Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 150856
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0256 AM CST WED MAR 15 2006
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN CO / KS / OK / NWRN TX / CNTRL
   & ERN NM...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NRN SC / NC / VA / SRN MD...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FL PANHANDLE AND INTERIOR FL
   PENINSULA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES
   AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL INDUCE LOW
   PRESSURE TO FORM OVER WRN KS AND WILL CAUSE STRONG SLY WINDS ACROSS
   THE PLAINS. THE LOW WILL MOVE EWD INTO IOWA OVERNIGHT...ALLOWING
   COLDER AIR TO FILTER SWD BEHIND A COLD FRONT. TO THE EAST...LARGE
   LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN CENTERED NEAR NEW BRUNSWICK...WITH
   HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SERN STATES. IN BETWEEN THE TWO...A STRONG
   PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST AND WILL CAUSE STRONG WLY WINDS ACROSS
   THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP RH VALUES LOW
   ACROSS THE SERN STATES AS WELL.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN CO / KS / OK / NWRN TX / CNTRL
   & ERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / WIND SHIFT LATE
   
   IT WILL BECOME VERY WINDY OVER THE REGION TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE
   DEEPENS OVER ERN CO/WRN KS. STRONG WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL OCCUR BY
   MID MORNING...INCREASING TO 25-40 MPH BY AFTERNOON. RH LEVELS WILL
   RANGE FROM THE TEENS ACROSS CO / WRN KS / WRN OK / TX PANHANDLE AND
   NM...TO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS ERN KS AND ERN OK.
   TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY WARM...DUE TO SOME HIGH LEVEL
   CLOUDINESS. REGARDLESS...COMBINATION OF HIGH WINDS AND LOW RH WILL
   CAUSE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY IN VICINITY OF ONGOING FIRES.
   
   WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NWLY FIRST OVER ERN CO LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
   BEHIND A COLD FRONT WITH SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH. BY MIDNIGHT...THE
   FRONT WILL BE ALONG A HUTCHINSON KS TO AMARILLO TX LINE. ALTHOUGH
   SPEEDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS COLD FRONT WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 15
   MPH...IT WILL STILL POSE A HAZARD. CREWS IN THE FIELD SHOULD REMAIN
   ALERT FOR SHIFTING WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - NRN SC / NC / VA / SRN MD...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WLY WINDS / VERY LOW RH / DROUGHT
   
   STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL PERSIST TODAY...STRENGTHENING TO 15-25
   MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH BY MID MORNING AND CONTINUING
   THROUGH THE DAY. RH LEVELS WILL BE EXTREMELY LOW FROM 10-20 PERCENT.
   COMBINATION OF LOW RH AND HIGH WINDS...ALONG WITH RECENT DROUGHT
   WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH TO LOCALLY EXTREME FIRE DANGERS. WINDS WILL
   DIE DOWN QUICKLY AROUND SUNSET WITH GRADUAL RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 3 - FL PANHANDLE AND INTERIOR FL
   PENINSULA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH / SUSTAINED NELY WINDS / LOCALLY HIGH
   KBDI VALUES
   
   HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL REMAIN N OF THE AREA TODAY...WHICH WILL
   BOTH CAUSE A CONTINUATION OF VERY LOW RH AND NELY WINDS. VERY LOW RH
   VALUES IN THE TEENS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS
   INTO INTERIOR NRN FL...WHILE LOCATIONS FARTHER SOUTH WILL SEE
   MINIMUM RH VALUES MAINLY IN THE 20-35 PERCENT RANGE. IN
   ADDITION...SUSTAINED NELY WIND SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH WILL OCCUR
   ESPECIALLY OVER CENTRAL AND SRN FL...WHERE KBDI VALUES ARE LOWEST.
   THESE WINDS...ALTHOUGH NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...MAY BE SUFFICIENT
   TO CAUSE RAPID FIRE SPREAD GIVEN RECENT DROUGHT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/15/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 150857
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0257 AM CST WED MAR 15 2006
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PHASE WITH STAGNANT UPPER LOW OVER
   SERN CANADA...WITH INTERMEDIATE SHORTWAVE RIDGING ACROSS THE CENTRAL
   PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE...A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL COVER
   MUCH OF THE CENTRAL STATES WITH SOMEWHAT COOLER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...OK INTO NWRN TX...
   IT WILL REMAIN FAIRLY DRY IN POST FRONTAL REGIME WITH AFTERNOON
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND MIN RH VALUES OF 20-25 PERCENT.
   SUSTAINED NLY WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WILL OCCUR SHORTLY AFTER
   SUNRISE...BUT WILL DECREASE DURING THE DAY TO NEAR 15 MPH WHEN RH IS
   LOWEST. THEREFORE...ONLY A MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS
   ANTICIPATED THURSDAY.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   A SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY LATE IN THE DAY.
   THIS WILL CAUSE SURFACE WINDS TO INCREASE OUT OF THE SW DURING THE
   AFTERNOON...MAINLY BELOW 15 MPH. RH WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW AT 25-30
   PERCENT IN GENERAL.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/15/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home