Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 180811
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0311 AM CDT TUE APR 18 2006
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NERN NM / SERN CO / SWRN KS /
   CNTRL AND WRN OK / NWRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD OUT OF THE CNTRL/NRN ROCKIES INTO
   THE PLAINS STATES TODAY. ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SURGE
   SEWD THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THE DAY AND INTO THE SRN
   PLAINS DURING THE EVENING. WINDS BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL BE STRONG
   OUT OF THE NW WITH LOW RH. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A SURFACE LOW/TROUGH
   WILL STRETCH FROM ERN KS/WRN MO ACROSS CENTRAL OK AND INTO NW TX BY
   AFTERNOON...WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH FROM CENTRAL OK
   WWD. LOW RH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE DESERT SW BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
   WITH SHORT TERM RIDGING.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NERN NM / SERN CO / SWRN KS /
   CNTRL AND WRN OK / NWRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOCALLY STRONG AND SHIFTING WINDS / LOW RH
   
   WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT EARLY IN THE DAY WITH SPEEDS
   OF 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ACROSS SERN CO/WRN KS AS WELL AS NERN
   NM...THE TX PANHANDLE AND WRN OK. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE
   COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAY BEHIND THE FRONT...RH WILL REMAIN LOW FROM
   10-15 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON WITH LOCAL VALUES IN THE SINGLE
   DIGITS ESPECIALLY OVER ERN NM AND WRN TX. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...HOT
   TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED WITHIN A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WHICH WILL
   LIE ACROSS CNTRL/ERN OK INTO NWRN TX. HIGHS IN THE 90S WILL BE
   LIKELY BEFORE WINDS SHIFT DURING THE AFTERNOON. RH WILL BE VERY LOW
   AND IN THE TEENS. LATER IN THE EVENING...SHIFTING WINDS WILL MOVE
   SWD INTO THE SRN PORTIONS OF CRITICAL AREA/NRN TX WHERE RH RECOVERY
   WILL BE POOR.
   
   ...NERN CO / SERN WY / WRN NEB...
   IT WILL BE EXTREMELY WINDY TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SURGES IN FROM THE
   W. SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS OF 30-40 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH ARE
   LIKELY. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW AT BEST
   HOWEVER...GIVEN MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND 50S. MIN RH
   VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 25 PERCENT FAR NRN CO TO 30-40 PERCENT WY AND
   NEB.
   
   ...LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
   HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CAUSE NLY WINDS TO PERSIST
   THROUGH THE RIVER VALLEY TODAY...WITH SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS. RH WILL REMAIN LOW AT 10-15 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 04/18/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 180815
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0315 AM CDT TUE APR 18 2006
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG UPPER LOW WILL BECOME CUT OFF FROM NRN STREAM JET AS IT MOVES
   SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS ON WED. STRONG WLY SFC WINDS WILL
   OCCUR ON SRN FRINGE OF THIS LOW ACROSS NEB AND KS. MEANWHILE...HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE SRN PLAINS WITH MAINLY LIGHT WINDS BUT
   LOW RH WILL REMAIN ESPECIALLY ACROSS W TX AND POINTS WEST. SURFACE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AS SURFACE LOW
   MEANDERS JUST OFFSHORE...AND HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS SWD OUT OF CANADA.
   THIS WILL INCREASE N WINDS FOR A MARGINAL FIRE THREAT.
   
   ...SRN NEB / NRN KS / NERN CO...
   WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG WED DUE TO STRONG SURFACE LOW TO THE
   NORTH. SUSTAINED WLY WINDS OF 25-35 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. SRN FRINGE OF STRONG WIND SPEED AREA MAY SEE MIN
   RH VALUES DECREASING TO AROUND 20 PERCENT BY AFTERNOON WITH
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S. HOWEVER...CURRENT RH FORECAST IS
   UNCERTAIN...BUT A SMALL CRITICAL AREA MAY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF
   KS/NEB IN NEXT DAY ONE IF RH REMAINS CRITICALLY LOW.
   
   ...DELMARVA / ERN PA / NJ / ERN NY / NEW ENGLAND...
   WINDS WILL INCREASE ON WED WITH TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 15 MPH APPEAR LIKELY FROM SERN PA/NJ
   INTO MD AND DE...WHILE HIGHER SPEEDS NEAR 20-25 MPH OCCUR FARTHER N
   INTO NEW ENGLAND. RH LEVELS WILL BE DOWN FROM PREVIOUS DAY AS WELL.
   DUE TO WARMER TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70...MIN RH OF 25-35
   PERCENT WILL BE WIDESPREAD. RECENT PRECIPITATION OVER ME WILL HELP
   MITIGATE FIRE THREAT THERE...WHILE OTHER AREAS SUCH AS SRN NJ AND
   DELMARVA AREA WILL HAVE A HIGHER THREAT WITH RECENT DROUGHT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 04/18/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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