Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 290954
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0454 AM CDT SAT APR 29 2006
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN/CNTRL FL...
...SYNOPSIS...
EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR SHOWED AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING INTO SW
TX...WITH ANOTHER UPPER STORM SYSTEM ACROSS THE DAKOTAS. THESE TWO
CIRCULATION CENTERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE INTO ONE MAIN SYSTEM
CENTERED OVER SRN NEB/NRN KS BY THIS EVENING. ASSOCIATED SFC COLD
FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM WRN AR/NRN LA/S TX BY LATE AFTN...WITH A
LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE
MIDWEST. MAIN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TODAY WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST...WHERE DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN/CNTRL FL...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT/STRONG
WINDS/HIGH KBDI VALUES
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE AT OR BELOW 35 PERCENT TODAY ACROSS MUCH
OF THE SOUTHEAST AND FL...ASSOCIATED WITH A DRY E/NELY FLOW WITHIN
EAST COAST RIDGE. GREATEST FIRE DANGER WILL BE ACROSS SRN/CNTRL
PORTIONS OF FL...WHERE FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST DEWPOINT
DEPRESSION VALUES WILL BE ON THE ORDER OF 30-40 DEGREES.
ADDITIONALLY...SFC WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15-25 MPH. LATEST OBSERVED
KBDI VALUES ARE IN THE 600-700 RANGE...INDICATIVE OF LONG TERM
DROUGHT.
..TAYLOR.. 04/29/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 290956
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0456 AM CDT SAT APR 29 2006
VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EWD INTO
THE UPPER MIDWEST ON SUNDAY. AT THE SFC...LEE SIDE TROUGH WILL FORM
OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS WHILE ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES EWD INTO
THE LOWER MS VALLEY. WARM AND WINDY WEATHER WILL RETURN TO SE NM/W
TX...WITH NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ON SUN
AFTN.
...SE NM/W TX...
MAX TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S WITH MINIMUM RH
VALUES BELOW 15-20 PERCENT AS WINDS BECOME W/SWLY. ALTHOUGH SOME
AREAS HAVE RECEIVED WETTING RAINS OVER THE PAST 2 DAYS...MANY AREAS
IN FAR W TX AND PORTIONS OF SE NM DID NOT HAVE MUCH IF ANY
PRECIPITATION. NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THESE LOCATIONS AS WINDS STRENGTHEN ON SUNDAY.
...FL...
THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN FL WILL RELAX
SOMEWHAT ON SUNDAY...AND SFC WINDS WILL BE WEAKER THAN ON SATURDAY.
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL STILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF
THE SOUTHEAST AND ESPECIALLY THE WEST COAST OF FL ON SUNDAY.
..TAYLOR.. 04/29/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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