Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 230952
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0452 AM CDT FRI JUN 23 2006
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TODAY ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AS
IMPULSE NOW OVER THE NRN ROCKIES MOVES INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS BY
TONIGHT. WAVE NOTED IN EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY WILL
CONTINUE MOVING WWD ACROSS SRN AZ INTO SRN CA TODAY...MAINTAINING
MODERATELY STRONG ELY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. MAIN FIRE CONCERNS
TODAY WILL LIKELY BE ASSOCIATED WITH ANY TSTMS IN THE
SOUTHWEST...MAINLY FROM STRONG GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND ISOLD DRY
LIGHTNING.
...PORTIONS OF AZ AND NM...
EARLY MORNING SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE
40S/50S ACROSS SCNTRL AZ AND SRN/CNTRL NM. DEWPOINTS HAVE RISEN
15-20 DEGREES NEAR SAF/ABQ AS A RESULT OF CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW. TSTMS
WILL DEVELOP TODAY ACROSS THE DIVIDE AND CNTRL NM MTNS THROUGH THE
WHITE MTNS AND ALONG THE RIM...WITH GREATER COVERAGE IN NM. TSTMS
ALONG AND EAST OF THE CNTRL NM MTNS AND INTO SE AZ WILL CONTAIN
WETTING RAIN...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE HIGHER DEWPOINTS. THE BEST
CHANCE FOR DRY TSTMS WILL BE ACROSS FAR NW NM...WITH MORE ISOLD
STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WHITE MTNS AND ALONG THE RIM. STEERING
FLOW WILL BE FROM THE NORTHEAST...SO STORMS WILL FORM ON THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AND MOVE TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE LIKELY
WITH ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP GIVEN VERY LARGE TEMP/DEWPOINT
DIFFERENCES.
...SIERRA...
A FEW CBS DEVELOPED ON THURSDAY OVER ALPINE/MONO COUNTIES DUE TO
STRONG DAYTIME HEATING...AND THE SAME COULD OCCUR TODAY. LATEST NAMP
QPF SUGGESTS AFTN/EVENING CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SIERRA...POSSIBLY INTO WRN NV AND GFS IMPLIES THIS AS WELL WITH ITS
MID LEVEL OMEGA FIELD. GIVEN HIGH BASED STORMS WITH VERY DRY
SUB-CLOUD LAYER...LITTLE WETTING RAIN WOULD ACCOMPANY STORMS SO
ISOLD DRY LIGHTNING IS A CONCERN.
..TAYLOR.. 06/23/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 230956
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0456 AM CDT FRI JUN 23 2006
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AS RIDGE AMPLIFIES IN THE WEST...FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME MORE NLY
OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT
TO BE FOCUSED ACROSS THIS AREA. TSTMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS FROM
SE WY INTO NM DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT ALONG
WITH INCREASING UPSLOPE FLOW/OROGRAPHIC LIFT. MAIN FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH ANY DRY TSTMS WHICH
WILL MAINLY AFFECT AREAS ACROSS NW NM INTO NRN AZ...AND THEN PERHAPS
ACROSS THE SIERRA.
...SCNTRL CO THROUGH NW NM INTO NRN/CNTRL AZ...
SHORT RANGE ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS HIGHEST TSTM PROBABILITIES
WILL BE ACROSS ERN CO THROUGH NERN NM AND ACROSS THE WHITE MTNS. FOR
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WEST OF THE DIVIDE IN NM AND ALONG THE RIM IN
AZ...THEY WILL BE HIGH BASED AND CONTAIN LITTLE RAINFALL AND
POSSIBLE DRY LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE STORMS ACROSS
CNTRL/ERN NM AND ERN CO WILL CONTAIN WETTING RAINS AS INCREASED MID
LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES WEST. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS COVERAGE OF DRY
TSTMS WILL BE ISOLD.
...SIERRA...
ISOLD HIGH BASED DRY TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTN/EVENING. WITH
HIGH TEMPS IN THE 90S AND DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE 20S/30S...LITTLE
WETTING RAIN IS EXPECTED.
..TAYLOR.. 06/23/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...