Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 210917
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0417 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2006
   
   VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE NRN HALF
   OF THE NATION TODAY. IN THE WAKE OF ONE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...MODERATE
   NWLY WINDS AND RELATIVELY LOW RH READINGS WILL OCCUR OVER THE NRN
   HIGH PLAINS. FLAT UPPER RIDGING WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF
   THE NATION...WHERE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE. ALTHOUGH
   VERY LOW RH READINGS AND NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
   ACCOMPANY THE RIDGE OVER THE SWRN STATES INTO PORTIONS OF
   CA/NV...GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THIS REGION. HOWEVER...ANOTHER DAY OF
   ISOLATED-SCT DRY THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF NM
   AND CO AND SERN AZ. THE OVERALL COVERAGE OF DRY TSTMS SHOULD AGAIN
   REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS.
   
   ...SWRN CO...PORTIONS OF WRN/CENTRAL NM AND SERN AZ...
   MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY UNDER THE
   PRESENCE OF UPPER RIDGING. CONVECTION LAST NIGHT OVER NRN SONORA MX
   HAS AIDED IN LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE MOVEMENT INTO FAR SERN AZ/SWRN
   NM. ANOTHER DAY OF HOT TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH DEEPLY
   MIXED BOUNDARY LAYERS AND MEAN SUB-CLOUD RH READINGS FROM 15-30
   PERCENT. TSTMS THAT DEVELOP WILL THUS LIKELY HAVE LITTLE RAINFALL
   WITH THEM WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING STARTED
   FIRES. OVERALL COVERAGE OF DRY TSTMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
   SUBSTANTIAL GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGING...SO A CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED. 
   
   ...NRN HIGH PLAINS...
   NWLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH WILL DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON
   HRS..BEHIND A COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS
   /NEAR 80 F/...AND THUS MIN RH READINGS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE BELOW
   CRITICAL LEVELS AS DWPTS RANGE FROM 45-50 F.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/21/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 210919
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0419 AM CDT WED JUN 21 2006
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER PATTERN WILL BEGIN A SLOW TRANSITION DURING THE DAY TWO
   PERIOD...AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS NWD ALONG THE WEST COAST...AND
   SEVERAL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVE FROM THE ROCKIES SEWD INTO THE
   NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS ALLOWING FOR NWLY FLOW REGIME TO DEVELOP OVER THE
   CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS. AS A RESULT...CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP
   SWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS AND AID IN MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL TO PORTIONS
   OF THE REGION. AS AN UPPER LOW OVER SOUTH TX CONTINUES TO MOVE
   WWD...GREATER LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF FAR
   WRN TX/SCENTRAL AND SERN NM. AS A RESULT...A GREATER COVERAGE OF
   TSTMS ARE ANTICIPATED TO OCCUR OVER THIS AREA THAN IN PREVIOUS DAYS.
   HOWEVER...THERE SHOULD BE AT LEAST A MIX OF WET AND DRY TSTMS OVER
   THIS AREA AND THUS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT
   EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE WEST A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE
   WITH THE BUILDING UPPER RIDGE. VERY LOW RH READINGS /5-10 PERCENT/
   WILL ACCOMPANY THE HOT TEMPERATURES...BUT GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL
   PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...SWRN NM/FAR SERN AZ...
   ON THE WRN EDGE OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE...HOT TEMPERATURES COMBINED
   WITH LOW RH READINGS /5-10 PERCENT AT THE SFC/ AND A DEEPLY MIXED
   BOUNDARY LAYER WILL COEXIST. ISOLATED TSTMS /MOST DRY/ ARE EXPECTED
   TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON BEFORE
   MOVING SWWD INTO LOWER ELEVATIONS AS STRONG HEATING OCCURS IN THE
   PRESENCE OF THE MID LEVEL INSTABILITY. TSTM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO
   BE SCT AT BEST WITH LACK OF GREATER FORCING DUE TO AREAS PROXIMITY
   TO THE UPPER RIDGE. THUS A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT
   ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/21/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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