Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 150811
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0311 AM CDT THU JUN 15 2006
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN AZ/WESTERN NM...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF AZ/MUCH OF NM/FAR
   SOUTHEAST UT/SOUTHERN CO...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST CO
   AND NORTHEAST/EAST CENTRAL NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES
   TODAY...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING EAST ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA.
   THIS SCENARIO WILL KEEP A RATHER HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS MUCH OF THE
   FOUR CORNERS AREA/SOUTHERN ROCKIES. ELSEWHERE...DRY CONDITIONS ARE
   EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN STATES AS UPPER RIDGE GRADUALLY
   SHIFTS EASTWARD FROM THE PLAINS TO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - EASTERN AZ/WESTERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH/WARM
   TEMPERATURES/EXTREME DROUGHT
   
   POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY/THIS
   EVENING ACROSS EASTERN AZ AND WESTERN NM. AS WESTERN STATES TROUGH
   MIGRATES EASTWARD...STRONG CORE OF MID LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN
   ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ANTICIPATED
   ACROSS EASTERN AZ AND WESTERN NM. WIND SPEEDS OF 20-35 MPH WILL BE
   COMMON...WITH POTENTIAL FOR 40-50 MPH GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN
   THE EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND VERY STRONG WINDS/HIGH HAINES
   INDICES...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.
   MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE AROUND 5-10 PERCENT...WITH RELATIVELY POOR
   RH RECOVERIES OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF AZ/MUCH OF NM/FAR SOUTHEAST
   UT/SOUTHERN CO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH/WARM TEMPERATURES
   
   SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL
   ALSO EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF AZ/MUCH OF NM AND FAR SOUTHEAST UT AND
   SOUTHERN CO. A COLD FRONT ACROSS SOUTHEAST UT/NORTHERN AZ THIS
   MORNING WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD TODAY...CAUSING A SHIFT IN WINDS TO
   THE WEST-NORTHWEST. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST WINDS
   OF 15-30 MPH /WITH HIGHER GUSTS/ ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED ACROSS THE
   FOUR CORNERS AREA. WARM/DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS WELL...WITH
   AFTERNOON MINIMUM RH VALUES AROUND 8-12 PERCENT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - DRY THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST CO
   AND NORTHEAST/EAST CENTRAL NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS
   
   COMBINATION OF UPPER TROUGH AND HEATING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL
   RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS
   AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST CO AND MUCH OF NORTHEAST/EAST
   CENTRAL NM. HIGH BASED/DRY NATURE OF THE STORMS WILL PROMOTE
   GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS VIA CONVECTIVE DOWNDRAFTS...WITH NEW FIRE STARTS
   POSSIBLE FROM MAINLY DRY LIGHTNING.
   
   ...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS...
   GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS
   THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IN A CORRIDOR FROM THE TX
   PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST OK INTO CENTRAL/EASTERN KS. WIND SPEEDS OF 20-30
   MPH ARE LIKELY...WITH GUSTS TO 35-40 MPH. ALTHOUGH THE MODERATELY
   STRONG WINDS COULD ADVERSELY IMPACT ANY ONGOING FIRES...SOME CLOUD
   COVER AND SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE/RH VALUES WILL PRECLUDE
   A CRITICAL OUTLOOK.
   
   ..GUYER.. 06/15/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 150812
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0312 AM CDT THU JUN 15 2006
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHERN AND
   EASTERN NM/FAR WEST TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE
   PLAINS ON FRIDAY...WITH UPPER RIDGE SPREADING OVER THE EASTERN
   STATES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON ALONG A COLD FRONT
   ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND CENTRAL PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FAR SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHERN AND
   EASTERN NM/FAR WEST TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MODERATELY STRONG WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW
   RH/WARM TEMPERATURES
   
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY
   ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NM INTO FAR WEST TX.
   WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN MODERATELY STRONG...WITH SUSTAINED
   WINDS OF 20-25 MPH AND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
   NM/SOUTHWEST TX. GIVEN THE EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER
   TROUGH/COLD FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE 5-10 DEGREES F
   COOLER ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS AZ AND NM...ALTHOUGH HOT
   TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 90S WILL REMAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST NM INTO
   SOUTHWEST TX.
   
   ..GUYER.. 06/15/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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