Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 270911
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0311 AM CST MON MAR 27 2006
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LOW NOW OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS WILL MOVE INTO THE MID MS VALLEY
   BY THIS EVENING AND INTO INDIANA BY EARLY TUE MORNING. IN THE
   WEST...NEXT UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE COAST BY TUE...WITH
   A RIDGE BUILDING ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. AT LOWER
   LEVELS...SFC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SWD ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS...EVENTUALLY BECOMING STATIONARY ACROSS THE TX HILL COUNTRY.
   THIS BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY BE THE FOCUS FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/TSTMS
   FROM NRN LA THROUGH CNTRL TX OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...CNTRL/SRN PLAINS...
   WINDIEST CONDITIONS WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF KS...WHERE
   SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL BE LIKELY. GUSTY WINDS WILL EXTEND
   AS FAR SOUTH AS WRN/NCNTRL OK. MAX TEMPS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
   COOLER THAN ON SUNDAY BUT MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL STILL GENERALLY
   RANGE FROM 25-30 PERCENT...GIVEN NO GULF MOISTURE RETURN. WIND SHIFT
   LINE MARKING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST
   ACROSS OK AND THE TX PANHANDLE.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/27/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 270916
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0316 AM CST MON MAR 27 2006
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SE CO/SW KS/OK PANHANDLE/TX
   PANHANDLE THROUGH FAR W TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WEST COAST STORM SYSTEM NOW AROUND 42N/138W WILL INCREASE FIRE
   WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER
   THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS AS EARLY AS TUE AFTN. BROAD SW FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS
   THE MID SECTION OF THE CONUS WITH EMBEDDED IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH
   THE SRN STREAM. LEE SIDE LOW IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN ACROSS ERN CO ON
   TUE AFTN. STRONG SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING
   PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE PLAINS...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SE CO/SW KS/NM AND W TX.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/SE CO/SW KS/OK PANHANDLE/TX
   PANHANDLE THROUGH FAR W TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   THE OPERATIONAL MODELS DIFFER ON SOME OF THE DETAILS OF THE WEST
   COAST SYSTEM. BOTH THE NAM/GFS SUGGEST LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS
   THE ERN CO PLAINS...AND THIS WILL INDUCE STRENGTHENING S/SELY FLOW
   ACROSS KS/TX PANHANDLE AND ERN NM. MAX TEMPS WILL BE IN THE
   60S/70S...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT. RECENT
   FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS ARE IN THE VERY HIGH TO EXTREME RANGE
   AND NO SIGNIFICANT PCPN IS EXPECTED BEFORE TUE. FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE WORSE ON WED/THU AS THE WRN SYSTEM
   APPROACHES...WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL OUTLOOKS POSSIBLE LATER IN THE
   WEEK.
   
   ...ERN CAROLINAS/VA...
   COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST ASSOCIATED WITH OH
   VALLEY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND SFC WINDS WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR
   SHOULD BE RELATIVELY STRONG /15-20 MPH/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.
   AIRMASS ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN SHOULD BE RATHER
   DRY...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 35-40 PERCENT. GIVEN THE HIGH
   FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS...THE INCREASE IN WIND AND TEMP MAY
   INCREASE FIRE CONCERNS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/27/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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