Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 040814
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0314 AM CDT TUE APR 04 2006
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DOMINATE THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE
UNITED STATES THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...BRINGING
SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT SURFACE WINDS TO A LARGE PART
OF THE REGION. THE STORM SYSTEM IN THE NEW ENGLAND AREA WILL PRODUCE
SOME RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT EXITS TO THE NORTHEAST DURING THE
FIRST HALF OF TUESDAY...WHILE A UPPER LEVEL STORM DEVELOPING NEAR
THE WEST COAST BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS...PRODUCING
RAIN AND SNOW IN THAT AREA. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...THIS STORM WILL
HAVE MOVED INTO THE WESTERN STATES...AND A LEE CYCLONE WILL BE
DEVELOPING IN THE GREAT PLAINS.
...FOUR CORNERS REGION...
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO MID
TWENTIES ACROSS MOST OF ARIZONA...NEW MEXICO...AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MOST OF THIS AREA REMAINS IN A PROLONGED
DROUGHT...AND WITH RELATIVELY WARM AFTERNOON SURFACE TEMPERATURES
AND DRY FUELS...A FIRE WEATHER THREAT DOES EXIST. HOWEVER...OVERALL
SURFACE WIND SPEEDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO BE PARTICULARLY
STRONG...THOUGH SOME ISOLATED AREAS COULD SEE SPEEDS APPROACHING
TWENTY TO TWENTY-FIVE KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS...THE LACK OF SUSTAINED
STRONG WIND SPEEDS WILL LIMIT THE FIRE WEATHER RISK IN THIS AREA.
...NRN FL...MOST OF AL AND GA...EAST NC/SC...
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION WILL
WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 70 DEGREES F...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL BRIEFLY FALL INTO THE LOW TO UPPER TWENTIES. THIS AREA WILL
HAVE VERY LIGHT SURFACE WIND SPEEDS...MOST AREAS WILL SEE SPEEDS
FROM FIVE TO TEN KTS. THE LACK OF STRONG WIND SPEED VALUES
MAINTAINS THAT THE FIRE WEATHER RISK WILL BE MINIMAL THROUGH THE
REGION.
..LEVIT.. 04/04/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 040912
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0412 AM CDT TUE APR 04 2006
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN AZ...ALL OF
NM...SOUTHEASTERN CO...WEST/SOUTHWEST TX...SOUTHWEST KS...OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT DOMINATED THE EASTERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE UNITED STATES WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO THE EAST...WHILE
A NEW STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES FROM THE WESTERN COAST
INTO THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW
TO THE AREA...AS A STRONG LEE CYCLONE DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL GREAT
PLAINS. THE SURFACE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CYCLONE WILL BE QUITE
STRONG...AND WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A FIRE WEATHER RISK FOR A PORTION OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - EASTERN AZ...ALL OF
NM...SOUTHEASTERN CO...WEST/SOUTHWEST TX...SOUTHWEST KS...OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEEDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...CONTINUED DROUGHT
A VIGOROUS SPRINGTIME UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD...BRINGING VERY STRONG SURFACE
WIND SPEEDS. A LARGE PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA COULD SEE SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS AROUND THIRTY TO THIRTY-FIVE KTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS
NEAR FORTY TO FIFTY KTS. THIS REGION REMAINS IN A SUSTAINED DROUGHT
WITH DRY SURFACE FUELS...AND COUPLED WITH WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK EXISTS. ANY FIRES THAT
DO DEVELOP IN THE REGION WILL BE ESPECIALLY ENHANCED BY THE VERY
STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS.
...MOST OF AL/GA...NORTHWEST SC...WESTERN NC...NORTHERN FL...
A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER THIS AREA DURING THE
FORECAST PERIOD...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL AGAIN DIP INTO
THE TWENTIES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE
TO REMAIN LIGHT...FROM FIVE TO TEN KTS...SO THE FIRE WEATHER RISK
WILL BE FAIRLY MINIMAL...BUT THE FUELS IN THE REGION CONTINUE TO BE
RELATIVELY DRY DUE TO A CONTINUED DROUGHT...SO SOME RISK DOES EXIST.
..LEVIT.. 04/04/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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