Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 020907
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0407 AM CDT FRI JUN 02 2006
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN LOCATED OVER THE INTERMTN WEST
   TODAY...WITH A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN CONUS. A
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING THROUGH THE PAC NW TODAY WILL AID IN
   INCREASING SFC SWLY WINDS OVER THE GREAT BASIN. HOWEVER WINDS SPEEDS
   ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. UNDER THE PRESENCE OF
   THE UPPER RIDGE...NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH VERY LOW
   RH READINGS /5-10 PERCENT/ WILL BE COMMON ACROSS MOST OF THE
   SWRN/GREAT BASIN STATES. ISOLATED DRY TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP A LITTLE
   FURTHER WEST INTO LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SERN/ECENTRAL AZ TODAY AS MID
   LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ROTATE WWD AROUND THE UPPER RIDGE
   CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS.
   
   ...SERN/ECENTRAL AZ...
   LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE HAS MOVD WWD INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING AIDED
   BY OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTION YESTERDAY 0VER FAR SERN AZ/SWRN NM.
   ANOTHER DAY OF ISOLATED-SCT TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
   HIGHER TERRAIN OF SERN/ECENTRAL AZ AND FAR WRN NM. A DEEPLY MIXED
   BOUNDARY LAYER AND VERY LOW RH READINGS/NEAR RECORD HIGH
   TEMPERATURES WILL EXIST OVER THE AREA TODAY. THUS TSTMS THAT DEVELOP
   WILL LIKELY BE DRY AS THEY MOVE FROM THE MTNS INTO LOWER ELEVATIONS
   WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG/ERRATIC WINDS AND FIRE STARTS. THE
   OVERALL COVERAGE OF TSTMS DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE SUFFICIENTLY HIGH
   FOR A CRITICAL OUTLOOK AREA.
   
   ...NRN GREAT BASIN...
   SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
   MPH THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL BE MOVING
   ACROSS THE PAC NW. NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH
   LOW DWPTS TO PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS FROM 5-10 PERCENT. LACK OF
   STRONGER SFC WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 020908
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0408 AM CDT FRI JUN 02 2006
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE OVER THE INTERMTN WEST WILL BEGIN TO BREAKDOWN SLIGHTLY
   TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD AS A STRONG UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO
   THE PAC NW. WELL ABOVE NORMAL/RECORD TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN EXIST
   OVER MUCH OF THE GREAT BASIN/DESERT SWRN STATES UNDER THE PRESENCE
   OF THE UPPER RIDGE WHICH WILL BE CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS.
   ISOLATED DRY TSTMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF
   REMNANT LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE OVER ERN/SRN AZ AND SRN NM. FURTHER
   NORTH...SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD OVER THE NRN
   GREAT BASIN IN RESPONSE TO SFC PRESSURE FALLS IN ADVANCE OF THE
   UPPER TROUGH. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...UPPER TROUGHING WILL
   REMAIN OVER THE ERN CONUS...PRECLUDING ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
   SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS AIDING IN A
   WARMING TREND AND LOWERING RH READINGS. RECENT PRECIPITATION OVER
   THIS REGION SUGGESTS THAT THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD REMAIN
   SUB-CRITICAL.
   
   ...SRN/ERN AZ AND SRN NM...
   AS THE UPPER RIDGE BECOMES SLOWLY DE-AMPLIFIED DURING THE
   PERIOD...MID LEVEL WARMING/SUBSIDENCE WILL MOVE SWD INTO ECENTRAL
   AZ/WCENTRAL NM AND SHOULD LIMIT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THESE
   AREAS. HOWEVER...TSTMS SHOULD AGAIN DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF SRN AZ
   INTO SRN NM. THE DRIEST/DEEPEST MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL EXIST OVER
   SCENTRAL/SERN AZ...WHERE ISOLATED DRY TSTMS ARE LIKELY. COVERAGE
   SHOULD REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS.
   
   ...NRN GREAT BASIN...
   SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD OVER THE NRN GREAT BASIN
   IN RESPONSE TO SFC PRESSURE FALLS OCCURRING IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER
   TROUGH. SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS OVER 20 MPH MAY OCCUR FOR A COUPLE HR
   PERIOD OVER NRN/ERN NV AND NERN UT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
   DESPITE VERY LOW RH READINGS /5-10 PERCENT/ MODERATE WIND CONDITIONS
   DO NOT APPEAR TO LAST LONG ENOUGH GIVEN THE RELATIVELY LATE ARRIVAL
   OF THE UPPER TROUGH TO WARRANT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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