Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 260947
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0347 AM CST SUN MAR 26 2006
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL AND ERN NM/W TX THROUGH THE
   TX PANHANDLE/OK PANHANDLE/SE CO/SW KS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES
   THIS MORNING AND INTO THE NRN PLAINS BY EARLY EVENING. MID LEVEL
   FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN TO 50-60 KT ACROSS CO/KS...ASSOCIATED WITH JET
   STREAK NOW EXITING THE GREAT BASIN. AT THE SFC...LEE SIDE LOW WILL
   DEEPEN OVER THE TX PANHANDLE...WITH A DRYLINE MIXING EAST ACROSS ERN
   NM INTO TX. LOW LEVEL JET WILL REMAIN FOCUSED FROM TX/OK THROUGH THE
   ERN DAKOTAS THROUGH TONIGHT. VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
   THE SRN/CNTRL PLAINS...BUT CRITICAL AREA WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS
   ACROSS NM/TX WHICH WILL HAVE THE DRIEST CONDITIONS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - CNTRL AND ERN NM/W TX THROUGH THE
   TX PANHANDLE/OK PANHANDLE/SE CO/SW KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   DRYLINE WILL MIX EAST TODAY...EXTENDING EAST OF AMA/LBB/MRF LINE BY
   AFTN. WEST OF THE DRYLINE...SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS COMBINED WITH
   MAX TEMPS IN THE 70S/LOWER 80S WILL YIELD MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE
   10-15 PERCENT RANGE. DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
   GUSTY SFC WINDS...WITH SUSTAINED VALUES NEAR 20-30 MPH. LONG TERM
   DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH RAIN DEFICITS
   ESPECIALLY NOTED ACROSS THE NM PLAINS.
   
   ...SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS...
   THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH
   TODAY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 40 MPH LIKELY IN SOME LOCATIONS.
   MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE ABOVE 20-30 PERCENT...BUT THE STRONG WINDS
   WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES GIVEN THE DRY FUELS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/26/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 260949
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0349 AM CST SUN MAR 26 2006
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PATTERN WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH /NOW OVER CNTRL
   ROCKIES/ EVOLVES INTO A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST BY
   MONDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES
   REGION BY TUE...AS RIDGE REDEVELOPS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. SHALLOW
   COLD FRONT WILL BE FORCED SWD ACROSS PARTS OF OK/TX/NM ON
   MONDAY...WHICH WILL SHIFT WINDS TO E/NELY AND MITIGATE THE FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT. IN THE SOUTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC...WINDS WILL BE
   RELATIVELY LIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/26/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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