRI FEB 17 2006
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE AREA OF ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SWD
   THROUGH THE ERN HALF OF THE NATION TODAY. FURTHER WEST...AN UPPER
   TROUGH WILL DEEPEN ALONG THE WEST COAST...PROVIDING FOR SCT
   PRECIPITATION OVER CA. IN BETWEEN THESE TWO AREAS...SWLY MID LEVEL
   FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE DESERT SW/SRN ROCKIES. COPIOUS MID-HIGH
   CLOUD COVER WILL OVERSPREAD THIS REGION AHEAD OF WEST COAST UPPER
   SYSTEM LIMITING WARMER TEMPERATURES AND STRONGER WIND POTENTIAL AT
   THE SURFACE. THUS NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREAS ARE ANTICIPATED.
   
   ...NRN/ERN AZ...WRN NM...
   SWLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10-20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AS MID LEVEL WIND
   FIELDS STRENGTHEN AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE SRN
   GREAT BASIN. COPIOUS MID-HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA
   DURING THE AFTERNOON LIMITING INSOLATION AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.
   LACK OF STRONGER WINDS DUE TO LIMITED MIXING ALONG WITH MIN RH
   READINGS AOA 15 PERCENT WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 02/17/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 170753
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0153 AM CST FRI FEB 17 2006
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW AT UPPER LEVELS AND ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE AT LOW
   LEVELS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE ERN HALF OF THE NATION ON
   DAY TWO. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN OVER THE WEST
   COAST. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...MODERATE WIND FIELDS WILL AGAIN OCCUR
   OVER THE SWRN STATES. SURFACE WINDS ARE FCST TO BE A LITTLE STRONGER
   THAN ON DAY ONE...AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE SOMEWHAT WARMER...LEADING
   TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SRN
   ROCKIES/SW.
   
   ...ERN AZ AND WRN/CENTRAL NM...
   TO THE WEST OF THE ARCTIC FRONT...AND EAST OF THE UPPER TROUGH OVER
   CA...A CORRIDOR OF MILD TEMPERATURES/GUSTY SWLY WINDS WILL BE EXIST.
   MID-HIGH CLOUD COVER IS ANTICIPATED TO BE LESS IN COVERAGE OVER THE
   AREA THAN ON DAY ONE. AS A RESULT..AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE FCST
   TO BE SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER. A CONTINUED DEEPENING TREND OF THE
   UPPER TROUGH OVER CA WILL LEAD TO GRADUAL INCREASE IN MID LEVEL WIND
   FIELDS. COUPLED WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...SURFACE SWLY
   WINDS ARE FCST TO RANGE FROM 15-25 MPH. MIN RH READINGS WILL BE FROM
   15-20 PERCENT GIVEN DEWPTS IN THE TEENS/20S AND SEASONABLE
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S IN LOWER ELEVATIONS. THIS WILL LEAD TO NEAR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 02/17/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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