Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 190921
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0321 AM CST SUN FEB 19 2006
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AZ/NRN AND CNTRL NM/FAR W
   TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LOW ROTATING ONSHORE
   NEAR THE SFO AREA. A BROAD CONFLUENCE ZONE IS EVIDENT IN SATELLITE
   IMAGERY WITH A JET MAX MOVING AROUND THE UPPER LOW AND A BROAD SWLY
   SUBTROPICAL JET EXTENDING FROM BAJA INTO THE SRN PLAINS. MODERATELY
   STRONG MID/UPPER FLOW WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS THE SWRN CONUS
   THROUGH TONIGHT. AT LOWER LEVELS...SFC LOW WILL DEEPEN ACROSS CNTRL
   NM WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING SWD ACROSS CNTRL AZ/WRN NM.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN AZ/CNTRL AND SRN NM/FAR WEST
   TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   STRONG WINDS AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ AND NM.
   MAX TEMPS IN THE UPPER 50S/60S AND A DRY AIR MASS WILL RESULT IN LOW
   RH VALUES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   WILL ALLOW BOUNDARY LAYER TO MIX TO 700MB OR ABOVE...WHERE WINDS
   WILL RANGE FROM 30-40 KT. COMBINED WITH THE LONG TERM DROUGHT
   CONDITIONS...THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN WILDFIRE WILL BE INCREASED
   TODAY.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 02/19/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 190926
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0326 AM CST SUN FEB 19 2006
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MODELS DIFFER ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER LOW NOW OVER CNTRL CA.
   HOWEVER...IT IS APPARENT THAT BROAD ZONAL FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS
   MUCH OF THE CONUS ON MONDAY. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS THE
   PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND W COAST WHERE UPPER FLOW IS BEING INFLUENCED
   BY CA STORM. ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BE MODIFYING ACROSS THE SCNTRL
   STATES AS S/SELY FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED AHEAD OF SRN PLAINS LOW
   PRESSURE SYSTEM.
   
   ...SERN NM/FAR W TX...
   AS LEE TROUGH DEEPENS ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...W/SWLY SFC WINDS
   WILL INCREASE ON MONDAY. MAX TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 60S/MID
   70S ACROSS SERN NM AND FAR W TX...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 20
   PERCENT. IT APPEARS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ON
   MONDAY AFTN...SO THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL UPGRADE
   IN THE NEXT OUTLOOK.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 02/19/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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