Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 040847
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0247 AM CST SAT MAR 04 2006
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS
   STATES WHILE FLATTENING THE UPPER RIDGE. DRY/BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL
   OCCUR OVER THE SRN/CENTRAL ROCKIES AND FRONT RANGE IN ASSOCIATION
   WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS UPPER SYSTEM. FURTHER EAST...A DEEP UPPER
   TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE ERN STATES. COOL/DRY NWLY FLOW WILL
   OCCUR AS A RESULT OVER THIS REGION. AN ACTIVE/WET PATTERN WILL
   CONTINUE IN THE WRN STATES...AS YET ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES
   THE WEST COAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
   
   ...SRN/CENTRAL ROCKIES AND FRONT RANGE...
   SFC LOW PRESSURE/LEE TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN HIGH
   PLAINS EARLY TODAY IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.
   COMBINED WITH STEEPENING LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...SWLY WINDS WILL
   INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15-25 MPH BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH THE
   WEAKER WINDS OVER ERN CO NEARER TO THE SURFACE LOW. ALTHOUGH SFC
   TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE SFC
   DEWPTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE APPRECIABLY LOW /20S-30S OVER NM AND
   TEENS OVER CO/ AND THUS MIN RH READINGS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FALL
   MUCH BELOW 20 PERCENT OVER NM AND AROUND 15 PERCENT OVER CO.
   CONDITIONS WILL THUS FALL SHY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CRITERIA AND
   AREA WILL NOT BE INCLUDED IN A CRITICAL OUTLOOK.
   
   ...MID ATLANTIC/SERN STATES...
   COOL NWLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL OVERSPREAD
   THE AREA TODAY. NWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH OVER VA TO AROUND 10 MPH
   OVER GA/SC/FL WILL OCCUR AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SEWD FROM
   THE MS VALLEY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S IN
   VA...50S IN NC/SC AND THE 60S ELSEWHERE. LOW DEWPTS IN THE TEENS IN
   THE MID ATLANTIC TO THE 30S IN THE SERN STATES WILL SUPPORT MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT. THE COMBINATION OF COOL TEMPERATURES IN
   THE MID-ATLANTIC AND LIGHT WINDS IN THE SERN STATES WILL PRECLUDE A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN BOTH THESE REGIONS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/04/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 040848
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0248 AM CST SAT MAR 04 2006
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ON DAY 2. ANOTHER
   UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ONTO THE WEST COAST. DOWNSTREAM OF THIS
   SYSTEM...UPPER RIDGING WILL OCCUR OVER THE PLAINS...WHILE UPPER
   TROUGHING IS REINFORCED OVER THE ERN STATES. RELATIVELY WEAK SURFACE
   WINDS NATIONWIDE WILL LIMIT ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREATS.
   
   ...PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   A RELATIVELY WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL SHIFT SWD ACROSS NRN/WRN OK
   AND THE TX PANHANDLE THROUGH THE DAY. NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY ENOUGH
   OF A PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST TO SUPPORT NNELY WINDS FROM 15-20
   MPH. MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 65-75 DEGREE RANGE WITH DEWPTS IN THE
   20S/30S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT. LACK OF
   STRONGER WINDS WILL LIMIT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...SERN/MID ATLANTIC STATES...
   WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT WSWLY DURING THE DAY AS SURFACE HIGH
   PRESSURE SHIFTS SWD INTO THE FL. LOW DEWPTS IN THE TEENS TO 30S WILL
   COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S/60S TO PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS
   FROM 25-35 PERCENT /LOWEST IN NC/.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/04/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home