Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 291006
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0406 AM CST WED MAR 29 2006
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL AND ERN NM/SERN CO/EXTREME
   SWRN KS/WRN OK PANHANDLE/EXTREME NW TX PANHANDLE AND FAR W TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE W COAST WILL MOVE EAST AND REACH THE
   ROCKIES BY THURSDAY MORNING. THIS WILL HELP STRENGTHEN A SURFACE LOW
   ACROSS NERN CO. A DRYLINE WILL MIX E ACROSS SW TX NWD THROUGH THE
   WRN TX AND OK PANHANDLES INTO SW KS BY LATE AFTN. WARM AND DRY WINDS
   WILL OCCUR BEHIND THIS FEATURE ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL/ERN NM AND SERN
   CO.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - CNTRL AND ERN NM/SERN CO/EXTREME
   SWRN KS/WRN OK PANHANDLE/EXTREME NW TX PANHANDLE AND FAR W TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
   UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WRN CONUS. AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
   STRENGTHENS OVER NERN CO...THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
   TIGHTEN TO ITS SOUTH AND INCREASE WIND SPEEDS. THE DRYLINE WILL MIX
   EWD AND ARC FROM THE SURFACE LOW INTO SW KS...THE OK AND TX
   PANHANDLES SWD INTO SW TX. SW WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP
   BEHIND THE DRYLINE THIS AFTERNOON. AS TEMPERATURES WARM MAINLY INTO
   THE 70S...MIN RH VALUES OF 15 TO 20 PERCENT ARE LIKELY. CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING AS THE DRY LINE RETREATS
   WWD. HOWEVER...SW WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH
   MUCH OF THE NIGHT IN THE SACRAMENTO MTNS OF NM.
   
   ...SERN NM/PORTIONS OF WRN TX...
   ALTHOUGH THE DRY LINE WILL LIKELY MIX EAST AND BE NEAR THE CAP
   ROCK/TRANSPECOS REGION OF TX LATE THIS AFTERNOON...OVERNIGHT
   THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY PROVIDED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF
   SERN NM AND WRN TX. THE FEW AREAS WHICH DID NOT SEE SIGNIFICANT
   RAINFALL MAY BRIEFLY EXPERIENCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   LATE THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REACH THE UPPER 70S TO
   MIDDLE 80S WITH MIN RH VALUES AROUND 20 PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS WILL
   NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG AS THOSE FARTHER WEST...WITH VALUES AROUND 20
   MPH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 291007
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0407 AM CST WED MAR 29 2006
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SERN CO/OK AND TX
   PANHANDLES INTO FAR WRN OK AND NW TX....
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIFT NEWD FROM ERN CO INTO THE
   UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY BY THURSDAY MORNING. A STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT COMBINED WITH DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSPORT IN THE WAKE OF
   THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL LEAD TO STRONG AND DRY W
   WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/SERN CO/OK AND TX
   PANHANDLES INTO FAR WRN OK AND NW TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP BY
   MID TO LATE MORNING ON THURSDAY ACROSS ERN NM/SERN CO AND SPREAD EWD
   DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO PORTIONS OF WRN OK/NW TX. THE PASSAGE OF A
   MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN MID-LEVEL WIND SPEEDS TO
   BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH THURSDAY MORNING. DOWNWARD TRANSPORT OF THESE
   WINDS THROUGH STEEPENING LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SERVE TO
   ENHANCE LOW-LEVEL WINDS. THIS IN CONCERT WITH A STRONG PRESSURE
   GRADIENT FROM A SURFACE LOW IN NEB...WILL CAUSE SUSTAINED WIND
   SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH OVER MUCH OF THE CRITICAL AREA. THE DRY LINE
   WILL QUICKLY MIX EAST...AND AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 60S AND
   70S...RH VALUES SHOULD PLUMMET TO BETWEEN 10 TO 20 PERCENT. A COLD
   FRONT WILL PUSH SE SWITCHING THE STRONG W/SW WINDS TO THE NW DURING
   THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH BELOW 20
   MPH DURING THE EVENING AS THE UPPER MIDWEST STORM SYSTEM LIFTS
   FURTHER NE.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home