Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 091007
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0407 AM CST THU MAR 09 2006
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NM/TX/SW OK...
...SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER WINDY AND WARM DAY IS EXPECTED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
SRN PLAINS TODAY. UPPER TROUGH NOW ACROSS NW TX WILL MOVE QUICKLY
INTO THE LOWER MS/OH VALLEYS BY TONIGHT...WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE
DEVELOPING ACROSS NM/W TX. MODERATELY STRONG WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
INCREASE ACROSS NM TO AROUND 70 KT BY LATE AFTN...WHICH WILL FURTHER
ENHANCE SFC WINDS. FARTHER EAST...SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN AS IT
TRACKS FROM NEAR ST LOUIS TO CHICAGO. STRONG SLY WINDS WILL OCCUR
WITHIN THE BROAD WARM SECTOR FROM THE GULF COAST TO OH VALLEY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NM/TX/SW OK...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
STRONG WLY SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY IN THE WAKE OF DEPARTING
UPPER TROUGH/COLD FRONT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS ABOVE 40 MPH POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...SFC
DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE ERN PLAINS OF NM MAY FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS RESULTING IN RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT. FARTHER EAST...RH
VALUES MAY BE EVEN LOWER AS TEMPS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S/LOWER
80S. ALTHOUGH A FEW AREAS RECEIVED RAIN ON WED...MOST OF THE AREA
CONTINUES TO SUFFER FROM EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT.
...ERN KY/SW VA/ERN TN...
STRONG SLY SFC WINDS /15-25 MPH/ WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
AHEAD OF VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM. TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL IN THE 60S/70S WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 40S WHICH WILL
RESULT IN MINIMUM RH VALUES FALLING TO AROUND 35-40 PERCENT. SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION ON THU
NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD HELP MITIGATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
..TAYLOR.. 03/09/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 091008
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0408 AM CST THU MAR 09 2006
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NM/SE CO/SWRN KS/WRN AND CNTRL
OK/FAR W THROUGH NCNTRL TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG WLY FLOW AT MID LEVELS AND ALOFT WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGH
FRIDAY...AS NEXT JET MAX ARRIVES IN NM/AZ. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL
DEEPEN ACROSS ERN CO/WRN KS WITH A DRYLINE REDEVELOPING OVER TX.
EXTREMELY WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
RESULT IN A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS A LARGE AREA OF THE
SRN/CNTRL PLAINS ON FRIDAY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NM/SE CO/SWRN KS/WRN AND CNTRL
OK/FAR W THROUGH NCNTRL TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-35 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
SFC WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 20-35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ABOVE 40 MPH
POSSIBLE. VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL ALLOW DEEP MIXING TO OCCUR AS
TEMPS RISE INTO THE 60S/70S WITH HIGHER VALUES ACROSS CNTRL TX/CNTRL
OK. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 15 PERCENT WITH SLIGHTLY
HIGHER VALUES EAST. MOST OF THIS AREA RECEIVED LITTLE OR NO RAIN
WITH THE WEATHER SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY...SO EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
PERSISTS.
..TAYLOR.. 03/09/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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