Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 010952
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0452 AM CDT MON MAY 01 2006
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MA/CT/RI/DE/ERN MD/NJ/SE PA/SE
   NY...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY MAINLY ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE CONUS WITH
   THE EXCEPTION OF THE NORTHEAST AND THE UPPER MIDWEST. IN THE
   NORTHEAST...CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL RETROGRADE WEST ACROSS SRN NEW
   ENGLAND WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL NNE FLOW /45-50 KT/ FOCUSED FROM SRN
   NH/MA/NJ DURING THE DAY. DRY AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF
   THE EAST WHICH HAS BEEN DOMINATED BY LARGE SFC HIGH PRESSURE THE
   PAST FEW DAYS. THE INCREASING SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN
   MODERATELY STRONG WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST WHERE RH
   VALUES WILL ALSO BE LOW.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MA/CT/RI/DE/ERN MD/NJ/SE PA/SE
   NY...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH/LOW RH VALUES BELOW 30
   PERCENT/HIGH FIRE DANGER
   
   LOW SFC DEWPOINTS AND MAX TEMPS CLIMBING FROM THE MID 50S THROUGH
   LOWER 70S WILL CONTRIBUTE TO LOW HUMIDITY AGAIN TODAY /MIN RH VALUES
   15-25 PERCENT/. IN ADDITION...MODERATELY STRONG NELY SFC WINDS WILL
   BE GUSTY...RANGING FROM AROUND 15-25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER
   GUSTS. RECENT 10 HR FUEL MOISTURE OBSERVATIONS HAVE BEEN IN THE 3-8
   PERCENT RANGE...WITH HIGH FIRE DANGER CLASS OBS AS WELL. CRITICAL
   FIRE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA DUE TO
   THE COMBINATION OF DRY AND WINDY WEATHER.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 05/01/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 011225
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK CORR 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0725 AM CDT MON MAY 01 2006
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   CORRECTED FOR DAY OF WEEK
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING INTO WRN BC WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS WRN
   SASKATCHEWAN BY EARLY TUE. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE NRN
   PLAINS ALONG WITH A MID LEVEL SPEED MAX /80-90 KT/. SFC CYCLOGENESIS
   WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO THE LARGE SCALE HEIGHT
   FALLS...WITH A LEE TROUGH AND DRYLINE DEVELOPING SWD ACROSS THE HIGH
   PLAINS. IN ADDITION A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE DAKOTAS
   AND NEB WITH SHOWERS/TSTMS DEVELOPING EAST OF THE FRONT. SFC WINDS
   WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...WHICH MAY LEAD TO CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR W TX.
   
   ...FAR W TX...
   SLIGHTLY STRONGER SFC WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON TUE AS A LEE TROUGH
   BECOMES WELL ESTABLISHED AND A FRONTAL ZONE STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE
   CNTRL PLAINS. MINIMUM RH VALUES ACROSS SERN NM AND FAR W TX WILL
   FALL BELOW 15 PERCENT WITH HIGH TEMPS CLIMBING INTO THE 90S.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 05/01/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home