Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 291006
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0406 AM CST WED MAR 29 2006
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL AND ERN NM/SERN CO/EXTREME
SWRN KS/WRN OK PANHANDLE/EXTREME NW TX PANHANDLE AND FAR W TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE W COAST WILL MOVE EAST AND REACH THE
ROCKIES BY THURSDAY MORNING. THIS WILL HELP STRENGTHEN A SURFACE LOW
ACROSS NERN CO. A DRYLINE WILL MIX E ACROSS SW TX NWD THROUGH THE
WRN TX AND OK PANHANDLES INTO SW KS BY LATE AFTN. WARM AND DRY WINDS
WILL OCCUR BEHIND THIS FEATURE ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL/ERN NM AND SERN
CO.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - CNTRL AND ERN NM/SERN CO/EXTREME
SWRN KS/WRN OK PANHANDLE/EXTREME NW TX PANHANDLE AND FAR W TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WRN CONUS. AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
STRENGTHENS OVER NERN CO...THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
TIGHTEN TO ITS SOUTH AND INCREASE WIND SPEEDS. THE DRYLINE WILL MIX
EWD AND ARC FROM THE SURFACE LOW INTO SW KS...THE OK AND TX
PANHANDLES SWD INTO SW TX. SW WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP
BEHIND THE DRYLINE THIS AFTERNOON. AS TEMPERATURES WARM MAINLY INTO
THE 70S...MIN RH VALUES OF 15 TO 20 PERCENT ARE LIKELY. CRITICAL
CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING AS THE DRY LINE RETREATS
WWD. HOWEVER...SW WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE NIGHT IN THE SACRAMENTO MTNS OF NM.
...SERN NM/PORTIONS OF WRN TX...
ALTHOUGH THE DRY LINE WILL LIKELY MIX EAST AND BE NEAR THE CAP
ROCK/TRANSPECOS REGION OF TX LATE THIS AFTERNOON...OVERNIGHT
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY PROVIDED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF
SERN NM AND WRN TX. THE FEW AREAS WHICH DID NOT SEE SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL MAY BRIEFLY EXPERIENCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REACH THE UPPER 70S TO
MIDDLE 80S WITH MIN RH VALUES AROUND 20 PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS WILL
NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG AS THOSE FARTHER WEST...WITH VALUES AROUND 20
MPH.
..GRAMS.. 03/29/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 291007
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0407 AM CST WED MAR 29 2006
VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SERN CO/OK AND TX
PANHANDLES INTO FAR WRN OK AND NW TX....
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIFT NEWD FROM ERN CO INTO THE
UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY BY THURSDAY MORNING. A STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT COMBINED WITH DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSPORT IN THE WAKE OF
THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL LEAD TO STRONG AND DRY W
WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/SERN CO/OK AND TX
PANHANDLES INTO FAR WRN OK AND NW TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP BY
MID TO LATE MORNING ON THURSDAY ACROSS ERN NM/SERN CO AND SPREAD EWD
DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO PORTIONS OF WRN OK/NW TX. THE PASSAGE OF A
MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN MID-LEVEL WIND SPEEDS TO
BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH THURSDAY MORNING. DOWNWARD TRANSPORT OF THESE
WINDS THROUGH STEEPENING LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SERVE TO
ENHANCE LOW-LEVEL WINDS. THIS IN CONCERT WITH A STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT FROM A SURFACE LOW IN NEB...WILL CAUSE SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH OVER MUCH OF THE CRITICAL AREA. THE DRY LINE
WILL QUICKLY MIX EAST...AND AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 60S AND
70S...RH VALUES SHOULD PLUMMET TO BETWEEN 10 TO 20 PERCENT. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH SE SWITCHING THE STRONG W/SW WINDS TO THE NW DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH BELOW 20
MPH DURING THE EVENING AS THE UPPER MIDWEST STORM SYSTEM LIFTS
FURTHER NE.
..GRAMS.. 03/29/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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