Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 020959
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0359 AM CST THU MAR 02 2006
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN VA AND MUCH OF NC/SC...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   OVERALL LARGE SCALE PATTERN OVER THE CONUS HIGHLIGHTED BY BROAD
   UPPER TROUGHS OVER THE WEST AND EAST COASTS...AS UPPER RIDGE
   REINTENSIFIES ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND
   ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT INITIALLY ACROSS THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS
   WILL RACE EAST/SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST STATES
   TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE AND POST-COLD FRONTAL AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO A
   DIMINISHED FIRE WEATHER THREAT FOR MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
   PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SOUTHERN VA AND MUCH OF NC/SC...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY SW/W WINDS AND VERY WARM TEMPERATURES
   
   STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AND NEAR RECORD WARMTH WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED
   FIRE DANGER ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN VA INTO NC/SC TODAY. SCENARIO IS
   ATTRIBUTABLE TO QUICK EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE
   AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WITH DEEP MIXING AND STRONG LOW/MID LEVEL
   DOWNSLOPE WINDS OFF THE APPALACHIANS. AS LOW LEVEL WINDS TRANSITION
   FROM SOUTHWEST TO WEST DURING THE DAY...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF
   20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH GUSTS TO 35-40 MPH...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
   VA/NC. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE 70S TO LOWER 80S
   FROM THE VA PIEDMONT INTO SC. POST-COLD FRONTAL SUBSIDENCE/MOMENTUM
   TRANSFER WILL CONTINUE THE GUSTY WINDS INTO THE EVENING.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 021002
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0402 AM CST THU MAR 02 2006
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   RELATIVELY AMPLIFIED LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL FLUCTUATE LITTLE ON
   FRIDAY. WITH PERSISTENT DEEP TROUGH ANCHORED OVER EASTERN CANADA AND
   THE NORTHEAST STATES...GRADUAL EASTWARD SHIFT OF CENTRAL CONUS UPPER
   RIDGE WILL OCCUR DOWNSTREAM OF BROAD UPPER TROUGH FROM THE EASTERN
   PACIFIC INTO THE WESTERN STATES. WITHIN THE MEAN WESTERN
   TROUGH...LEADING SHORTWAVE IMPULSE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
   PROGRESS EAST/NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND INTERMOUNTAIN
   REGION.
   
   ...NORTHERN AND EASTERN AZ/WESTERN NM/SOUTHEAST UT/FAR SOUTHWEST
   CO...
   AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH/MID LEVEL JET MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT
   BASIN...STRONG/GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED
   ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION ON FRIDAY.
   AFTERNOON RH VALUES MAY TEND TO BE MARGINAL...HOWEVER THE MAGNITUDE
   OF THE WIND SPEEDS IN PRESENCE OF DRY CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A
   HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER.
   
   ...EASTERN CO/FAR WESTERN KS/SOUTHWEST NEB...
   AS CYCLOGENESIS BEGINS TO OCCUR IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES...GUSTY
   SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
   ON FRIDAY. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH APPEAR LIKELY /WITH
   HIGHER GUSTS/ BY AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN CO/FAR WESTERN
   KS/SOUTHWEST NEB. CLOUD COVER MAY TEND TO HINDER DEEP
   MIXING...HOWEVER MILD TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL REACH THE MIDDLE 50S
   TO LOWER 60S.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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