Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 240839
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0339 AM CDT WED MAY 24 2006
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL AND WRN NEBRASKA...FAR
SERN WY AND SWRN SD...
...SYNOPSIS...
A VERY WARM AND DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN FROM SRN CA INTO W TX
UNDERNEATH UPPER RIDGE...BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. ALONG NRN
PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NRN ROCKIES WILL
COMBINE WITH SURFACE LOW TRANSLATING EWD INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY TO
PRODUCE VERY STRONG NWLY WINDS OVER THE NRN PLAINS. LOW RH WILL
ACCOMPANY THE WINDS FROM ERN MT INTO NEBRASKA. ELSEWHERE...IT WILL
BE WARM AND DRY ACROSS INTERIOR FL BUT WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE KEEP RH LEVELS LOW OVER MUCH OF
THE MID ATLANTIC AND NERN STATES...BUT WITH LIGHT WINDS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - CENTRAL AND WRN NEBRASKA...FAR SERN
WY AND SWRN SD...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / WARM TEMPERATURES
VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRANSLATE EWD OUT OF THE
DAKOTAS AND INTO MN DURING THE DAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
QUICKLY BEHIND THIS LOW...AND WILL CAUSE VERY STRONG WINDS TO OCCUR.
SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL BE LIKELY...WITH GUSTS OF
30-50 MPH ACROSS NRN NEBRASKA INTO SD. RH LEVELS WILL DROP AS DEEP
MIXING OCCURS...WITH VALUES INTO THE TEENS DURING PEAK HEATING.
ALTHOUGH SOME GREENUP IS OCCURRING...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL STILL
MATERIALIZE ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE FINE FUEL LOADINGS ARE
HEAVIEST.
...ERN MT INTO WRN DAKOTAS / ERN NEB...
WINDS WILL BE VERY STRONG OUT OF THE NW AT OVER 30 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...ALTHOUGH RH LEVELS WILL NOT BE AS LOW AS FARTHER SW WITH
25-35 PERCENT TYPICAL. IN ADDITION...RAIN WAS FALLING OVER MUCH OF
THE AREA AS OF EARLY MORNING...THUS THREAT WILL BE MITIGATED DUE TO
ADDED MOISTURE.
..JEWELL.. 05/24/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 240923
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0423 AM CDT WED MAY 24 2006
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A VERY HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE DESERT SW AND
FOUR CORNERS STATES UNDER A STRONG UPPER RIDGE. PRESENCE OF WEAK
UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY REGION WILL
BRING A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS FOR A MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
FARTHER NE...ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE HIGH
TERRAIN OF CENTRAL AND SRN CO.
...MUCH OF AZ AND NM...SRN CO AND UT...
FIRE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE PERIOD DUE TO
PERSISTENT HOT AND DRY WEATHER...AS WELL AS INCREASING INSTABILITY.
HOT TEMPERATURES AND DRY AIR MASS WILL CAUSE A HIGH HAINES IN MANY
AREAS LATE IN THE DAY...WHEN RH LEVELS WILL BE LOWEST AND IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS. IN ADDITION...A WEAK UPPER
DISTURBANCE WILL HELP WEAKEN THE WRN EDGE OF THE RIDGE A BIT...AND
WILL CAUSE AN INCREASE IN WINDS ALOFT. THESE WINDS WILL MIX EASILY
TO THE SURFACE...AVERAGING 10-15 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. VERY HOT AND
DRY AIRMASS COMBINED WITH VERY DRY FUELS WILL PROVIDE AN ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR FIRE STARTS THURSDAY. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT GIVEN
HIGH HAINES...VERY LOW RH...AND VERY DRY FUELS...DEGREE OF FIRE
THREAT WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON WIND FORECAST.
...SRN CO INTO NRN NM...
AT LEAST ISOLATED DRY THUNDER IS LIKELY LATE THU WITH VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES AND STEEP LAPSE RATES. GENERAL SLY FLOW REGIME WILL
CAUSE CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ALONG THE CO FRONT RANGE AS WELL AS OVER
CENTRAL CO MTNS. DEVELOPMENT MAY EXTEND SWD INTO FAR NRN NM AS
WELL...IF ENOUGH MOISTURE EXISTS. HIGHEST THREAT OF FIRE STARTS WILL
BE OVER THE SRN HALF OF THE STATE OF CO AND POINTS SOUTH WHERE FUELS
ARE DRIEST. FORECAST COVERAGE OF LIGHTNING IS TOO LOW FOR A CRITICAL
DRY THUNDER AREA AT THIS TIME...BUT CONFIDENCE IN EXACT AREA AND
STORM CONCENTRATION WILL BE MUCH HIGHER IN NEXT DAY 1 FORECAST.
...CNTRL NEB...
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MO VALLEY BEHIND UPPER LOW
MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH
WILL STILL BE LIKELY...ALTHOUGH RH LEVELS WILL PROBABLY NOT DIP
BELOW 20-25 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING. THIS...COMBINED WITH RECENT
PRECIPITATION...WILL HELP MITIGATE FIRE THREAT.
..JEWELL.. 05/24/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...