Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 020918
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0418 AM CDT TUE MAY 02 2006
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN WY...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER ERN MT WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE UPPER MS
   RIVER VALLEY BY EARLY WED. A MID LEVEL SPEED MAX OF 75 TO 85 MPH
   WILL SPREAD EWD TO THE S OF THE TROUGH ACROSS FAR SRN MT/NRN WY AND
   INTO THE DAKOTAS THIS AFTERNOON. TO THE E OF THIS FEATURE...A
   SURFACE LOW WILL OCCUR IN THE NRN PLAINS...WITH A TRAILING COLD
   FRONT AND LEE TROUGH/DRY LINE ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS.
   A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAINED ANCHORED OFF THE PACIFIC
   NW COAST...WITH A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN BETWEEN THIS
   AND THE NRN PLAINS LOW.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN WY...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
   
   AN E-W AXIS OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH WILL EXIST ALONG THE SRN
   PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX THIS AFTERNOON. DOWNWARD MOMENTUM
   TRANSPORT WILL BE ENHANCED AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES E INTO
   THE NRN PLAINS AND LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN IN RESPONSE TO
   SOLAR HEATING. SUSTAINED WLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH APPEAR LIKELY
   THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. ALTHOUGH
   TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY WARM /MAINLY IN THE 60S/...DEW
   POINTS WILL BE LOW FROM AROUND 10 TO 20 DEGREES. THIS WILL LEAD TO
   MIN RH VALUES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT. CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH
   THIS EVENING AS WINDS DECREASE IN RESPONSE TO THE CONTINUED EWD
   PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF SERN NM AND FAR W TX...
   SLIGHTLY STRONGER SFC WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A LEE TROUGH/DRY
   LINE STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS. SUSTAINED WIND
   SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH...EXCEPT IN LOCALIZED HIGHER
   ELEVATIONS. AS TEMPERATURES GENERALLY CLIMB INTO THE 90S...RH VALUES
   WILL FALL TO AROUND 10 PERCENT.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 05/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 020918
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0418 AM CDT TUE MAY 02 2006
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY ON EARLY
   WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE ITS EWD MOVEMENT REACHING THE NRN GREAT
   LAKES BY EARLY THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MARCH SE INTO THE MID MS
   VALLEY AND WILL TRAIL TO THE SW TO A SFC LOW NEAR THE TEXAS
   PANHANDLE. ELSEWHERE...A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SE ACROSS THE
   MID-ATLANTIC. OTHERWISE FAIRLY ZONAL FLOW WILL BE FOUND ACROSS MUCH
   OF THE SRN HALF OF THE CONUS.
   
   ...MOST OF CNTRL/SRN NM...
   WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S ALONG WITH AN ANTECEDENT
   DRY AIR MASS...WILL LEAD TO CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES OF 8 TO 15
   PERCENT. MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL
   WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF NM ON WEDNESDAY. THIS MAY LEAD TO
   SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS APPROACHING 20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
   
   
   ...MOST OF SRN NC...
   THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
   WILL LEAD TO MODERATE NW WINDS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED
   SPEEDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH APPEAR LIKELY. AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE
   LOW TO MID 80S AND DEW POINTS FALL INTO THE MID 40S TO LOW
   50S...MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES OF 25 TO 30 PERCENT SHOULD OCCUR.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 05/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home