Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140903
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0403 AM CDT SUN MAY 14 2006
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL FLA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STAGNANT UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NATION TODAY
   AS UPPER TROUGHING EXISTS OVER THE EAST AND UPPER RIDGING EXISTS
   OVER THE WEST. ASSOCIATED WITH THE ERN UPPER TROUGH...A SFC COLD
   FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND SERN STATES. NORTH
   OF THIS FRONT...DRIER/COOLER AIR WILL EXIST AND WINDS WILL GENERALLY
   AVERAGE LESS THAN 20 MPH PRECLUDING ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. SOUTH
   OF THIS FRONT OVER FLA...WARM TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVELY DRY AIR
   WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
   PARTS OF THE STATE. OVER THE WEST...WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
   WILL CONTINUE UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE. ISOLATED-SCT CONVECTION WILL
   DEVELOP AGAIN OVER THE FOUR CORNERS/GREAT BASIN AS LOW-MID LEVEL
   MOISTURE GRADUALLY INCREASES FROM SE-NW. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION
   WILL BE DRY...BUT THE OVERALL COVERAGE SHOULD BE LIMITED ENOUGH TO
   PRECLUDE A CRITICAL DRY THUNDERSTORM EVENT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL FLA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS AROUND 15 MPH...MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT.
   
   AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...SWLY WINDS SHOULD INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH
   THIS AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER WRN PORTIONS
   OF THE PENINSULA...BUT INTERIOR REGIONS SHOULD SEE ANOTHER DAY OF
   LOW RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS/LOW RH
   READINGS WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT TO THE
   AREA.
   
   ...FOUR CORNERS/GREAT BASIN...
   MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS WITH WWD
   TRANSPORT AND MIXING OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
   FRONT THAT MOVES INTO ERN NM DURING THE PERIOD. ALONG THE WRN EDGE
   OF ANY CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS...VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AND
   CONSEQUENT HIGH CLOUD BASES WILL SUPPORT MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS.
   WITH LACK OF A WELL FOCUSING MECHANISM...ONLY SCT DRY THUNDERSTORMS
   ARE EXPECTED WHICH IS BELOW CRITERIA FOR A CRITICAL AREA. FURTHER
   NW...ISOLATED DRY TSTMS WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE GREAT BASIN AGAIN
   THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS MID LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS NEAR THE CENTER
   OF AN THE UPPER RIDGE.
   
   ...INTERIOR SRN FLA...
   ANOTHER DAY OF LOW RH READINGS /30-35 PERCENT/ WILL OCCUR TODAY
   BEFORE MOISTURE LEVELS INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY TOMORROW. RELATIVELY
   WEAK WINDS /5-10 MPH/ DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF AN AREA OF SURFACE
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL LIMIT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 05/14/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 140904
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0404 AM CDT SUN MAY 14 2006
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A VERY SIMILAR WEATHER PATTERN WILL EXIST TOMORROW AS UPPER
   TROUGHING REMAINS OVER THE ERN CONUS...AND UPPER RIDGING REMAINS
   OVER THE WRN CONUS. OVER THE EAST...SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN
   CONTROL OVER MUCH OF THE PLAINS...WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND GENERALLY
   LIGHT WINDS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SWD THROUGH FLA...WITH MUCH
   NEEDED RAINFALL ACCOMPANYING THE FRONT. OVER THE WEST...LOW-MID
   LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AND
   GREAT BASIN SUPPORTED BY A WWD MOVING SURFACE COLD FRONT IN NM. ON
   THE WRN EDGE OF THIS INCREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE...ISOLATED-SCT
   DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN/FOUR
   CORNERS REGION WHERE VERY WARM SFC TEMPERATURES/LOW RH READINGS
   EXIST. SCT TSTMS WILL BE LIKELY AS FAR NORTH AS THE PACIFIC
   NORTHWEST...BUT LOW LEVELS WILL NOT BE SUFFICIENTLY DRY IN THIS AREA
   TO SUPPORT DRY THUNDERSTORMS.
   
   ...ERN/NRN AZ...
   ISO-SCT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING
   HRS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN SUPPORTED BY INCREASING LOW-MID LEVEL
   MOISTURE ADVECTED IN FROM PREVIOUS CONVECTION/FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER
   WRN NM ON DAY ONE. VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH LOW RH READINGS
   WILL ALLOW FOR MAINLY DRY TSTMS OVER THE AREA. THE OVERALL COVERAGE
   OF DRY TSTMS SHOULD REMAIN LOW ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...MUCH OF NV/ERN UT...
   DRY TSTMS WILL AGAIN OCCUR OVER THE GREAT BASIN...WITH NWWD
   DEVELOPMENT INTO NWRN/WRN NV. OVERALL THE COVERAGE WILL REMAIN
   SUFFICIENTLY LOW THAT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT
   ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 05/14/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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