Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 120802
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 AM CDT FRI MAY 12 2006
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ALL OF FLORIDA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AS IN THE PAST PREVIOUS COUPLE OF DAYS...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
   SYSTEM WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STATIONARY OVER THE GREAT LAKES
   REGION...BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO THAT REGION AND THE NORTHEAST
   UNITED STATES. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
   CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES...THROUGH FLORIDA...AND
   INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. IN FLORIDA...WINDS BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL
   BE MODERATELY STRONG...AND WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A INCREASED FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT. ELSEWHERE...A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER
   THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...BRINGING RELATIVELY DRY...WARM...AND TRANQUIL
   WEATHER TO THAT REGION.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ALL OF FLORIDA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...MODERATE WIND
   SPEEDS...CONTINUATION OF SHORT TERM DROUGHT
   
   A FIRE WEATHER THREAT EXISTS TODAY FOR THE ENTIRE STATE OF FLORIDA.
   DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST
   TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT...WHILE MAINLY WESTERLY WIND SPEEDS WILL
   APPROACH 15 TO 20 KTS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
   FLORIDA. GIVEN THESE CONDITIONS AND THE CURRENT SHORT TERM DROUGHT
   SITUATION DUE TO LACK OF RECENT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL...THE REGION
   WILL BE UNDER A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
   ARE FORECAST TO RECOVER QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET...SO THE MAIN THREAT
   WILL EXIST DURING THE LATER AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS WHEN
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE LOWEST...AND WIND SPEEDS ARE MAXIMIZED.
   ALSO OF NOTE...NEAR THE COASTLINE...LOCALIZED SEA BREEZE EFFECTS
   WILL BRING SUDDEN SHIFTS IN WIND DIRECTION MAINLY IN THE LATE
   AFTERNOON...CONTRIBUTING TO RAPID CHANGES IN FIRE BEHAVIOR.
   
   ...CENTRAL TX...
   
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT DURING THE LATE
   AFTERNOON...AND SURFACE WIND SPEEDS WILL APPROACH 20 KTS...WITH
   HIGHER GUSTS...DURING THE SAME TIME PERIOD...AS MODERATELY STRONG
   BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THESE CONDITIONS
   SHOULD RAPIDLY IMPROVE AFTER SUNSET...WHEN THE WINDS DECOUPLE AND
   RELATIVE HUMIDITIES QUICKLY RECOVER. THEREFORE...A FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT WILL EXIST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 05/12/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 120901
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0401 AM CDT FRI MAY 12 2006
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ALL OF FLORIDA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   IN THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST UNITED STATES...A SURFACE LOW
   PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN FAIRLY STATIONARY AND
   PROVIDE THE REGION WITH PRECIPITATION. A NEW COLD FRONT WILL FORM IN
   THE TENNESSEE AND MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEYS...WHILE A NEW SURFACE
   CYCLONE DEVELOPS INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. AHEAD OF THE COLD
   FRONT...SOME RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...AS IT MOVES SOUTH
   TO THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. FURTHER SOUTH INTO
   FLORIDA...A FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL AGAIN EXIST DUE TO LOW RELATIVE
   HUMIDITY VALUES AND GUSTY WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ALL OF FLORIDA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MODERATELY STRONG AFTERNOON WIND
   SPEEDS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING BELOW 30 PERCENT
   
   THE FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR TODAY IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS
   DAY 1 FORECAST. AGAIN...AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL
   BELOW 30 PERCENT...AND SURFACE WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO PEAK
   AROUND 15 TO 20 KTS...ESPECIALLY IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A SIMILAR
   AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN IN PLACE...ONE THAT IS RELATIVELY
   DRY...AND GIVEN THE CONTINUED SHORT TERM DROUGHT IN THE REGION...A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST DUE TO THIS AIRMASS AND THE
   MODERATELY STRONG SURFACE WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED TO BE OBSERVED DURING
   THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. AS IN THE PREVIOUS
   DAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO RECOVER QUICKLY AFTER
   SUNSET...AS WELL AS DIMINISHING WIND SPEEDS...HELPING TO MITIGATE
   THE FIRE WEATHER DANGER. LOCALIZED SEA BREEZE CONDITIONS ALONG THE
   COAST COULD...AGAIN...QUICKLY CHANGE FIRE BEHAVIOR.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 05/12/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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