Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 010912
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0412 AM CDT THU JUN 01 2006
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WRN UPPER RIDGE/ERN UPPER TROUGH PATTERN WILL BECOME RE-ESTABLISHED
   ACROSS THE NATION THROUGH THE END OF DAY ONE. UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
   THE UPPER RIDGE...NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES WILL EXIST OVER MUCH
   OF THE INTERMTN REGION. LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE WWD INTO
   PORTIONS OF ERN AZ ALONG THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE WRN UPPER RIDGE.
   THIS MOISTURE WILL AID IN DEVELOPMENT OF SCT TSTMS...MANY DRY...OVER
   THIS AREA. UPSTREAM OF THE UPPER RIDGE...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL
   APPROACH THE PAC NW COAST. SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE NRN
   GREAT BASIN...BUT WILL NOT REACH CRITICAL LVLS. FURTHER EAST...A
   COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SWD EXTENDING FROM THE SRN PLAINS
   INTO THE ERN LAKES REGION AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH. AHEAD
   OF THIS FRONT...SCT-NMRS TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. BEHIND THE
   FRONT...DRIER AIR WILL FILTER SWD THROUGH THE NRN/CENTRAL
   PLAINS...BUT NLY WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT.
   
   ...SERN AZ/SWRN NM...
   LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE WWD INTO THE WHITE/CHIRICAHUA MTNS
   TODAY AIDED BY CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW FROM TSTMS OVER SRN NM YESTERDAY.
   SCT TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS A RESULT OF STRONG DAYTIME
   HEATING AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT. CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE SWWD
   OFF HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. A VERY
   WARM/DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER OVER LOWER ELEVATIONS SUGGESTS THAT
   MOST TSTMS WILL BE DRY...POSING A THREAT FOR GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS AND
   POTENTIAL FIRE STARTS. OVERALL COVERAGE OF TSTMS WILL REMAIN LOW
   ENOUGH THAT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED.
   
   ...NRN GREAT BASIN...
   UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EWD OF THE REGION TODAY AS AN
   UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES THE PAC NW COAST. DEEPENING SFC LOW PRESSURE
   OVER INTERIOR WA/ORE AND STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL
   SUPPORT INCREASING SLY WINDS AT THE SFC. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
   EXPECTED TO AVERAGE FROM 15-20 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS OVER 25 MPH. MIN
   RH READINGS WILL AVERAGE FROM 10-15 PERCENT. LACK OF STRONGER WINDS
   WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/01/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 010912
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0412 AM CDT THU JUN 01 2006
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW WILL GRADUALLY DE-AMPLIFY AS IT
   CROSSES THE NRN ROCKIES AND ENCOUNTERS A STRONG UPPER RIDGE CENTERED
   OVER THE FOUR CORNERS. THE RESULTANT PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROUGH
   WILL AID IN NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE NRN/ERN
   GREAT BASIN AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE NRN ROCKIES. ON THE SRN
   PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE...MID LEVEL MOISTURE  ABOVE A VERY
   WARM/DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL SUPPORT MAINLY DRY TSTMS OVER
   PORTIONS OF SCENTRAL/SERN AZ AND SWRN NM. COVERAGE OF DRY TSTMS IS
   ANTICIPATED TO BE BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. ELSEWHERE A DEEPENING UPPER
   TROUGH OVER THE ERN CONUS WILL PRECLUDE ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS IN
   THIS AREA.
   
   ...SRN AZ/SWRN NM...
   LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY ADVECT WWD AGAIN EARLY IN THE
   PERIOD AIDED BY OUTFLOW FROM DAY ONE CONVECTION. ANOTHER DAY OF NEAR
   RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW ELEVATIONS WILL SUPPORT MAINLY
   DRY TSTMS AS CONVECTION MOVES OFF HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE LATE
   AFTERNOON.
   
   ...NRN/ERN GREAT BASIN...LOWER ELEVATIONS OF NRN ROCKIES...
   AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ALONG THE LEE
   SIDE OF THE NRN ROCKIES. MODERATE MID LEVEL FLOW COMBINED WITH
   MODEST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT A BROAD AREA OF SUSTAINED SFC
   WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH FROM NRN NV/UT INTO WRN
   MT/ERN ID AND WRN WY. LOW RH READINGS WILL EXIST OVER MOST OF THE
   AREA...AS NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. LACK OF STRONGER
   UPPER SYSTEM AND SFC WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/01/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home