Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 020918
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0418 AM CDT TUE MAY 02 2006
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN WY...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER ERN MT WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE UPPER MS
RIVER VALLEY BY EARLY WED. A MID LEVEL SPEED MAX OF 75 TO 85 MPH
WILL SPREAD EWD TO THE S OF THE TROUGH ACROSS FAR SRN MT/NRN WY AND
INTO THE DAKOTAS THIS AFTERNOON. TO THE E OF THIS FEATURE...A
SURFACE LOW WILL OCCUR IN THE NRN PLAINS...WITH A TRAILING COLD
FRONT AND LEE TROUGH/DRY LINE ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS.
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAINED ANCHORED OFF THE PACIFIC
NW COAST...WITH A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN BETWEEN THIS
AND THE NRN PLAINS LOW.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN WY...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
AN E-W AXIS OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH WILL EXIST ALONG THE SRN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX THIS AFTERNOON. DOWNWARD MOMENTUM
TRANSPORT WILL BE ENHANCED AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES E INTO
THE NRN PLAINS AND LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN IN RESPONSE TO
SOLAR HEATING. SUSTAINED WLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH APPEAR LIKELY
THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. ALTHOUGH
TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY WARM /MAINLY IN THE 60S/...DEW
POINTS WILL BE LOW FROM AROUND 10 TO 20 DEGREES. THIS WILL LEAD TO
MIN RH VALUES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT. CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH
THIS EVENING AS WINDS DECREASE IN RESPONSE TO THE CONTINUED EWD
PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH.
...PORTIONS OF SERN NM AND FAR W TX...
SLIGHTLY STRONGER SFC WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A LEE TROUGH/DRY
LINE STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS. SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH...EXCEPT IN LOCALIZED HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. AS TEMPERATURES GENERALLY CLIMB INTO THE 90S...RH VALUES
WILL FALL TO AROUND 10 PERCENT.
..GRAMS.. 05/02/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 020918
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0418 AM CDT TUE MAY 02 2006
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY ON EARLY
WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE ITS EWD MOVEMENT REACHING THE NRN GREAT
LAKES BY EARLY THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MARCH SE INTO THE MID MS
VALLEY AND WILL TRAIL TO THE SW TO A SFC LOW NEAR THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE. ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SE ACROSS THE
MID-ATLANTIC. OTHERWISE FAIRLY ZONAL FLOW WILL BE FOUND ACROSS MUCH
OF THE SRN HALF OF THE CONUS.
...MOST OF CNTRL/SRN NM...
WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S ALONG WITH AN ANTECEDENT
DRY AIR MASS...WILL LEAD TO CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES OF 8 TO 15
PERCENT. MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL
WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF NM ON WEDNESDAY. THIS MAY LEAD TO
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS APPROACHING 20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
...MOST OF SRN NC...
THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
WILL LEAD TO MODERATE NW WINDS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED
SPEEDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH APPEAR LIKELY. AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE
LOW TO MID 80S AND DEW POINTS FALL INTO THE MID 40S TO LOW
50S...MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES OF 25 TO 30 PERCENT SHOULD OCCUR.
..GRAMS.. 05/02/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...