Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 100901
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0401 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN UT INTO NWRN AZ...
...SYNOPSIS...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES INTO THE NRN PLAINS WITH BELT OF MODERATE MID LEVEL FLOW
REMAINING ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST. A VERY WARM AND DRY AIR MASS WILL
EXIST FROM THE DESERT SW EWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS WITH NEAR CRITICAL
CONDITIONS OVER MOST OF THE AREA DUE TO GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS...HOT
TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH. FARTHER E...IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE HOT AND
DRY ACROSS THE SERN STATES UNDER UPPER RIDGE...WITH LOW RH DURING
THE AFTERNOON BUT WITH LIGHT WINDS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN UT INTO NWRN AZ...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH / LOCALLY STRONG WINDS / POSSIBLE FIRE
STARTS
MODERATE FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN BEHIND DEPARTING UPPER SHORTWAVE
THAT BROUGHT HIGH WINDS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA YESTERDAY.
ENOUGH MIXING IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW FOR SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS NEAR 20
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RH WILL REMAIN LOW FROM 10-15 PERCENT.
COMBINATION OF WIND AND RH WILL CAUSE LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO
EXIST...WITH POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRES FROM PREVIOUS DAYS LIGHTNING
STRIKES OVER UT.
...WRN AND SRN CO / NRN NM / WRN OK AND NW TX...
CONDITIONS WILL APPROACH CRITICAL LEVELS DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES. THERMALLY DRIVEN LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS SW KS INTO WRN TX...WITH TEMPERATURES
EXCEEDING 100 F. PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG WITH A BELT OF MDT WLY
WINDS ALOFT WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE ACROSS CO INTO NM AND WILL CAUSE
LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-20
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ALONG WITH LOW RH OF 10-15 PERCENT. RECENT
PRECIPITATION AND GREENUP WILL HELP MITIGATE FIRE THREAT.
FARTHER E...PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW AND A HIGH TO THE SE WILL
CAUSE 15-20 MPH SLY WINDS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IT WILL BE VERY HOT
WITH TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOWER 100S AND RH OF 20-25 PERCENT.
AGAIN...GREENUP WILL MITIGATE FIRE THREAT...ALTHOUGH PERSISTENT HOT
TEMPERATURES AND VERY SHORT TERM DROUGHT WILL BEGIN TO CURE FUELS.
...MS AL NRN FL SRN GA SC...
IT WILL BE VERY HOT TODAY BENEATH UPPER RIDGE WITH TEMPERATURES OF
95-100 F. RH WILL DECREASE AT PEAK HEATING WITH VALUES OF 25-35
PERCENT. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED
LITTLE PRECIPITATION RECENTLY WILL INCREASED FIRE THREAT WITH
MODERATELY HIGH KBDI VALUES.
..JEWELL.. 06/10/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 100956
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0456 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF SERN NV / SWRN UT / NWRN
AZ AND LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WRN U.S. AS PACIFIC TROUGH
SWINGS SEWD TOWARD THE PACIFIC COAST AND UPPER RIDGE STRENGTHENS
OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AND SRN PLAINS. IN BETWEEN THE TWO...WINDS WILL
BE LOCALLY STRONG ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WHERE IT WILL REMAIN VERY
DRY. HOT TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS EWD INTO
THE SERN STATES...ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE COOLER AND MORE MOIST OVER THE
FL PENINSULA DUE TO INCREASING TROPICAL MOISTURE. MEANWHILE...A
COLD FRONT WILL SAG SWD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID MS
VALLEY...WITH MUCH COOLER AIR N OF THE BOUNDARY WITH NELY WINDS.
UPSLOPE FLOW WILL CAUSE THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM ALONG THE FRONT RANGE
OF SERN WY INTO CO...AND ALTHOUGH HOT AND DRY...STORMS WILL LIKELY
CONTAIN WETTING RAIN AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF SERN NV / SWRN UT / NWRN AZ
AND LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SWLY WINDS / LOW RH / MDT TO HIGH HAINES
VERY WARM AND DRY AIR WILL BE DRAWN NWD AHEAD OF AMPLIFYING UPPER
TROUGH WHICH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND
LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WILL BE COMMON
WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH...WHILE RH FALLS TO 10-15 PERCENT. RH VALUES
BELOW 10 PERCENT WILL OCCUR IN FAR SRN AREAS. WITH VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES AND DEEP MIXING....HAINES INDEX WILL BE MDT TO HIGH.
THUS...DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS WILL MATERIALIZE BY AFTERNOON...AND
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH POOR RH RECOVERY. WINDS WILL ALSO
REMAIN QUITE STRONG IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES
E.
...SC / GA / AL / MS...
IT WILL REMAIN HOT AND DRY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE.
WINDS WILL INCREASE A BIT TO AROUND 10 MPH OUT OF THE SW WHILE RH
DROPS TO 25-35 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING. PERSISTENT HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO RAISE KBDI VALUES INTO THE HIGH CATEGORY
WITH INCREASING FIRE DANGER. THE GREATEST THREAT AREA WILL BE OVER
SC AND GA WHERE WINDS SHOULD BE STRONGEST. IF SPEEDS END UP CLOSER
TO 15 MPH...AREA COULD BE UPGRADED TO CRITICAL DUE TO LOW RH WIND
AND VERY HOT CONDITIONS.
..JEWELL.. 06/10/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...