Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 230952
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0452 AM CDT FRI JUN 23 2006
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TODAY ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AS
   IMPULSE NOW OVER THE NRN ROCKIES MOVES INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS BY
   TONIGHT. WAVE NOTED IN EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY WILL
   CONTINUE MOVING WWD ACROSS SRN AZ INTO SRN CA TODAY...MAINTAINING
   MODERATELY STRONG ELY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. MAIN FIRE CONCERNS
   TODAY WILL LIKELY BE ASSOCIATED WITH ANY TSTMS IN THE
   SOUTHWEST...MAINLY FROM STRONG GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND ISOLD DRY
   LIGHTNING.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF AZ AND NM...
   EARLY MORNING SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE
   40S/50S ACROSS SCNTRL AZ AND SRN/CNTRL NM. DEWPOINTS HAVE RISEN
   15-20 DEGREES NEAR SAF/ABQ AS A RESULT OF CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW. TSTMS
   WILL DEVELOP TODAY ACROSS THE DIVIDE AND CNTRL NM MTNS THROUGH THE
   WHITE MTNS AND ALONG THE RIM...WITH GREATER COVERAGE IN NM. TSTMS
   ALONG AND EAST OF THE CNTRL NM MTNS AND INTO SE AZ WILL CONTAIN
   WETTING RAIN...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE HIGHER DEWPOINTS. THE BEST
   CHANCE FOR DRY TSTMS WILL BE ACROSS FAR NW NM...WITH MORE ISOLD
   STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WHITE MTNS AND ALONG THE RIM. STEERING
   FLOW WILL BE FROM THE NORTHEAST...SO STORMS WILL FORM ON THE HIGHER
   TERRAIN AND MOVE TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE LIKELY
   WITH ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP GIVEN VERY LARGE TEMP/DEWPOINT
   DIFFERENCES.
   
   ...SIERRA...
   A FEW CBS DEVELOPED ON THURSDAY OVER ALPINE/MONO COUNTIES DUE TO
   STRONG DAYTIME HEATING...AND THE SAME COULD OCCUR TODAY. LATEST NAMP
   QPF SUGGESTS AFTN/EVENING CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
   SIERRA...POSSIBLY INTO WRN NV AND GFS IMPLIES THIS AS WELL WITH ITS
   MID LEVEL OMEGA FIELD. GIVEN HIGH BASED STORMS WITH VERY DRY
   SUB-CLOUD LAYER...LITTLE WETTING RAIN WOULD ACCOMPANY STORMS SO
   ISOLD DRY LIGHTNING IS A CONCERN.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/23/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 230956
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0456 AM CDT FRI JUN 23 2006
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AS RIDGE AMPLIFIES IN THE WEST...FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME MORE NLY
   OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT
   TO BE FOCUSED ACROSS THIS AREA. TSTMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS FROM
   SE WY INTO NM DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT ALONG
   WITH INCREASING UPSLOPE FLOW/OROGRAPHIC LIFT. MAIN FIRE WEATHER
   CONCERNS ON SATURDAY WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH ANY DRY TSTMS WHICH
   WILL MAINLY AFFECT AREAS ACROSS NW NM INTO NRN AZ...AND THEN PERHAPS
   ACROSS THE SIERRA.
   
   ...SCNTRL CO THROUGH NW NM INTO NRN/CNTRL AZ...
   SHORT RANGE ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS HIGHEST TSTM PROBABILITIES
   WILL BE ACROSS ERN CO THROUGH NERN NM AND ACROSS THE WHITE MTNS. FOR
   STORMS THAT DEVELOP WEST OF THE DIVIDE IN NM AND ALONG THE RIM IN
   AZ...THEY WILL BE HIGH BASED AND CONTAIN LITTLE RAINFALL AND
   POSSIBLE DRY LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE STORMS ACROSS
   CNTRL/ERN NM AND ERN CO WILL CONTAIN WETTING RAINS AS INCREASED MID
   LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES WEST. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS COVERAGE OF DRY
   TSTMS WILL BE ISOLD. 
   
   ...SIERRA...
   ISOLD HIGH BASED DRY TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTN/EVENING. WITH
   HIGH TEMPS IN THE 90S AND DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE 20S/30S...LITTLE
   WETTING RAIN IS EXPECTED.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/23/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home