Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 230925
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0425 AM CDT SUN APR 23 2006
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AZ/NM/SRN CO/FAR W TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM NOW MOVING INTO SRN CA WILL MOVE SLOWLY
   EAST ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN BY EARLY MONDAY. MODERATELY STRONG
   MID LEVEL FLOW /45-60 KT/ WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WINDY SFC
   CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NM/AZ TODAY. SFC DRYLINE WILL MIX EWD
   ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE...WITH TSTMS LIKELY DEVELOPING BY LATE AFTN.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN AZ/NM/SRN CO/FAR W TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG S/SW WINDS 20-30 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
   BELOW 15 PERCENT/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   HIGH TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE ABOUT 10-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
   TODAY...WITH TEMPS IN THE 70S/80S IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND LOWER
   90S ELSEWHERE. VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL ALLOW MIXING HEIGHTS TO
   RISE TO NEARLY 500 MB...WITH SFC WINDS INCREASING INTO THE 20-30 MPH
   RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE
   DIGITS WHICH WILL FURTHER CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS. RECENT FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS ARE VERY HIGH OR
   EXTREME ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. RECENT RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE TX
   PANHANDLE AND THE SOUTH PLAINS SHOULD REDUCE THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT
   IN ADDITION TO HIGHER RH VALUES EAST OF THE DRYLINE.
   
   HIGH BASED TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NE NM/EXTREME SE CO/SW KS.
   IF STORMS DO FORM...LOW PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES SUGGEST WETTING
   RAIN WOULD BE UNLIKELY. MORE SCATTERED COVERAGE OF STORMS IS
   EXPECTED EAST OF THE DRYLINE ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE.
   
   ...ERN CO/SW KS/OK PANHANDLE...
   GUSTY WINDS NEARING 20-30 MPH WILL DEVELOP TODAY ACROSS THE OK
   PANHANDLE AND PORTIONS OF SE CO/SW KS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE
   MODULATED BY THE DRYLINE...AND MAY RANGE FROM 15-25 PERCENT. HIGH
   FIRE DANGER INDICES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 04/23/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 230932
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0432 AM CDT SUN APR 23 2006
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN NM/FAR W TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WEST COAST STORM SYSTEM WILL BE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SRN
   GREAT BASIN AND INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION ON MONDAY.
   HOWEVER...STRONG W/SW FLOW AT MID/UPPER LEVELS WILL EXTEND ACROSS
   AZ/NM AND INTO THE SRN PLAINS BY MON EVENING. AT THE SFC...A COLD
   FRONT WILL SURGE SWD ACROSS THE TX/OK PANHANDLE DURING THE MORNING
   AND AFTERNOON. THE COOLER AIRMASS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME
   WETTING RAIN WILL MITIGATE THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF THE TX PANHANDLE/OKLAHOMA. WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
   ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF NM INTO FAR W TX.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN NM/FAR W TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: W/SW WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS/MINIMUM
   RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A VERY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER WILL PERSIST ON
   MONDAY ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF NM...WHERE HIGHS WILL LIKELY CLIMB
   INTO THE 80S/90S ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL
   BE LOW /5-15 PERCENT/ COMBINED WITH GUSTY SFC WINDS. NO SIGNIFICANT
   PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...AND THE
   COOLER AIRMASS WILL NOT ARRIVE IN SRN PORTIONS OF NM UNTIL EARLY TUE
   MORNING.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 04/23/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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