Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 251003
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0403 AM CST SAT MAR 25 2006
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM NEAR
   42N/130W...OR ABOUT 300 NM WEST OF EUREKA CA. THIS STORM WILL MOVE
   ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN BY TONIGHT...WITH MID LEVEL WINDS INCREASING
   TO 70-80 KT ACROSS CA AND NV THIS AFTN. AT LOWER LEVELS...COLD FRONT
   WILL EXTEND FROM CNTRL NV THROUGH SRN CA BY EARLY EVENING.
   
   ...LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY/SRN NV/NW AZ/SW UT...
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...AS SFC
   WINDS INCREASE INTO THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. MAX TEMPS IN THE 70S AND
   80S IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 20S WILL
   CONTRIBUTE TO RH VALUES AT OR JUST BELOW 15 PERCENT. RECENT
   PRECIPITATION AND MARGINAL RH VALUES WILL MITIGATE FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS.
   
   ...FL...
   RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTN
   ACROSS MOST OF THE STATE IN THE WAKE OF RECENT FRONTAL PASSAGE.
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MINIMUM RH VALUES COULD RANGE FROM 20-25
   PERCENT WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE 60S NORTH AND 70S SOUTH. RECENT KBDI
   OBSERVATIONS RANGE FROM 400-600.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/25/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 251011
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0411 AM CST SAT MAR 25 2006
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SE CO/CNTRL AND ERN NM/TX
   PANHANDLE THROUGH FAR W TX/SW KS/OK PANHANDLE...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STORM SYSTEM WHICH IS NOW APPROACHING WEST COAST WILL MOVE FROM THE
   NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES INTO THE HIGH PLAINS BY LATE SUNDAY AFTN. LARGE
   SCALE HEIGHT FALLS WILL INDUCE SFC CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS THE
   DAKOTAS...WITH A LEE TROUGH WELL ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS. STRONG SLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE PLAINS IN RESPONSE
   TO THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS WILL BE THE FIRST WARM AND
   WINDY DAY AFTER A RECENT PERIOD OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPS /INCLUDING
   RECORD LOW TEMPS FOR SOME LOCATIONS ON FRIDAY MORNING/.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SE CO/CNTRL AND ERN NM/TX
   PANHANDLE THROUGH FAR W TX/SW KS/OK PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
   BELOW 15-20 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   BOTH NAM AND GFS DEPICT A RATHER POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO
   THE CNTRL PLAINS BY SUNDAY AFTN...WITH A 40-45 KT LOW LEVEL JET
   EXTENDING FROM CNTRL TX THROUGH THE DAKOTAS. EXTREMELY WINDY
   CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP EARLY IN THE DAY ON SUNDAY...AS NOCTURNAL
   INVERSION DISSIPATES DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING. THE WINDIEST CONDITIONS
   WILL BE NEAR THE LLJ AXIS /FROM NCNTRL TX THROUGH CNTRL KS/...WHERE
   SFC WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY LATE MORNING/AFTN. HIGHER
   GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY ACROSS SOME AREAS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL
   BE RATHER HIGH ACROSS NCNTRL TX/OK/KS...GENERALLY ABOVE 30 PERCENT.
   HOWEVER...THE STRONG WINDS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN
   FIRE ESPECIALLY AMONG FINE FUELS.
   
   WITHIN THE CRITICAL AREA...THE WINDIEST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR LATER
   IN THE DAY AFTER WINDS VEER TO MORE OF A WLY DIRECTION. MUCH DRIER
   AIR WILL BE IN PLACE...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT
   ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF ERN NM/SERN CO/OK AND TX PANHANDLES. IN
   THIS REGION...HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S WITH WINDS
   IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/25/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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