Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 281339
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK RESENT 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0839 AM CDT FRI APR 28 2006
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF WRN TX/SERN NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE SWRN STATES
   INTO THE SRN PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT. MUCH NEEDED PRECIPITATION WILL
   DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND SRN ROCKIES
   REGION. THERE WILL EXIST A SMALL AREA BEHIND THE ASSOCIATED
   DRYLINE/PACIFIC COLD FRONT WHERE LOW RH READINGS AND STRONG WLY
   WINDS WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER SERN NM/FAR
   SWRN TX. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
   THE DOMINANT FEATURE EAST OF THE MS RIVER. GENERALLY MILD
   TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH READINGS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS HIGH OVER THE
   ERN LAKES...MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND. DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF
   LOW RH READINGS ACROSS THESE REGIONS... GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL
   PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THESE REGIONS. FURTHER
   WEST...GUSTY NWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER
   SYSTEM/SFC COLD FRONT OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN. HOWEVER BELOW NORMAL
   TEMPERATURES AND MARGINAL RH READINGS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT IN THIS AREA AS WELL.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN NM/SWRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
   UP TO 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   THE REGION WILL LIE AHEAD OF THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE SRN
   ROCKIES...AND BEHIND A SFC DRYLINE THAT WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE
   HIGH PLAINS OF W-CENTRAL/SWRN TX DURING THE AFTERNOON. INCREASING
   COLD ADVECTION IN THE LOWER-MID LEVELS COMBINED WITH A STRONG SFC
   PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE WAKE OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO
   SUSTAINED WLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. DWPTS IN
   THE TEENS EARLY THIS MORNING OVER THEA AREA ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
   IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON AS DEEP MIXING OCCURS BEHIND THE PACIFIC
   COLD FRONT. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN RECENT
   DAYS...WITH READINGS MAINLY IN THE 60S/70S...MIN RH READINGS SHOULD
   STILL REACH 15 PERCENT DURING THE MID-LATE AFTERNOON. CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TO LAST WELL INTO THE EVENING HRS
   /ESPECIALLY IN THE DAVIS MTNS/ AS THE GRADIENT REMAINS STRONG.
   
   ...FLA...
   SFC WINDS WILL TURN NELY AS SFC PRESSURES BEGIN TO FALL IN RESPONSE
   TO THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE SRN PLAINS. DESPITE SLIGHTLY
   COOLER TEMPERATURES THAN OCCURRED YESTERDAY...DRY AIR WILL REMAIN
   OVER THE REGION. THUS MIN RH READINGS WILL REACH CRITICAL LEVELS
   /25-35 PERCENT...EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE EAST COAST/ DURING THE
   AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN 15
   MPH...PRECLUDING AN OUTLOOK AREA.
   
   ...ERN/SRN UT...NRN AZ...
   NWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND IN THE WAKE
   OF THE UPPER TROUGH. SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED
   WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW NORMAL
   AND MIN RH READINGS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 15 PERCENT AT ALL
   OR FOR A LONG ENOUGH PERIOD OF TIME TO WARRANT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 04/28/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 280909
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0409 AM CDT FRI APR 28 2006
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE EWD OVER THE PLAINS TOMORROW AS THE
   PATTERN ACROSS THE NATION REMAINS RELATIVELY AMPLIFIED CUTTING THE
   SYSTEM OFF FROM THE MAIN BELT OF WESTERLIES. ON THE BACK SIDE OF
   THIS UPPER TROUGH...DRY MODEST WNWLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE SRN
   HIGH PLAINS AND SRN ROCKIES. HOWEVER...MARGINAL WINDS WILL LIMIT THE
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
   COUNTRY...UPPER RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO AID IN A WARMING
   TREND/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER MUCH OF THE WEST.
   MEANWHILE...SFC-UPPER RIDGING WILL EXIST GENERALLY EAST OF THE
   APPALACHIANS. LOW RH READINGS WILL AGAIN BE PREVALENT ACROSS MUCH OF
   THIS REGION TOMORROW. DESPITE A GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING PRESSURE
   GRADIENT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ERN SEABOARD...SFC WINDS SHOULD
   REMAIN LOW ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREATS.
   
   ..SRN HIGH PLAINS/SRN ROCKIES...
   WNWLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL AVERAGE 15-20
   MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON AS A MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT CO-EXISTS
   WITH STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. LOW DWPTS...SEASONABLE
   TEMPERATURES AND LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS
   AROUND 15 PERCENT. GIVEN THE MARGINAL WINDS EXPECTED... CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
   
   ...MID-ATLANTIC...
   AREA WILL BE THE CLOSEST IN PROXIMITY TO A STRENGTHENING SFC CYCLONE
   WELL OFF THE COAST DURING THE PERIOD. THE RESULT WILL BE AN INCREASE
   IN NELY WINDS. PRESENCE OF DRY AIR /DWPTS IN THE 20S/ AND SEASONABLE
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-30
   PERCENT. SINCE SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH FOR MOST
   OF THE AREA /EXCEPT THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE WHERE DWPTS WILL BE
   HIGHER/ CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
   
   ...FLA...
   AS ON DAY ONE...SFC WINDS WILL BE NELY. DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE
   REGION AND THUS MIN RH READINGS WILL AGAIN REACH CRITICAL LEVELS
   /25-35 PERCENT EXCEPT THE EAST COAST/ DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN 15
   MPH...PRECLUDING AN OUTLOOK AREA.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 04/28/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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