Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 100901
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0401 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN UT INTO NWRN AZ...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL
   ROCKIES INTO THE NRN PLAINS WITH BELT OF MODERATE MID LEVEL FLOW
   REMAINING ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST. A VERY WARM AND DRY AIR MASS WILL
   EXIST FROM THE DESERT SW EWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS WITH NEAR CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS OVER MOST OF THE AREA DUE TO GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS...HOT
   TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH. FARTHER E...IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE HOT AND
   DRY ACROSS THE SERN STATES UNDER UPPER RIDGE...WITH LOW RH DURING
   THE AFTERNOON BUT WITH LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN UT INTO NWRN AZ...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH / LOCALLY STRONG WINDS / POSSIBLE FIRE
   STARTS
   
   MODERATE FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN BEHIND DEPARTING UPPER SHORTWAVE
   THAT BROUGHT HIGH WINDS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA YESTERDAY.
   ENOUGH MIXING IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW FOR SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS NEAR 20
   MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RH WILL REMAIN LOW FROM 10-15 PERCENT.
   COMBINATION OF WIND AND RH WILL CAUSE LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO
   EXIST...WITH POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRES FROM PREVIOUS DAYS LIGHTNING
   STRIKES OVER UT.
   
   ...WRN AND SRN CO / NRN NM / WRN OK AND NW TX...
   CONDITIONS WILL APPROACH CRITICAL LEVELS DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH
   LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES. THERMALLY DRIVEN LOW
   PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS SW KS INTO WRN TX...WITH TEMPERATURES
   EXCEEDING 100 F. PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG WITH A BELT OF MDT WLY
   WINDS ALOFT WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE ACROSS CO INTO NM AND WILL CAUSE
   LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-20
   MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ALONG WITH LOW RH OF 10-15 PERCENT. RECENT
   PRECIPITATION AND GREENUP WILL HELP MITIGATE FIRE THREAT. 
   
   FARTHER E...PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW AND A HIGH TO THE SE WILL
   CAUSE 15-20 MPH SLY WINDS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IT WILL BE VERY HOT
   WITH TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOWER 100S AND RH OF 20-25 PERCENT.
   AGAIN...GREENUP WILL MITIGATE FIRE THREAT...ALTHOUGH PERSISTENT HOT
   TEMPERATURES AND VERY SHORT TERM DROUGHT WILL BEGIN TO CURE FUELS.
   
   ...MS AL NRN FL SRN GA SC...
   IT WILL BE VERY HOT TODAY BENEATH UPPER RIDGE WITH TEMPERATURES OF
   95-100 F. RH WILL DECREASE AT PEAK HEATING WITH VALUES OF 25-35
   PERCENT. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED
   LITTLE PRECIPITATION RECENTLY WILL INCREASED FIRE THREAT WITH
   MODERATELY HIGH KBDI VALUES.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 100956
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0456 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF SERN NV / SWRN UT / NWRN
   AZ AND LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WRN U.S. AS PACIFIC TROUGH
   SWINGS SEWD TOWARD THE PACIFIC COAST AND UPPER RIDGE STRENGTHENS
   OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AND SRN PLAINS. IN BETWEEN THE TWO...WINDS WILL
   BE LOCALLY STRONG ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WHERE IT WILL REMAIN VERY
   DRY. HOT TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS EWD INTO
   THE SERN STATES...ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE COOLER AND MORE MOIST OVER THE
   FL PENINSULA DUE TO INCREASING TROPICAL MOISTURE.  MEANWHILE...A
   COLD FRONT WILL SAG SWD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID MS
   VALLEY...WITH MUCH COOLER AIR N OF THE BOUNDARY WITH NELY WINDS.
   UPSLOPE FLOW WILL CAUSE THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM ALONG THE FRONT RANGE
   OF SERN WY INTO CO...AND ALTHOUGH HOT AND DRY...STORMS WILL LIKELY
   CONTAIN WETTING RAIN AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF SERN NV / SWRN UT / NWRN AZ
   AND LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SWLY WINDS / LOW RH / MDT TO HIGH HAINES
   
   VERY WARM AND DRY AIR WILL BE DRAWN NWD AHEAD OF AMPLIFYING UPPER
   TROUGH WHICH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND
   LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WILL BE COMMON
   WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH...WHILE RH FALLS TO 10-15 PERCENT. RH VALUES
   BELOW 10 PERCENT WILL OCCUR IN FAR SRN AREAS. WITH VERY WARM
   TEMPERATURES AND DEEP MIXING....HAINES INDEX WILL BE MDT TO HIGH.
   THUS...DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS WILL MATERIALIZE BY AFTERNOON...AND
   WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH POOR RH RECOVERY. WINDS WILL ALSO
   REMAIN QUITE STRONG IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES
   E.
   
   ...SC / GA / AL / MS...
   IT WILL REMAIN HOT AND DRY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE.
   WINDS WILL INCREASE A BIT TO AROUND 10 MPH OUT OF THE SW WHILE RH
   DROPS TO 25-35 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING. PERSISTENT HOT AND DRY
   CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO RAISE KBDI VALUES INTO THE HIGH CATEGORY
   WITH INCREASING FIRE DANGER. THE GREATEST THREAT AREA WILL BE OVER
   SC AND GA WHERE WINDS SHOULD BE STRONGEST. IF SPEEDS END UP CLOSER
   TO 15 MPH...AREA COULD BE UPGRADED TO CRITICAL DUE TO LOW RH WIND
   AND VERY HOT CONDITIONS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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