Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 190847
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0247 AM CST SUN MAR 19 2006
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR VA/MUCH OF MD/EASTERN PA/NJ/DE/FAR
   EASTERN WV/NORTHERN NC...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND
   NORTHERN MEXICO TODAY...AS SURFACE LOW DEEPENS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
   HIGH PLAINS. MUCH NEEDED SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL
   CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF OKLAHOMA/TEXAS AND ARKLATEX VICINITY.
   ELSEWHERE...UPPER RIDGING WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST/MID
   ATLANTIC STATES...WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE
   UPPER MIDWEST TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - VA/MUCH OF MD/EASTERN PA/NJ/DE/FAR
   EASTERN WV/NORTHERN NC...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   SIMILAR TO SATURDAY...ANOTHER DAY OF HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID ATLANTIC
   STATES OWING TO A RATHER DRY AIRMASS AND GUSTY WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS.
   STRONG CYCLONIC BELT OF LOW/MID LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
   REGION...AND WITH AMPLE MIXING...DOWNSLOPE WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS OF
   15-25 MPH /WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS/ ARE AGAIN LIKELY THIS
   AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS MD/PA/NJ/DE/NORTHERN VA. MINIMUM RH
   VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 30-35 PERCENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST PA/NJ/MD...TO
   AROUND 20 PERCENT ACROSS VA/NORTHERN NC.
   
   ...EASTERN NM/WEST TX...
   SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR TODAY/TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
   HIGH PLAINS AS UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES.
   STRONG/GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL BE
   PREVALENT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN/EASTERN NM. HOWEVER CLOUD
   COVER WILL TEND TO DETER DEEPER MIXING/WIND GUST POTENTIAL. IN
   ADDITION TO CLOUD COVER/SUFFICIENTLY HIGH RH VALUES...SCATTERED
   PRECIPITATION ACROSS WEST TX SATURDAY AND CONTINUING POSSIBILITY FOR
   SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL ALSO BE A LIMITING FACTOR.
   
   ...SC/SOUTHERN NC...
   A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE CAROLINAS TODAY...WITH
   AFTERNOON RH VALUES OF 15-20 PERCENT POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS
   DURATION. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE SURFACE HIGH AND WEAK
   PRESSURE GRADIENT...RATHER LIGHT WINDS /5-10 MPH/ WILL TEND TO LIMIT
   THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/19/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 190854
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0254 AM CST SUN MAR 19 2006
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST NM AND SOUTHWEST/WEST
   TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON
   MONDAY...REACHING THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY EARLY TUESDAY.
   ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE/COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE ACROSS THE
   ARKLATEX AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI/TENNESSEE VALLEYS...WHILE SECONDARY
   COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. COPIOUS
   RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
   SOUTHEAST STATES...WITH HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
   PLAINS/PORTIONS OF THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY. ELSEWHERE...SECONDARY
   UPPER TROUGH WILL REACH THE WEST COAST ON MONDAY...BRINGING
   PRECIPITATION TO PORTIONS OF CA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SOUTHEAST NM AND SOUTHWEST/WEST
   TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY WEST WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   VERY STRONG WEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS MUCH OF NM INTO
   WEST/CENTRAL TX ON MONDAY IN PRESENCE OF DRYING AIRMASS IN WAKE OF
   LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT/DRYLINE CROSSING THE ARKLATEX VICINITY.
   SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
   WEEKEND PRECIPITATION MAY TEND TO LIMIT THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT WITH EASTWARD EXTENT ACROSS WEST/SOUTHWEST TX INTO CENTRAL
   TX...AND THE CRITICAL OUTLOOK WILL BE REEVALUATED/REFINED
   ACCORDINGLY IN THE SUBSEQUENT DAY 1 OUTLOOK.
   
   ...CENTRAL TX...
   IN A SCENARIO OTHERWISE FAVORABLE FOR CRITICAL FIRE
   CONDITIONS...EXTENT OF WEEKEND PRECIPITATION MAKES FOR A HIGHLY
   CONDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FOR MONDAY ACROSS CENTRAL TX.
   GIVEN EXPECTED RAINFALL...SOUTH CENTRAL TX MAY HAVE THE RELATIVELY
   GREATEST THREAT FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ON MONDAY GIVEN
   EXPECTED LIGHTER PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITH SOUTHWARD EXTENT ACROSS
   SOUTH CENTRAL TX. MORE COPIOUS RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS
   CENTRAL/NORTH CENTRAL TX...WITH MOIST FINE FUELS LIKELY TO INHIBIT
   CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS.
   
   ...VA/MD/DE/NJ/SOUTHEAST PA/FAR SOUTHERN NY...
   A RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
   STATES ON MONDAY WITH A PERSISTENCE OF WEST-NORTHWEST DOWNSLOPE
   TRAJECTORIES. SLIGHTER HIGHER DEWPOINTS/AFTERNOON RH VALUES AND MORE
   MODEST WINDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS VA/MD...SHOULD KEEP THE OVERALL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT MARGINAL. RELATIVELY STRONGER WINDS WILL EXIST
   ACROSS SOUTHEAST PA/NJ INTO FAR SOUTHERN NY...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL
   BE COOL IN THE 40S.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/19/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home