Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 070859
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0359 AM CDT SUN MAY 07 2006
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FL PENINSULA...
...SYNOPSIS...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT WILL BRING RAIN TO MUCH OF THE SERN
STATES...THE EXCEPTION BEING THE FL PENINSULA WHERE IT WILL REMAIN
HOT AND DRY. FARTHER W...ANOTHER TROUGH AXIS WILL EXTEND FROM THE
NRN PLAINS SWD INTO THE SRN ROCKIES. WLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AS A
RESULT FROM MT TO NM AND W TX WHERE MODERATELY WINDY AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE NRN
PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER
THE DAKOTAS WITH MODERATELY LOW RH VALUES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - FL PENINSULA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH / HOT TEMPERATURES / DRY AND UNSTABLE
LOWER ATMOSPHERE / DROUGHT
...FL PENINSULA...
IT WILL BE ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY TODAY WITH VERY LOW RH IN THE FL
INTERIOR. HOT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 90S WILL COMBINE WITH DEEP
VERTICAL MIXING TO LOWER RH LEVELS BELOW 30 PERCENT IN SPOTS. STRONG
HEATING WILL ALSO ALLOW MIXING LAYERS TO DEEPEN TO AROUND 7000-8000
FT AGL...MAKING FOR A VERY UNSTABLE SITUATION BY AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION TO THE WARM AND DRY AIR MASS...SUSTAINED WLY WINDS OF 10-15
MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS TO NEAR 20 MPH.
...FAR SW TX / SRN NM...
A LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER ERN NM INTO SWRN TX THROUGH THE
DAY...WITH MODERATE WLY FLOW ALOFT COMING ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES.
STRONG HEATING AND VERTICAL MIXING WILL ALLOW SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS
OF 15-20 MPH TO DEVELOP...WITH HIGHER SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH NEAR RIDGE
TOPS. MIN RH WILL RANGE FROM 10-15 PERCENT.
...UPPER MS VALLEY...
SLY FLOW WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF DEEPENING SURFACE TROUGH...WITH
SPEEDS OF 15-25 MPH COMMON. WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WILL ALLOW
RH LEVELS TO DROP TO 30-35 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF MN AND WI.
..JEWELL.. 05/07/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 070953
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0453 AM CDT SUN MAY 07 2006
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE QUICKLY SEWD OUT OF SWRN CANADA INTO THE
NRN ROCKIES AND PLAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A
SLIGHT AMPLIFICATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH LOWERING
PRESSURE THROUGH THE PLAINS AND HIGHER WINDS AS A RESULT. AT THE
SURFACE...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS
INTO WRN KS AND SERN CO BY LATE MONDAY. STRONG WINDS BUT COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR BEHIND THIS FRONT...WITH RAIN/STORMS ALONG
AND AHEAD OF IT. MEANWHILE...A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS
AZ/NM/W TX...AND CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP GIVEN INCREASING
WLY WINDS.
TO THE SOUTH...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR RAIN
AND STORMS ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY...SHIFTING EWD
ALONG THE GULF COAST WHERE A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL EXIST. SOUTH
OF THIS BOUNDARY...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
FL PENINSULA.
...AZ / NM / W TX...
NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL MATERIALIZE MONDAY AFTERNOON IN
RESPONSE TO INCREASE WIND SPEEDS. A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE...AS SRN PERIPHERY OF UPPER TROUGH/STRONGER WINDS ALOFT AFFECT
THE AREA. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SRN NM AS WELL AS FAR SWRN TX...IN AREAS THAT
HAVE RECEIVED LITTLE PRECIPITATION RECENTLY. COMBINATION OF WIND AND
RH / 20-25 MPH AND 10-15 PERCENT / WOULD NORMALLY YIELD CRITICAL
FIRE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ERN PLAINS OF NM...BUT RECENT
PRECIPITATION WILL MITIGATE THREAT.
...NRN LOWER MI...
MARGINAL FIRE THREAT WILL EXIST MONDAY DUE TO DRY AIR ASSOCIATED
WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND MARGINAL SLY WINDS ALONG. SUSTAINED WINDS OF
10-15 MPH WILL BE LIKELY ALONG WITH MIN RH OF 25-30 PERCENT.
PORTIONS OF NRN LOWER MI HAVE RECEIVED LITTLE RAIN RECENTLY...THUS
AN ELEVATED FIRE THREAT.
..JEWELL.. 05/07/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...