Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 210818
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0218 AM CST TUE MAR 21 2006
   
   VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL EXIST ACROSS THE NATION THROUGH DAY
   ONE...AS ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM MOVES FROM THE WEST COAST INTO THE
   ROCKIES. MEANWHILE...THE LEAD UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SERN
   STATES AND OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. A COLD
   FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SERN STATES SYSTEM WILL USHER IN DRIER AIR
   AND MODERATE WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY/GULF COAST.
   OVER THE SWRN STATES...MODERATE SWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
   APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH. HOWEVER RH READINGS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
   APPRECIABLY LOW IN THIS AREA.
   
   ...FL PANHANDLE...FAR SRN MS/SRN AL/SWRN GA...
   BEHIND A COLD FRONT...DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION. MIN RH
   READINGS WILL AVERAGE FROM 30-35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HRS THIS
   AFTERNOON. RECENT RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTS LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
   WILL OCCUR OVER THIS AREA THIS MORNING. GIVEN RECENT DROUGHT
   CONDITIONS...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE FROM 10-15 MPH WILL LEAD TO
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...FAR SOUTH TX....
   NLY WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER THE AREA TODAY IN THE WAKE
   OF A COLD FRONT. LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST AND COMBINED
   WITH LOW RH READINGS FROM 10-20 PERCENT...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
   
   ...SRN NM/SERN AZ...
   AHEAD OF THE WRN UPPER TROUGH...SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE
   AREA TODAY...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.
   WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING AOB NORMAL...MIN RH READINGS ARE
   EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 20 PERCENT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/21/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 210819
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0219 AM CST TUE MAR 21 2006
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LESS PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL UNFOLD THROUGH DAY TWO...AS AN
   UPPER TROUGH MOVES FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE SRN PLAINS...AND UPPER
   RIDGING AMPLIFIES IN IT/S WAKE OVER THE WRN CONUS. A SMALL REGION OF
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR WRN
   TX IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER TROUGH PASSAGE. MEANWHILE...NEAR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST OVER FLA...AS DRIER AIR 
   FILTERS SWD IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT.
   
   ...FAR WRN TX...
   MODERATE WLY FLOW WILL MIX TO THE SFC DURING THE AFTERNOON...AS
   AMPLE HEATING WILL EXIST TO THE WEST OF A STATIONARY FRONTAL
   BOUNDARY. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR MODERATE SUSTAINED WLY WINDS FROM
   20-25 MPH WILL BE OVER THE DAVIS MTNS DURING THE AFTERNOON/PEAK
   MIXING. LOW DWPTS IN THE TEENS AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES IN THE
   60S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT. AREA WILL BE
   MONITORED FOR CONTINUED SUPPORTIVE CONDITIONS AND MAY NEED TO BE
   UPGRADED TO A CRITICAL AREA IN THE NEXT DAY ONE OUTLOOK.
   
   ...FL...
   ALTHOUGH LIGHT TO SCATTERED MODERATE PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE ON DAY ONE...A RECENT DROUGHT COMBINED WITH
   DRY AIR /MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT/ WILL LEAD TO NEAR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. LACK OF SUSTAINED WINDS MUCH ABOVE
   10 MPH WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL THREAT HOWEVER.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/21/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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