Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 120827
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0327 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NV...UT...NRN AZ...WRN
CO...SERN CA...
...SYNOPSIS...
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE GREAT
BASIN AND SWRN DESERTS AS WINDS INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH WRN
TROUGH. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY HOT AND DRY OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SRN ROCKIES AS WELL AS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE
WHERE WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY LIGHT. ELSEWHERE...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL EXTEND FROM OK EWD TO THE CAROLINAS...WITH HEAVY RAIN OVER MUCH
OF THE SERN STATES AS TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMS NWD.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NV...UT...NRN AZ...WRN
CO...SERN CA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / MDT TO HIGH HAINES
MID TO UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS UPPER HEIGHT
GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN UPPER RIDGE AND WRN TROUGH. STRONG
HEATING...AND A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL ALLOW FOR DEEP AFTERNOON
MIXING AND STRONG WINDS TO DEVELOP. SUSTAINED SLY WINDS OF 20-25 MPH
WILL OCCUR OVER NV...WRN UT...AND NWRN AZ WITH HIGHER GUSTS OF 30-40
MPH ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. RH WILL BE VERY LOW DROPPING
TO 7-12 PERCENT. FARTHER E...WINDS WILL BE WEAKER OVER ERN UT...WRN
CO...AND NERN AZ FROM 15-20 MPH. HOWEVER...HAINES INDEX WILL BE HIGH
WITH EXTREMELY LOW RH...COMBINING TO PRODUCED CRITICAL CONDITIONS
ESPECIALLY NEAR ONGOING FIRES. OVERNIGHT...RH RECOVERY WILL AGAIN BE
POOR WITH GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING NEAR RIDGE TOPS IN NV WRN UT AND
NWRN AZ.
...REMAINDER OF ERN AZ...NM...SRN CO...
LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL EXIST IN VICINITY OF ONGOING FIRES
WITH POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATION LATE IN THE DAY DUE TO A HIGH
HAINES INDEX. MARGINAL...BUT LOCALLY GUSTY SWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP
IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO STRONG HEATING AND MIXING WHICH WILL COMBINE
WITH SINGLE DIGIT RH LEVELS TO PRODUCE NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS
ELSEWHERE AS WELL.
...CENTRAL AND SWRN TX INTO SERN NM...
IT WILL AGAIN BE VERY HOT BENEATH UPPER RIDGE TODAY WITH
TEMPERATURES AVERAGING 100-105 AND RH OF 10-20 PERCENT...EXCEPT NEAR
20-30 PERCENT NEAR I-35. SELY WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10-15 MPH.
THUS...NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY IN AREAS THAT HAVE
RECEIVED LITTLE RAIN IN THE PAST FEW WEEKS.
..JEWELL.. 06/12/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 120954
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0454 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NV AND UT...NRN AZ...SERN
CA DESERTS...
...SYNOPSIS...
TUESDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO MONDAY...WITH STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND A VERY HOT AND DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER MOST OF
THE SWRN STATES. WINDS WILL BE A BIT STRONGER AS TROUGH CONTINUES TO
PROGRESS SLOWLY EWD...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD
FRONT WHICH WILL EXTEND FROM WRN ID INTO WRN NV AND A FEW WILL BE
DRY WITH GUSTY WINDS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD...WITH SHIFTING
WINDS TO WLY ACROSS N CENTRAL NV. ELSEWHERE...IT WILL REMAIN VERY
HOT AND DRY FROM TX INTO NM AND SRN AZ UNDER UPPER RIDGE. WARM AND
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AS WELL WITH
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING IN.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NV AND UT...NRN AZ...SERN CA
DESERTS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SLY WINDS / LOW RH / ISOLATED DRY STORMS
AND WIND SHIFT (NV)
WINDS WILL BE STRONGER ON TUE AS MAIN ENERGY WITH UPPER TROUGH
ENTERS THE WRN GREAT BASIN. SUSTAINED SLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH
GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH WILL BE COMMON ACROSS MUCH OF NV AND SWRN
UT...WITH LESSER SPEEDS NEAR 20 MPH AND GUSTY ACROSS NRN AZ AND SERN
CA. AS THE TROUGH CONTINUES EWD...TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL COOL...AND
ALLOW CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT WHICH
WILL EXTEND FROM SERN OREGON INTO NWRN NV. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL RESULT...AND THEY WILL BE MOSTLY DRY ACROSS NV. PARTICULARLY
GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR WITH ANY STORMS AS WELL. RH LEVELS MAY BE
HIGHER ACROSS NV AND UT THAN PREVIOUS FEW DAYS...BUT IT WILL STILL
REMAIN CRITICALLY LOW NEAR 15 PERCENT.
...SRN AZ / NM/ CO / CNTRL AND WRN TX...
ANOTHER VERY HOT AND DRY DAY IS IN STORE UNDERNEATH THE UPPER RIDGE.
WINDS WILL MAINLY BE AT OR BELOW 15 MPH...BUT LOCALIZED GUSTS IN
COMPLEX TERRAIN ARE LIKELY. HIGH HAINES WILL AGAIN FAVOR PLUME
DOMINATION BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER AZ AND NM.
...LOWER MS VALLEY REGION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MS VALLEY AND
WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. MEANWHILE...ALBERTO...OR REMNANTS THEREOF
WILL BRING RH LEVELS UP OVER MUCH OF FL AND GA. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH AND TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE NLY WINDS
NEAR 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MIN RH VALUES WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW
FROM 30-40 PERCENT. GIVEN DROUGHT CONDITIONS...MARGINAL FIRE
CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP FOR A FEW HOURS NEAR PEAK HEATING.
..JEWELL.. 06/12/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...