Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 100843
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0343 AM CDT MON APR 10 2006
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SRN/CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AS AN UPPER SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE SWRN STATES TODAY...INCREASING
   WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE SYSTEM OVER MUCH OF THE PLAINS. LOW RH
   READINGS WILL ACCOMPANY THE WINDS OVER THE SRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
   OF WRN TX...CENTRAL/ERN NM NWD INTO ERN CO/WRN KS. THE COMBINATION
   OF LOW RH READINGS AND WINDS WILL LEAD TO A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT IN THESE AREAS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE PLAINS THE LACK OF LOW
   RH READINGS DUE TO COOLER TEMPERATURES/HIGHER DEWPTS WILL PRECLUDE A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. FURTHER EAST...A BROAD AREA OF HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL RESIDE OVER THE ERN SEABOARD. AS A RESULT...LOW RH
   READINGS WILL BE PREVALENT OVER MUCH OF THIS REGION. THE EXCEPTION
   WILL BE OVER FLA...WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10-15
   MPH...AND ONSHORE FLOW FROM THE ATLANTIC WILL LEAD TO MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 35-45 PERCENT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF CENTRAL/ERN NM...ERN
   CO/WRN KS...WRN TX...THE OK PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
   OVER 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT.
   
   AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE FROM SRN CA INTO THE SRN
   ROCKIES...A LEE TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. THE LEE
   TROUGH/DRYLINE IS ANTICIPATED TO EXTEND FROM A SURFACE LOW OVER WRN
   NEB SWD INTO THE ERN TX PANHANDLE/SWRN TX BY AFTERNOON. TO THE WEST
   OF THIS DRYLINE ...LOW DEWPTS IN THE TEENS/20S COMBINED WITH ABOVE
   NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S/80S WILL AID IN MIN RH READINGS FROM
   10-15 PERCENT. NEARLY DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES FROM THE SFC UP TO
   10 KFT AGL ALONG WITH MODERATE MID LEVEL WINDS WILL SUPPORT WINDS AT
   THE SURFACE FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH. WINDS WILL
   DIMINISH THIS EVENING OVER MOST OF THE AREA...BUT REMAIN MODERATE
   OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES WHERE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN
   STRONGEST.
   
   ...GA/CAROLINAS/VA...
   LOW DEWPTS IN THE 20S/30S IN ASSOCIATION WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE
   CENTERED OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC ALONG WITH MILD TEMPERATURES WILL
   SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT. NELY WINDS AVERAGING
   5-10 MPH WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 04/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 100845
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0345 AM CDT MON APR 10 2006
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE NEWD FROM THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE GREAT
   LAKES ON DAY TWO. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...MODERATE WLY WINDS
   WILL OCCUR BEHIND A DRYLINE OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. LOW RH
   READINGS WILL ACCOMPANY THE WINDS SUPPORTING ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. BREEZY SLY WINDS WILL OCCUR
   ACROSS MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL U.S...BUT RH READINGS
   WILL BE TOO HIGH TO PRODUCE ANY ADDITIONAL CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT AREAS. FURTHER EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE ERN
   SEABOARD...PROVIDING FOR DRY AIR AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. AGAIN
   THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE OVER FLA...WHERE SUSTAINED NELY WINDS
   WILL AVERAGE 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 20 MPH. HOWEVER DEWPTS WITH
   THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL BE HIGHER THAN AREAS FURTHER NORTH...LIMITING
   ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT AS WELL.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF ERN NM....WRN TX/WRN
   OK/OK PANHANDLE...SERN CO/SWRN KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
   OVER 35 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-20 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT...AND BEHIND A UPPER LEVEL TROUGH/SFC
   DRYLINE...DEWPTS IN THE 20S/30S AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S WILL
   PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-20 PERCENT. PROXIMITY OF A MODERATE
   LOW LEVEL JET...MID LEVEL COOLING AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT
   MODERATE SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 35
   MPH. WITH THE NEWD MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER SYSTEM...THE DRYLINE SHOULD
   MIX INTO WRN OK ALLOWING FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP INTO
   THIS AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS
   THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES WITH APPROACH OF A WEAK SURFACE FRONT
   AND AS UPPER SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   A BROAD AREA OF MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT WILL EXIST ON DAY
   TWO AS DRY AIR REMAINS OVER THE AREA IN PROXIMITY TO A LARGE SFC
   HIGH PRESSURE AREA. AS ON DAY ONE...GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL
   PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 04/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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