Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 141011
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0511 AM CDT FRI APR 14 2006
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SE CA/SRN AND CNTRL AZ/NM/TX
   PANHANDLE...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW WEST COAST UPPER LOW STILL
   SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE. CLOSED MID/UPPER CIRCULATION IS
   FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SRN CA BY AFTN WITH ASSOCIATED 100 KT JET. AT
   LOWER LEVELS...LEE TROUGH WILL SET UP IN THE PLAINS WITH A LOW
   PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY BY EVENING. VERY
   STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND
   ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS AZ/NM TODAY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SE CA/SRN AND CNTRL AZ/NM/TX
   PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS/RH
   VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS WILL CONTINUE FOR MOST LOCATIONS WITH MORE RECORD
   HIGHS POSSIBLE. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE 60S/70S IN HIGHER
   ELEVATIONS TO 80S/90S IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. MINIMUM RH VALUES
   WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS SE AZ AND PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SRN
   NM. LAPSE RATES WILL BE DRY ADIABATIC WHICH WILL FACILITATE STRONG
   BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING. SUSTAINED WINDS ABOVE 20-30 MPH WILL BE
   POSSIBLE...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 45-55 MPH.
   
   ...SRN PLAINS...
   PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE RELATIVELY WEAK...BUT DAYTIME WINDS WILL
   STILL INCREASE INTO THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. IN ADDITION...WITH TEMPS IN
   THE UPPER 80S/90S...DEWPOINT DEPRESSION VALUES WILL BE 30-40
   DEGREES. SMOKE PLUMES OBSERVED DAILY ON VISIBLE SATELLITE SUGGEST
   FIRES ARE OCCURRING EVEN IN THE RELATIVELY MOIST AIR. THREAT FOR
   WIND DRIVEN FIRES WILL INCREASE TODAY AND EVEN MORE SO ON SATURDAY
   AS WEST COAST TROUGH APPROACHES.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 04/14/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 141014
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0514 AM CDT FRI APR 14 2006
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SWRN KS/SE CO/ERN NM/WRN
   OK/NW AND W TX...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/ERN CO/SRN NEB/KS/WRN AND
   CNTRL OK/WRN AND NCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   POTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
   INTO THE HIGH PLAINS ON SATURDAY AFTN. AT MID LEVELS...WINDS WILL
   INCREASE TO 70-80 KT WITH JET MAX EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS ERN NM
   INTO THE TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK. SFC LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN AS IT
   MOVES E/NEWD FROM CO INTO SCNTRL NEB BY 16/00Z. DRYLINE WILL MIX EWD
   INTO CNTRL OK...AND THE MOST EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
   OCCUR ALONG AND TO THE WEST OF THIS BOUNDARY.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SWRN KS/SE CO/ERN NM/WRN
   OK/NW AND W TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 25-40 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
   BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON
   SATURDAY...AS SUSTAINED VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 25-40 MPH
   WITH HIGHER GUSTS LIKELY. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE 90S EXCEPT OVER
   THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF ERN NM/W TX. WEST OF THE DRYLINE...RH VALUES
   WILL DROP INTO THE 5-15 PERCENT RANGE...WITH TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS
   OF 50-60 DEGREES LIKELY. RECENT FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS
   INDICATE HIGH TO EXTREME VALUES...AND 10 HR FUEL MOISTURE IS LESS
   THAN 5 PERCENT. WINDS WILL ALSO SHIFT FROM A MORE SLY DIRECTION TO
   WLY INVOF OF THE DRYLINE.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - ERN NM/ERN CO/SRN NEB/KS/WRN AND
   CNTRL OK/WRN AND NCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-35 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
   BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH ERN CO/NM ON SATURDAY...SO TEMPS
   WILL BE COOLER /IN THE 60S AND 70S/. DOWNSLOPE WLY WINDS WILL STILL
   ALLOW STRONG MIXING TO OCCUR AND WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 20-35 MPH
   WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RH VALUES WILL BE VERY LOW ACROSS THE CO/NM/W TX
   PORTIONS OF THE CRITICAL AREA. HOWEVER...DEWPOINTS WILL LIKELY BE IN
   THE 50S/60S ACROSS NCNTRL TX/ERN OK...OR EAST OF THE DRYLINE. THREAT
   FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES WILL BE INCREASED GIVEN THE EXTREME LONG TERM
   DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 04/14/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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