Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 120959
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0459 AM CDT WED APR 12 2006
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NY/SRN VT/SWRN NH/MA/CT/NW
RI...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER STORM SYSTEM OVER UPPER MIDWEST EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL MOVE
INTO THE OH VALLEY REGION BY LATE AFTN/EVENING.
MEANWHILE...MID/UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN CONUS...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE
CNTRL/SRN CONUS AND NEW ENGLAND. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY...IN ADVANCE OF
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NY/SRN VT/SWRN NH/MA/CT/NW
RI...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SLY WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES 20-30 PERCENT/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/DRY FUELS
STRONG SLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP FROM OH/PA EWD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
AND NEW ENGLAND TODAY...WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR OF AN APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM. VERY LOW RH VALUES /15-20 PERCENT/ WERE OBSERVED ON
TUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF PA AND WCNTRL NY...AND A VERY DRY AIRMASS
REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND PER 00Z/12 SOUNDINGS WHICH
INDICATED DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 20S ACROSS ME/PA/NY. MINIMUM RH
VALUES THIS AFTN WILL LIKELY FALL IN THE 25-30 PERCENT RANGE WITH
SLIGHTLY LOWER VALUES POSSIBLE.
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15-25 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS
TO 35+ POSSIBLE. OBSERVATIONS FROM 10HR FUELS SUGGEST MOISTURE IS
LESS THAN 10 PERCENT AMONG FINE FUELS...SO THE COMBINATION OF WINDY
AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL INCREASE POTENTIAL FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES.
...PORTIONS OF MN/WI...
TEMPS WILL BE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL IN THE 70S...WITH STRONG WLY SFC
WINDS. POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE
FROM 20-30 PERCENT WITH SUSTAINED 15-25 MPH WINDS. RECENT FIRE
DANGER OBSERVATIONS ARE IN THE HIGH/VERY HIGH RANGE. THE WARM AND
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY ENHANCE FIRE WEATHER THREATS.
..TAYLOR.. 04/12/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 121000
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0500 AM CDT WED APR 12 2006
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
NRN STREAM WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE AS SEVERAL IMPULSES MOVE EWD
ACROSS THE NRN TIER. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
GULF COAST AND SRN PLAINS STATES ON THU. SFC TROUGH WILL FORM ACROSS
THE NRN PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO MODEST LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS. SFC
WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS THROUGH THE
LOWER MS VALLEY. TEMPS WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL...WITH RECORD HIGH
TEMPS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF KS AND OK.
...SRN PLAINS...
STRENGTHENING SFC WINDS INVOF LEE TROUGH IN THE PLAINS WILL INCREASE
POTENTIAL FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES. TEMPS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL IN
THE 80S/90S COMBINED WITH S/SWLY WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT...AND THE
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE NOT IMPROVED. A CRITICAL AREA MAY BE
ISSUED IN THE NEXT OUTLOOK.
..TAYLOR.. 04/12/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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