Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 141003
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0403 AM CST TUE MAR 14 2006
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS SERN CANADA. A
   COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE E COAST...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
   ACROSS THE MS RIVER VALLEY. GUSTY WINDS WILL EXIST IN BETWEEN THESE
   SYSTEMS...ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO NEW ENGLAND AND THE
   MID-ATLANTIC. A LOW-PRESSURE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE LEE OF
   THE ROCKIES WITH S WINDS INCREASING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS.
   
   ...S-CNTRL THROUGH NE VA...
   AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING...GUSTY W/NW
   WINDS WILL INCREASE...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH. DRIER AIR
   WILL FILTER IN THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH DEW POINTS REACHING THE 20S
   BY THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM INITIALLY IN
   THE 60S...THEY WILL SLOWLY FALL THOUGH THE LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON.
   MIN RH VALUES SHOULD REACH 25 TO 30 PERCENT AND REMAIN JUST ABOVE
   CRITICAL LEVELS.
   
   ...ERN NM/TX AND OK PANHANDLES...
   RH LEVELS WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW WITH MIN VALUES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT
   BY AFTERNOON...AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 50S AND 60S. S/SE
   WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
   PULLS EAST OF THE AREA AND A LOW-PRESSURE TROUGH DEVELOPS IN THE LEE
   OF THE ROCKIES. SUSTAINED SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL
   LEVELS...FROM 12 TO 18 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/14/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 141010
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0410 AM CST TUE MAR 14 2006
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN AND ERN NM/FAR WEST AND
   PANHANDLE OF TX/SERN CO/SW KS/OK PANHANDLE...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN VA/CNTRL AND ERN MD/D.C./DE...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE CANADIAN
   MARITIMES. STRONG MID AND UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SRN
   NEW ENGLAND AND MID-ATLANTIC. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS ERN
   CO AHEAD OF A MID-LEVEL JET STREAK. DRY W/SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
   THE S OF THIS LOW.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN AND ERN NM/FAR WEST AND
   PANHANDLE OF TX/SERN CO/SW KS/OK PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ANTECEDENT LOW DEW POINTS
   WILL BE IN PLACE AND AS TEMPERATURES SURGE INTO THE 60S AND 70S...RH
   VALUES WILL DROP BETWEEN 12 AND 20 PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS WILL
   INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OVER ERN CO.
   A MID-LEVEL JET STREAK WILL MIX HIGHER WINDS TOWARDS THE SURFACE AS
   STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
   ENHANCE SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS FURTHER TO 25 TO 30 MPH OVER MUCH OF
   THE AREA. AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES EAST WEDNESDAY EVENING...A COLD
   FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION CAUSING WINDS TO SWITCH TO THE
   NW.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - ERN VA/CNTRL AND ERN MD/D.C./DE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / SHORT-TERM DRYNESS
   
   EVEN STRONGER W/NW WINDS AND LOWER RH VALUES COMPARED TO
   TUESDAY...WILL CREATE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT ON WEDNESDAY
   AFTERNOON. A SECONDARY WAVE ROTATING AROUND THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL
   LOW OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIME WILL SERVE TO INCREASE WIND SPEEDS
   AND DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSPORT ON WEDNESDAY. SUSTAINED SPEEDS WILL
   LIKELY REACH 20 TO 30 MPH DURING THE DAY. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL
   BE RELATIVELY COOL IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S...LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   WILL BECOME RATHER STEEP. DEW POINTS IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S WILL
   EQUATE TO CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES BETWEEN 17 AND 25 PERCENT DURING
   THE AFTERNOON.
   
   ...WRN/CNTRL OK INTO S-CNTRL KS...
   TO THE EAST OF THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1...SUSTAINED WIND
   SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE
   60S TO LOWER 70S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE PLACEMENT OF THE
   SURFACE LOW IN ERN CO WILL CAUSE S WINDS FROM CNTRL OK INTO S-CNTRL
   KS. SURFACE DEW POINTS WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY IN RESPONSE
   TO THE S WINDS. IT APPEARS MIN RH WILL REMAIN ABOVE THE CRITICAL
   THRESHOLD OF 20 PERCENT.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/14/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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