Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 301000
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0400 AM CST THU MAR 30 2006
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SERN CO/EXTREME SW KS/OK
   AND TX PANHANDLES INTO WRN OK AND NW TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT NEWD FROM ERN CO INTO THE UPPER MS RIVER
   VALLEY BY THURSDAY MORNING. A STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   COMBINED WITH DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSPORT IN THE WAKE OF
   THE PASSAGE OF A MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL LEAD TO STRONG AND DRY W
   WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS TODAY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/SERN CO/EXTREME SW KS/OK
   AND TX PANHANDLES INTO WRN OK AND NW TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP BY
   LATE MORNING ACROSS ERN NM/SERN CO AND SPREAD EWD THROUGH THE
   AFTERNOON INTO PORTIONS OF SWRN KS/WRN OK/NWRN TX. WIND PROFILER
   DATA ALREADY INDICATE SPEEDS AROUND 50 MPH NEAR 3000 FEET AGL OVER
   ERN NM THIS MORNING. DOWNWARD TRANSPORT OF THESE WINDS THROUGH
   STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SERVE TO ENHANCE SURFACE
   WINDS. THIS COMBINED WITH A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM A SURFACE
   LOW LIFTING NEWD FROM NERN CO...WILL CREATE SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF
   25 TO 35 MPH. AS THE DRY LINE MIXES EWD...TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY
   WARM INTO THE 70S TO MIDDLE 80S...ALLOWING RH VALUES TO PLUMMET TO
   BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND BECOME MORE NW
   DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS FROM W TO E AS THE UPPER
   MIDWEST SYSTEM LIFTS NE.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/30/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 301001
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0401 AM CST THU MAR 30 2006
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY WILL MOVE E
   OVER THE ERN GREAT LAKES. A STRENGTHENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   WILL LEAD TO INCREASING WINDS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
   DOMINANT THE CNTRL CONUS WITH LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...NEW ENGLAND...
   ANTECEDENT DRY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH INCREASING SURFACE WINDS MAY
   LEAD TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY OVER
   PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND. AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EWD FROM THE GREAT
   LAKES...SW WINDS WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING
   PRESSURE GRADIENT. AT THIS TIME...SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN JUST
   BELOW CRITICAL VALUES FROM 15 TO 20 MPH. IN ADDITION...A DRY AIR
   MASS IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE AND SOME LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING IS
   EXPECTED. HOWEVER...INTERIOR AREAS OF NEW ENGLAND WILL LIKELY SEE
   MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES OF 30 TO 35 PERCENT ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS
   TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID 60S TO MID 70S.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF ERN NM AND TX PANHANDLE...
   LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
   PRESSURE MOVES E AND S WINDS DEVELOP ALONG THE HIGH PLAINS.
   HOWEVER...WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
   CONTINUE TO BE PRESENT WITH MIN RH VALUES OF 15 TO 20 PERCENT AS
   TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S AND 70S.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/30/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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