Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 020959
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0359 AM CST THU MAR 02 2006
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN VA AND MUCH OF NC/SC...
...SYNOPSIS...
OVERALL LARGE SCALE PATTERN OVER THE CONUS HIGHLIGHTED BY BROAD
UPPER TROUGHS OVER THE WEST AND EAST COASTS...AS UPPER RIDGE
REINTENSIFIES ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT INITIALLY ACROSS THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS
WILL RACE EAST/SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST STATES
TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE AND POST-COLD FRONTAL AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO A
DIMINISHED FIRE WEATHER THREAT FOR MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SOUTHERN VA AND MUCH OF NC/SC...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY SW/W WINDS AND VERY WARM TEMPERATURES
STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AND NEAR RECORD WARMTH WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED
FIRE DANGER ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN VA INTO NC/SC TODAY. SCENARIO IS
ATTRIBUTABLE TO QUICK EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE
AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WITH DEEP MIXING AND STRONG LOW/MID LEVEL
DOWNSLOPE WINDS OFF THE APPALACHIANS. AS LOW LEVEL WINDS TRANSITION
FROM SOUTHWEST TO WEST DURING THE DAY...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF
20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH GUSTS TO 35-40 MPH...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
VA/NC. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE 70S TO LOWER 80S
FROM THE VA PIEDMONT INTO SC. POST-COLD FRONTAL SUBSIDENCE/MOMENTUM
TRANSFER WILL CONTINUE THE GUSTY WINDS INTO THE EVENING.
..GUYER.. 03/02/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 021002
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0402 AM CST THU MAR 02 2006
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
RELATIVELY AMPLIFIED LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL FLUCTUATE LITTLE ON
FRIDAY. WITH PERSISTENT DEEP TROUGH ANCHORED OVER EASTERN CANADA AND
THE NORTHEAST STATES...GRADUAL EASTWARD SHIFT OF CENTRAL CONUS UPPER
RIDGE WILL OCCUR DOWNSTREAM OF BROAD UPPER TROUGH FROM THE EASTERN
PACIFIC INTO THE WESTERN STATES. WITHIN THE MEAN WESTERN
TROUGH...LEADING SHORTWAVE IMPULSE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
PROGRESS EAST/NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION.
...NORTHERN AND EASTERN AZ/WESTERN NM/SOUTHEAST UT/FAR SOUTHWEST
CO...
AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH/MID LEVEL JET MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN...STRONG/GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION ON FRIDAY.
AFTERNOON RH VALUES MAY TEND TO BE MARGINAL...HOWEVER THE MAGNITUDE
OF THE WIND SPEEDS IN PRESENCE OF DRY CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A
HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER.
...EASTERN CO/FAR WESTERN KS/SOUTHWEST NEB...
AS CYCLOGENESIS BEGINS TO OCCUR IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES...GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
ON FRIDAY. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH APPEAR LIKELY /WITH
HIGHER GUSTS/ BY AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN CO/FAR WESTERN
KS/SOUTHWEST NEB. CLOUD COVER MAY TEND TO HINDER DEEP
MIXING...HOWEVER MILD TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL REACH THE MIDDLE 50S
TO LOWER 60S.
..GUYER.. 03/02/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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