Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 120827
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0327 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NV...UT...NRN AZ...WRN
   CO...SERN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE GREAT
   BASIN AND SWRN DESERTS AS WINDS INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH WRN
   TROUGH. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY HOT AND DRY OVER THE CENTRAL AND
   SRN ROCKIES AS WELL AS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE
   WHERE WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY LIGHT. ELSEWHERE...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
   WILL EXTEND FROM OK EWD TO THE CAROLINAS...WITH HEAVY RAIN OVER MUCH
   OF THE SERN STATES AS TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMS NWD.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NV...UT...NRN AZ...WRN
   CO...SERN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / MDT TO HIGH HAINES
   
   MID TO UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS UPPER HEIGHT
   GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN UPPER RIDGE AND WRN TROUGH. STRONG
   HEATING...AND A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL ALLOW FOR DEEP AFTERNOON
   MIXING AND STRONG WINDS TO DEVELOP. SUSTAINED SLY WINDS OF 20-25 MPH
   WILL OCCUR OVER NV...WRN UT...AND NWRN AZ WITH HIGHER GUSTS OF 30-40
   MPH ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. RH WILL BE VERY LOW DROPPING
   TO 7-12 PERCENT. FARTHER E...WINDS WILL BE WEAKER OVER ERN UT...WRN
   CO...AND NERN AZ FROM 15-20 MPH. HOWEVER...HAINES INDEX WILL BE HIGH
   WITH EXTREMELY LOW RH...COMBINING TO PRODUCED CRITICAL CONDITIONS
   ESPECIALLY NEAR ONGOING FIRES. OVERNIGHT...RH RECOVERY WILL AGAIN BE
   POOR WITH GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING NEAR RIDGE TOPS IN NV WRN UT AND
   NWRN AZ.
   
   ...REMAINDER OF ERN AZ...NM...SRN CO...
   LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL EXIST IN VICINITY OF ONGOING FIRES
   WITH POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATION LATE IN THE DAY DUE TO A HIGH
   HAINES INDEX. MARGINAL...BUT LOCALLY GUSTY SWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP
   IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO STRONG HEATING AND MIXING WHICH WILL COMBINE
   WITH SINGLE DIGIT RH LEVELS TO PRODUCE NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS
   ELSEWHERE AS WELL.
   
   ...CENTRAL AND SWRN TX INTO SERN NM...
   IT WILL AGAIN BE VERY HOT BENEATH UPPER RIDGE TODAY WITH
   TEMPERATURES AVERAGING 100-105 AND RH OF 10-20 PERCENT...EXCEPT NEAR
   20-30 PERCENT NEAR I-35. SELY WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10-15 MPH.
   THUS...NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY IN AREAS THAT HAVE
   RECEIVED LITTLE RAIN IN THE PAST FEW WEEKS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/12/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 120954
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0454 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NV AND UT...NRN AZ...SERN
   CA DESERTS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   TUESDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO MONDAY...WITH STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE
   GREAT BASIN AND A VERY HOT AND DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER MOST OF
   THE SWRN STATES. WINDS WILL BE A BIT STRONGER AS TROUGH CONTINUES TO
   PROGRESS SLOWLY EWD...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD
   FRONT WHICH WILL EXTEND FROM WRN ID INTO WRN NV AND A FEW WILL BE
   DRY WITH GUSTY WINDS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD...WITH SHIFTING
   WINDS TO WLY ACROSS N CENTRAL NV. ELSEWHERE...IT WILL REMAIN VERY
   HOT AND DRY FROM TX INTO NM AND SRN AZ UNDER UPPER RIDGE. WARM AND
   DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AS WELL WITH
   HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING IN.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NV AND UT...NRN AZ...SERN CA
   DESERTS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SLY WINDS / LOW RH / ISOLATED DRY STORMS
   AND WIND SHIFT (NV)
   
   WINDS WILL BE STRONGER ON TUE AS MAIN ENERGY WITH UPPER TROUGH
   ENTERS THE WRN GREAT BASIN. SUSTAINED SLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH
   GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH WILL BE COMMON ACROSS MUCH OF NV AND SWRN
   UT...WITH LESSER SPEEDS NEAR 20 MPH AND GUSTY ACROSS NRN AZ AND SERN
   CA. AS THE TROUGH CONTINUES EWD...TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL COOL...AND
   ALLOW CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT WHICH
   WILL EXTEND FROM SERN OREGON INTO NWRN NV. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
   WILL RESULT...AND THEY WILL BE MOSTLY DRY ACROSS NV. PARTICULARLY
   GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR WITH ANY STORMS AS WELL. RH LEVELS MAY BE
   HIGHER ACROSS NV AND UT THAN PREVIOUS FEW DAYS...BUT IT WILL STILL
   REMAIN CRITICALLY LOW NEAR 15 PERCENT.
   
   ...SRN AZ / NM/ CO / CNTRL AND WRN TX...
   ANOTHER VERY HOT AND DRY DAY IS IN STORE UNDERNEATH THE UPPER RIDGE.
   WINDS WILL MAINLY BE AT OR BELOW 15 MPH...BUT LOCALIZED GUSTS IN
   COMPLEX TERRAIN ARE LIKELY. HIGH HAINES WILL AGAIN FAVOR PLUME
   DOMINATION BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER AZ AND NM.
   
   ...LOWER MS VALLEY REGION...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MS VALLEY AND
   WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. MEANWHILE...ALBERTO...OR REMNANTS THEREOF
   WILL BRING RH LEVELS UP OVER MUCH OF FL AND GA. THE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH AND TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE NLY WINDS
   NEAR 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MIN RH VALUES WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW
   FROM 30-40 PERCENT. GIVEN DROUGHT CONDITIONS...MARGINAL FIRE
   CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP FOR A FEW HOURS NEAR PEAK HEATING.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/12/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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