Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 050757
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0257 AM CDT WED APR 05 2006
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN AZ...ALL OF
   NM...SOUTHEASTERN CO...WEST/SOUTHWEST TX...SOUTHWEST KS...OKLAHOMA
   PANHANDLE......
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN UNITED
   STATES DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD...AND AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...A
   CLASSIC SPRINGTIME LEE CYCLONE WILL DEVELOP IN THE GREAT PLAINS. BY
   00Z THURSDAY...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE LOCATED IN
   NORTHEAST COLORADO WITH A WARM FRONT STRETCHING FROM THE SURFACE LOW
   TO KANSAS...TO NE OKLAHOMA...AND INTO ARKANSAS. A COLD FRONT WILL BE
   LOCATED IN EASTERN COLORADO AND INTO NEW MEXICO...WHILE A STRONG
   DRYLINE WILL DEVELOP INTO WESTERN KS/OK/TX. THE STORM MOVING INTO
   THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW TO A LARGE PART OF
   THE AREA...WHILE THE SOUTHEAST U.S. REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
   HIGH PRESSURE. LATE IN THE PERIOD...PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP INTO
   THE MIDWEST AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...WITH CONTINUED PRECIPITATION IN
   THE WESTERN STATES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - EASTERN AZ...ALL OF
   NM...SOUTHEASTERN CO...WEST/SOUTHWEST TX...SOUTHWEST KS...OKLAHOMA
   PANHANDLE......
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG AND GUSTY SURFACE WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
   HUMIDITY VALUES
   
   STRONG AND GUSTY SURFACE WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN CONTRIBUTOR TO THE
   FIRE WEATHER RISK IN THIS REGION. AS A LEE CYCLONE DEVELOPS IN THE
   GREAT PLAINS...AHEAD OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IN THE
   WEST...SURFACE WINDS WILL BE AROUND 30 KTS SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS
   AROUND 40 TO 50 KTS IN SOME AREAS. NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A
   WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE CRITICAL RISK AREA
   BY LATE AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FORECAST INTENSE H85 WIND MOMENTUM TO
   BE TRANSPORTED TO THE SURFACE...WHICH WILL AID IN SUSTAINING THE
   STRONG SURFACE WIND SPEEDS.  ADDITIONALLY...THE AIR WILL REMAIN VERY
   DRY AND WARM...WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE HIGH
   TEENS TO UPPER TWENTIES. MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA REMAINS UNDER THE
   INFLUENCE OF A DROUGHT...SO ANY FIRES THAT DO DEVELOP WILL TAKE
   ADVANTAGE OF DRY SURFACE FUELS...AND WILL BE ENHANCED BY THE STRONG
   SURFACE WINDS.
   
   ...MOST OF SC/NC...NRN GA...WESTERN TN...
   WHILE SURFACE WIND SPEEDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO BE VERY STRONG...SOME
   AREAS WILL SEE SPEEDS APPROACHING 20 KTS. WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
   VALUES FORECAST TO BE IN THE MID TEENS TO MID TWENTIES...AND WARM
   AFTERNOON SURFACE TEMPERATURES...SOME FIRE WEATHER RISK IS POSSIBLE.
   
   
   ...NRN FL...SRN GA...MOST OF AL...
   THE SAME SCENARIO EXISTS FOR THIS REGION AS FOR THE PREVIOUS...BUT
   WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO BE WEAKER. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
   ALSO BE IN THE TEENS TO TWENTIES...WITH WARM TEMPERATURES...BUT THE
   WEAK SURFACE WINDS TRANSLATES TO A MINIMAL RISK.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 04/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 050853
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0353 AM CDT WED APR 05 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SW OK...TX
   PANHANDLE...WEST TX...EAST NM...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR WEST/CENTRAL OK...SE
   CO...EAST/CENTRAL NM...SW TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL EFFECT MOST OF THE CENTRAL
   UNITED STATES DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD...BRINGING
   RAIN...THUNDERSTORMS...AND THE RISK FOR A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IN
   THE MIDWEST...GREAT PLAINS...AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE LEE CYCLONE
   THAT DEVELOPS DURING THE DAY1 PERIOD IN NE COLORADO WILL MOVE INTO
   THE MIDWEST...WITH SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF A
   DRYLINE STRETCHING FROM CENTRAL KS...TO CENTRAL OK...TO CENTRAL
   TX...AND ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
   LOW AND ALONG A WARM FRONT THAT WILL BE LOCATED FROM IOWA INTO
   ILLINOIS. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS WILL EXIST IN THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS...ESPECIALLY
   BEHIND THE DRYLINE.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SW OK...TX
   PANHANDLE...WEST TX...EAST NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG AND GUSTY SURFACE WINDS...LOW
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
   
   VERY STRONG SURFACE WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND AN ADVANCING
   DRYLINE...WHICH WILL BE LOCATED IN CENTRAL OK INTO CENTRAL TX BY
   LATE AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
   SITUATION IN AND NEAR THE OUTLOOK AREA. DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
   HOURS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER TEENS TO
   LOWER TWENTIES...AND SOME SINGLE DIGIT OBSERVATIONS ARE
   POSSIBLE...WITH WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES INTO THE 70S F. COUPLED
   WITH A CONTINUED DROUGHT IN THE REGION AND VERY DRY SURFACE
   FUELS...ANY FIRES THAT DO DEVELOP WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY IN THESE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS. SUSTAINED WESTERLY SURFACE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE
   AT LEAST 30 KTS...WITH SOME LOCALIZED AREAS OBSERVING PERHAPS 40 KTS
   WITH GUSTS NEAR 50 KTS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - WEST/CENTRAL OK...SE
   CO...EAST/CENTRAL NM...SW TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...STRONG WINDS
   
   SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK AREA IS A
   CRITICAL AREA...WHERE WIND SPEEDS WILL STILL BE RELATIVELY
   STRONG...BUT NOT QUITE AS INTENSE AS THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA WILL
   BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER...AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER IN THE
   WESTERN PORTION...SO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DO EXIST...BUT
   ARE DIMINISHED. SOME AREAS WILL STILL EXPERIENCE LOCALLY HIGH WIND
   SPEEDS AND GUSTS...MAINLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 04/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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