Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 200853
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 AM CST MON MAR 20 2006
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTH
TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
TODAY...REACHING THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE
ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI/TENNESSEE VALLEYS THROUGH
TONIGHT...WHILE SECONDARY COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS SEEN THIS WEEKEND ACROSS MUCH
OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...PLENTIFUL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY/TONIGHT...WITH
HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS/PORTIONS OF THE MID MISSOURI
VALLEY. IN THE WEST...NEXT IN SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS WILL REACH THE
WEST COAST...BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO MUCH OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL CA.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTH
TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RH
STRONG/GUSTY WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS A LARGE
PORTION OF EASTERN NM AND WEST/CENTRAL TX TODAY IN WAKE OF LOW
PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT/DRYLINE MOVING TOWARD THE ARKLATEX VICINITY.
IN PRESENCE OF DOWNSLOPE TRAJECTORIES/DRYING AIRMASS...SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 25-35 MPH ARE EXPECTED /WITH HIGHER GUSTS/ ACROSS
SOUTHWEST/WEST TX...WITH 15-25 MPH WIND SPEEDS ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL/SOUTH TX. RELATIVELY LESSER AND/OR NO RAINFALL THIS WEEKEND
ACROSS SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTH TX SUGGESTS A FAVORED
DELINEATION FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS TODAY...IN CONTRAST TO
AREAS FURTHER NORTH THAT RECEIVED COPIOUS RAINFALL.
...EASTERN NM AND WEST/CENTRAL TX...
IN A SCENARIO THAT WOULD OTHERWISE BE FAVORABLE FOR A SIGNIFICANT
FIRE WEATHER THREAT...WEEKEND RAINFALL SHOULD TEND TO TEMPER THE
CRITICAL FIRE POTENTIAL VIA MOIST FINE FUELS FROM EASTERN NM INTO
NORTHWEST/CENTRAL TX. NEVERTHELESS...LOCALIZED AREAS THAT RECEIVED
LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL THIS WEEKEND WILL HAVE A HEIGHTENED FIRE
DANGER IN PRESENCE OF VERY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS AND DRYING AIRMASS.
...VA/MD/DE/NJ/SOUTHEAST PA/FAR SOUTHERN NY...
A RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES TODAY VIA A PERSISTENCE OF WEST-NORTHWEST DOWNSLOPE
TRAJECTORIES. IN COMPARISON TO THIS PAST WEEKEND...SLIGHTER HIGHER
DEWPOINTS/AFTERNOON RH VALUES AND MORE MODEST WINDS ACROSS VA/MD
SHOULD KEEP THE OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT MARGINAL IN THESE AREAS.
RELATIVELY STRONGER WINDS WILL EXIST ACROSS SOUTHEAST PA/NJ AND FAR
SOUTHERN NY...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL IN THE 40S.
..GUYER.. 03/20/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 200855
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 AM CST MON MAR 20 2006
VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY TUESDAY WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...PHASING WITH NORTHEAST
STATES/EASTERN CANADA BROAD TROUGH. LOW PRESSURE/COLD FRONT WILL
QUICKLY PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES. IN THE WAKE OF
THIS SYSTEM...BROAD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL YIELD COOL/DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES.
...NORTHERN FL/AL/GA/SC...
IN WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE/COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION EARLY IN
THE DAY...ENSUING WESTERLY/CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES WILL RESULT IN A
QUICKLY DRYING AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION. ALTHOUGH AFTERNOON MINIMUM
RH VALUES MAY FLIRT WITH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS IN PRESENCE OF GUSTY
WESTERLY WINDS /15-20 MPH/...PRECIPITATION TONIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY
WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.
..GUYER.. 03/20/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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