Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 080833
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0333 AM CDT MON MAY 08 2006
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AND SRN INTERIOR FL...
...SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN SITUATED OVER THE WRN ATLANTIC WHICH WILL
KEEP HUMIDITIES LOW OVER THE FL PENINSULA ALONG WITH WARM
TEMPERATURES. TO THE WEST...BROAD LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE NRN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...CAUSING A
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH TO DEVELOP FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO
WRN KS AND W TX. A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS AZ/NM/W
TX...AND NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP FROM NRN AZ INTO NM
AND SW TX DUE TO MARGINALLY STRONG WINDS. ELSEWHERE...LOW HUMIDITY
WILL EXIST OVER LOWER MI WITH SLY FLOW OUT OF NERN SURFACE HIGH FOR
A MARGINAL FIRE THREAT THERE.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN AND SRN INTERIOR FL...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH / WARM TEMPERATURES / DROUGHT / LOCALLY
GUSTY W WIND
IT WILL BE ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY ACROSS SRN FL...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S AND RH LEVELS DROPPING INTO THE 30
PERCENT RANGE...MAINLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND AWAY FROM THE COASTAL
AREAS WHERE WINDS WILL BE ONSHORE. SUSTAINED SPEEDS MAY INCREASE TO
AS MUCH AS 15 MPH IN SPOTS. GIVEN VERY HIGH KBDI VALUES OF 600-700
AND ONGOING FIRES...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON.
...NRN AZ / NM / SW TX...
WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS LARGE UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO DRIFT SWD.
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER NRN AZ WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR
20 MPH...DECREASING TO 15-20 MPH OVER MOST OF NM AND W TX. WIND
GUSTS WILL BE HIGHER IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH. RH LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW
AT 10-15 PERCENT. LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY EXIST IN AREAS
THAT ARE NOT IN GREENUP.
...LOWER MI...
IT WILL BE A WARM AND DRY DAY WITH INCREASING SLY WINDS AROUND 15
MPH AND TEMPERATURES NEAR 70. MIN RH VALUES WILL BE LOW DUE TO WIND
TRAJECTORIES COMING OUT OF HIGH TO THE EAST...WITH 25-30 PERCENT
COMMON. RECENT LACK OF RAINFALL IN THE PAST TWO WEEKS COMBINED WITH
LOW RH AND MODERATE WINDS WILL MAY CAUSE CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO
DEVELOP FOR A COUPLE HOURS DURING PEAK HEATING.
..JEWELL.. 05/08/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 080955
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0455 AM CDT MON MAY 08 2006
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NM AND SWRN TX...FAR ERN
AZ...
...SYNOPSIS...
LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NRN
PLAINS ON TUESDAY...EMERGING INTO THE MS VALLEY REGION BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM MN INTO
MO SWWD ACROSS NRN OK AND INTO NERN NM BY TUE AFTERNOON. SOUTH OF
THIS FRONT...A HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL EXIST OVER AZ/NM/TX...WITH
INCREASING WLY WINDS W OF SURFACE LOW WHICH WILL BE OVER NW TX
DURING THE AFTERNOON.
ELSEWHERE...IT WILL REMAIN VERY WARM IN FL WITH LOW RH VALUES...BUT
PERHAPS NOT AS LOW AS PREVIOUS TWO DAYS. LOW RH VALUES WILL EXIST
ACROSS MUCH OF THE NERN STATES UNDER HIGH PRESSURE...BUT WITH MAINLY
LIGHT WINDS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF NM AND SWRN TX...FAR ERN
AZ...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL MATERIALIZE TUE WITH INCREASING WLY
WINDS AND HOT TEMPERATURES. A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL SKIRT THE AREA
TO THE NORTH...AND WILL CAUSE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO FORM ACROSS
THE SRN PLAINS. THE AIR MASS BEHIND THIS LOW WILL BE VERY DRY WITH
MIN RH VALUES OF 10-15 PERCENT LIKELY. IN ADDITION...SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH WILL BE LIKELY FROM
EXTREME ERN AZ ACROSS NM AND INTO WRN TX. THREAT WILL BE MITIGATED
IN AREAS JUST E OF CRITICAL ZONE...DUE TO RECENT PRECIPITATION AND
POSSIBLE GREENUP. HOWEVER...LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY EXTEND
FARTHER E THAN CURRENT OUTLOOK AREA.
...INTERIOR FL PENINSULA...
IT WILL REMAIN VERY WARM TUESDAY SOUTH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT
WILL EXTEND ACROSS NRN FL. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE LIKELY WITH
THIS BOUNDARY...AND DAYTIME SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE MAY CAUSE
ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE PENINSULA...MAINLY NRN
AND ERN PORTIONS. IN AREAS THAT REMAIN DRY...RH LEVELS WILL APPROACH
CRITICAL LEVELS BELOW 40 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING WITH HIGHS NEAR 90.
DUE TO FORECAST WEAKER WIND SPEEDS AND POSSIBILITY OF RAIN...AREA
WILL NOT BE OUTLOOKED AS CRITICAL...ALTHOUGH SOME PORTION COULD BE
UPGRADED IF IT BECOMES APPARENT RH WILL BE MUCH LOWER THAN CURRENTLY
FORECAST.
..JEWELL.. 05/08/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...