Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 181033
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0433 AM CST SAT MAR 18 2006
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
CORRECTED FOR ADDITION OF DE
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF VA/NORTHERN NC/MUCH OF
MD/SOUTHEAST PA/NJ/DE/FAR EASTERN WV...
...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO ENCOMPASS EASTERN CANADA
AND THE NORTHEAST STATES...WHILE UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN CA
MIGRATES EASTWARD TO AZ/SOUTHERN UT TONIGHT. UPPER RIDGE/SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE FROM THE NORTHERN
PLAINS TO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. MUCH OF DROUGHT-STRICKEN OK AND TX
WILL SEE GOOD CHANCES FOR MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF VA/NORTHERN NC/MUCH OF
MD/SOUTHEAST PA/NJ/DE/FAR EASTERN WV...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS/LOW RH/DROUGHT
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST TOWARD THE REGION...A VERY DRY AIRMASS
IN PRESENCE OF STRONG WEST/NORTHWEST DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL LEAD TO A
HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER TODAY ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES.
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS WILL REACH 20-25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
SOME HIGHER GUSTS. ATTRIBUTABLE TO AMPLE MIXING AND POTENTIAL SINGLE
DIGIT DEWPOINTS THIS AFTERNOON...VERY LOW MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 15-25
PERCENT ARE ANTICIPATED. SEASONAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM THE MIDDLE 40S ACROSS SOUTHEAST PA/NJ/MD TO THE MIDDLE 50S
ACROSS NORTHERN NC.
...SOUTHERN NM/SOUTHEAST AZ...
BROAD/STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY MID AND UPPER FLOW WILL EXIST ACROSS MUCH
OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AHEAD OF UPPER LOW CROSSING THE LOWER CO
RIVER VALLEY. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS...ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NM AND SOUTHEAST AZ. IN SPITE
OF THE VERY STRONG WINDS AND DROUGHT CONDITIONS...CLOUD COVER AND/OR
SUFFICIENTLY HIGH RH VALUES SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT THE OVERALL THREAT.
...SC/GA/FL...
IN PRESENCE OF UPPER RIDGE AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE...DRY AIRMASS
WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES
WILL RANGE FROM 20-25 PERCENT ACROSS SC...TO 30-35 PERCENT ACROSS
INTERIOR FL. RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS /10 MPH OR LESS/ WILL TEND TO
TEMPER THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT TODAY.
..GUYER.. 03/18/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 181004
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0404 AM CST SAT MAR 18 2006
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR VA/MUCH OF MD/EASTERN PA/NJ/FAR
EASTERN WV/NORTHERN NC...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH WILL ADVANCE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN
MEXICO ON SUNDAY...AS SURFACE LOW DEEPENS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS. MUCH NEEDED SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND ARKLATEX VICINITY. ELSEWHERE...UPPER
RIDGING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC
STATES...WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN
PLAINS TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - VA/MUCH OF MD/EASTERN PA/NJ/FAR
EASTERN WV/NORTHERN NC...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RH
OVERALL SCENARIO WILL FLUCTUATE LITTLE ON SUNDAY ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES...WITH ANOTHER DAY OF DRY CONDITIONS/GUSTY WINDS AND
A HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER. WITH STRONG CYCLONIC BELT OF LOW/MID LEVEL
WINDS REMAINING ACROSS THE REGION...WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15-25
MPH ARE AGAIN LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH
DEWPOINTS/RH VALUES MAY TEND TO BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN
SATURDAY...MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL STILL RANGE FROM 30-35 PERCENT
ACROSS SOUTHEAST PA/NJ...TO AROUND 20 PERCENT ACROSS VA/NORTHERN NC.
...EASTERN NM/WEST TX...
AS UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES...SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS
WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. STRONG/GUSTY SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL BE PREVALENT -- ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN NM
-- ALTHOUGH CLOUD COVER WILL TEND TO DETER DEEPER MIXING AND WIND
GUST POTENTIAL. IN ADDITION TO CLOUD COVER/SUFFICIENTLY HIGH RH
VALUES...ANY DAY 1 PRECIPITATION AND CONTINUING POSSIBILITY FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE A LIMITING FACTOR.
..GUYER.. 03/18/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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