Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 050857
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 AM CST SUN MAR 05 2006
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EAST COAST WILL BECOME REINFORCED THROUGH DAY
ONE AS AN UPPER SYSTEM MOVES SEWD FROM THE CENTRAL/NRN PLAINS INTO
THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS UPPER
TROUGH...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SHIFT SWD THROUGH THE SRN
PLAINS. DRY AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY...BUT WINDS WILL
BE RELATIVELY LIGHT. ADDITIONALLY A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE SERN STATES...PROVIDING FOR LOW RH READINGS.
FURTHER WEST...A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST
TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD. IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM...SWLY
WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER AZ...BUT SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
CRITICAL CRITERIA.
...SERN STATES...
DRY AIR WITH DEWPTS RANGING FROM THE TEENS IN THE CAROLINAS TO THE
30S IN FLORIDA WILL SUPPORT LOW RH READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT
TODAY. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE IN THE REGION...WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT /LESS THAN 10 MPH/ PRECLUDING A CRITICAL
OUTLOOK AREA.
...SRN PLAINS...
NNWLY WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH WILL OCCUR BEHIND A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
THAT MOVES SWD THROUGH OK/NRN TX THROUGH THE PERIOD. DRIER AIR WITH
DEWPTS IN THE 20S/30S ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WILL
SUPPORT AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER BEHIND THE BOUNDARY.
HOWEVER...WEAKER WINDS AND RECENT RAINS TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA WILL
LIMIT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
...AZ/WRN NM...
DRY AIR WITH DEWPTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS/TEENS WILL COMBINE WITH
MILD TEMPERATURES TO PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS FROM 8-15 PERCENT. SWLY
WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE
TO APPROACHING UPPER SYSTEM OFF THE WEST COAST. HOWEVER WINDS ARE
FCST TO REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH.
..CROSBIE.. 03/05/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 050859
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0259 AM CST SUN MAR 05 2006
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CONUS ON DAY TWO. A
COMPACT UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE SEWD FROM OHIO VALLEY INTO THE SERN
STATES. AN INCREASE IN WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM OVER THE
SERN STATES. FURTHER WEST...A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE
WEST COAST INTO THE ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...A SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE AREA WILL DEEPEN OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL SUPPORT
INCREASING SWLY WINDS OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS/SRN ROCKIES REGION.
...SRN ROCKIES/SRN HIGH PLAINS...
INCREASING MID LEVEL FLOW AND DEEPENING SFC LOW OVER THE FRONT RANGE
OF CO WILL SUPPORT INCREASING SWLY WINDS OVER MUCH OF AZ/NM AND WRN
TX. A LARGE AREA OF HIGH CLOUDS PRESENTLY SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF
THE BAJA CA COAST WILL BE DRAWN NEWD AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND
SHOULD BE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION ON DAY 2. THIS CLOUD COVER SHOULD
AID IN SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES/HIGHER RH READINGS AND WEAKER
WINDS DUE TO DIMINISHED MIXING POTENTIAL. ATTM...EXPECT SWLY WINDS
FROM 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. AREA MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED
IN TOMORROW/S OUTLOOK.
...FLA/SERN GA...
SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10-20 MPH AHEAD OF SEWD MOVING
UPPER SYSTEM. LOW DEWPTS ON DAY ONE WILL BE REPLACED WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE A
FEW HOURS WHERE MIN RH READINGS ARE BELOW 35 PERCENT OVER ERN
FL/SERN GA.
...OK...
WINDS WILL BECOME SELY AND INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10-20 MPH DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS SFC LOW DEEPENS OVER ERN CO. WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE
70S WILL COMBINE WITH DEWPTS IN THE 30S/40S TO PRODUCE MIN RH
READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT.
..CROSBIE.. 03/05/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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