Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 020900
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 AM CDT SUN APR 02 2006
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL ADVANCE EWD FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE MS
VALLEY/GREAT LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH...A
DRYLINE WILL MOVE INTO ERN KS/OK DURING THE AFTERNOON. TO THE WEST
OF THE DRYLINE...WARM/DRY AIR AND MODERATE WINDS WILL LEAD TO
CRITICAL/NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF WRN
TX/ERN NM...OK AND SRN KS.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
OVER NEW ENGLAND IN THE WAKE OF AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES. UPPER RIDGING WILL OCCUR OVER THE SWRN STATES
LEADING TO A WARMING TREND...BUT LIGHT WINDS WILL BE PREVALENT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF ERN NM...WRN TX...SWRN
KS...WRN/CENTRAL AND ERN OK...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: WLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH THROUGH
MID-AFTERNOON...MIN RH READINGS 15-25 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
A DRYLINE WILL MOVE EWD THROUGH ERN OK/KS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD THROUGH NEB INTO NRN KS.
SOUTH OF THE COLD FRONT AND TO THE WEST OF THE DRYLINE...LOW RH
READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT WILL OCCUR AS DRY CONTINENTAL AIR MOVES
INTO THE REGION AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW AIDS IN TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEG
ABOVE NORMAL. MUCH OF SCENTRAL/SERN KS AND PORTIONS OF SWRN THROUGH
NERN OK RECEIVED ANYWHERE FROM 0.50 TO MORE THAN 1 INCH OF RAINFALL
LAST NIGHT. WITH THE PRESENCE OF HIGH DWPTS OVER THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING INITIALLY LIMITING EVAPORATION AND LACK OF STRONG WINDS
TODAY...IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT THESE AREAS WILL NOT SEE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. OUTSIDE OF AREAS THAT RECEIVED WETTING
RAINS...SUSTAINED WLY WINDS AROUND 20 MPH COMBINED WITH LOW RH
READINGS WILL AID IN A CRITICAL FIRE THREAT. WITH THE WEAKENING LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELDS THROUGH THE DAY AS THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVES AWAY
FROM THE REGION...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR BEFORE 21Z WITH A
WEAKENING TREND THEREAFTER.
...SRN NEW ENGLAND...
WITH THE DEPARTURE OF THE UPPER SYSTEM INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES...NWLY WINDS WILL BRING IN DRIER AIR /DWPTS IN THE 20S/
FROM SRN QUEBEC. MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL
WITH READINGS IN THE 60S. THIS COMBINATION WILL LEAD TO MIN RH
READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT. SFC WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST THIS
MORNING WITH WEAKENING THIS AFTERNOON. THE RAIN OVER THE AREA
YESTERDAY ALONG WITH MARGINAL WINDS DURING PEAK HEATING /15-20 MPH/
ARE ANTICIPATED TO PRECLUDE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
..CROSBIE.. 04/02/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 020902
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0402 AM CDT SUN APR 02 2006
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE WEST COAST TOMORROW.
DOWNSTREAM OF THIS SYSTEM...UPPER RIDGING WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EWD
ACROSS THE ROCKIES. UNDER THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE...ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE SWRN/ROCKIES STATES.
SWLY SFC WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH THE
APPROACH OF THE UPPER TROUGH...BUT RH READINGS WILL NOT BE
SUFFICIENTLY LOW FOR ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS IN THIS REGION.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SWRN STATES...WINDS WILL AVERAGE LESS THAN 15
MPH PRECLUDING ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. FURTHER EAST...A STRONG
UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD TOWARDS THE ERN SEABOARD. BEHIND
AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...MODERATE NE-NWLY WINDS AND MILD
TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED FROM THE SRN PLAINS EWD INTO THE LOWER
MS VALLEY/SERN STATES.
...SWRN TX...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SWD THROUGH MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS EARLY IN
THE DAY AS A STRONG UPPER TROUGH MOVES TOWARDS THE ERN SEABOARD. IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...ENELY WINDS FROM 10-20 MPH WILL DEVELOP
DURING THE MORNING HRS. DEWPTS IN THE 20S AND MILD TEMPERATURES IN
THE 70S/80S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-20 PERCENT. LACK OF
STRONGER WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
...LOWER MS VALLEY...
MODERATE NWLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER THE AREA AS
STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND A MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOP
IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. MIN RH READINGS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MARGINALLY LOW /30-40 PERCENT/. COMBINED WITH RECENT
RAINFALL...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
..CROSBIE.. 04/02/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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