Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 180959
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0459 AM CDT SUN JUN 18 2006
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM NOW OFF THE BC COAST WILL MOVE INLAND
   TODAY...ACCOMPANIED BY A 40-50 KT MID LEVEL JET STREAK. RIDGE WILL
   BUILD ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS AHEAD OF WESTERN SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
   STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE WILL EXTEND FROM THE NRN GREAT BASIN INTO
   THE CNTRL PLAINS. WARMER AND WINDIER CONDITIONS WILL INCREASE THE
   POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
   GREAT BASIN AND NRN HIGH PLAINS.
   
   ...GREAT BASIN/NRN UT...
   WINDIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF NV/NRN UT
   TODAY...ALONG WITH WARMER TEMPS IN THE 80S AND 90S. MINIMUM RH
   VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 15 PERCENT IN SOME LOCATIONS...WITH SUSTAINED
   WINDS OF 15-25 MPH. LOCALLY HIGHER WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE. ISOLD
   HIGH BASED TSTMS ARE MORE LIKELY ACROSS ERN ORE/SRN ID WHERE MORE
   MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS AVAILABLE. HOWEVER...BUILDUPS OR ISOLD STORMS
   ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN PORTIONS NV/NRN UT GIVEN INCREASED LARGE
   SCALE ASCENT.
   
   ...NRN PLAINS...
   BREEZY W/NWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN TODAY AS A LOW PRESSURE
   SYSTEM DEPARTS INTO NERN ONTARIO. SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS
   NCNTRL ND INTO NW MN AND MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY HIGH
   ACROSS ERN MT/WRN ND TO MINIMIZE FIRE THREAT. ACROSS NCNTRL/WRN SD
   AND SCNTRL ND...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WILL DEVELOP. FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 20-25
   PERCENT INVOF PIR TO FSD. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES COMBINED WITH
   DIURNAL INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A FEW AFTN TSTMS...SO ANY
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE MODULATED BY PCPN.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/18/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 181001
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0501 AM CDT SUN JUN 18 2006
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR UT/WY/WRN CO/EXTREME ERN NV...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE WRN CONUS ON MONDAY WILL BRING
   WINDIER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND INTERMOUNTAIN REGION.
   MID LEVEL JET STREAK WILL AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES FROM THE NRN GREAT
   BASIN TO WY BY MON EVENING. LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS WILL INDUCE SFC
   CYCLOGENESIS OVER WY....AND A DRY COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM SRN WY
   INTO NRN UT/CNTRL GREAT BASIN BY 20/00Z. VERY LOW RH VALUES COMBINED
   WITH STRONG SWLY SFC WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS ON MONDAY AFTN/EVENING.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - UT/WY/WRN CO/EXTREME ERN NV...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS/MIN
   RH VALUES LESS THAN 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ON MONDAY...INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT
   WITHIN STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT VIGOROUS BOUNDARY
   LAYER MIXING AND SUBSEQUENT STRONG WINDS. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL RANGE
   FROM 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IN ADDITION...MAX TEMPS WILL CLIMB
   INTO THE 80S/90S WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. THERE WILL SOME
   THREAT OF AFTN/EVENING TSTMS...MAINLY ACROSS NERN NV AND NRN UT INTO
   WY ALONG THE SFC FRONT. CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED WIND GUSTS AND ISOLD
   DRY LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP.
   CONTINUED DROUGHT CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THE FAVORABLE
   WIND/HUMIDITY PATTERN WILL SUPPORT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15-25 MPH RANGE...AS TEMPS HEAT UP
   INTO THE 90S. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 10 PERCENT WEST OF
   THE DRYLINE/LEE TROUGH...AND RANGE FROM 15-20 PERCENT FARTHER EAST.
   THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES WILL BE INCREASED ACROSS ERN NM AND THE
   TX/OK PANHANDLES.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/18/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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