Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 270853
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 AM CDT TUE JUN 27 2006
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF UT...WRN CO AND NRN AZ...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WRN CONUS WITH UPPER HIGH CENTERED
OVER THE GREAT BASIN. WEAK DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE
RIDGE...ALONG WITH MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS WRN CO...NM AND AZ. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
ON THE LARGE SCALE...BUT STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS AND DRY LIGHTNING WILL
RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS OVER THE ERN GREAT BASIN INTO WRN
CO AND NRN AZ. MORE ISOLATED DRY THUNDER WILL OCCUR OVER THE WRN
GREAT BASIN AS WELL AS OVER PORTIONS OF NRN CA AND OREGON.
ELSEWHERE...NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP THE PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY
DRY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER AR. LOW RH WITH LIGHT NLY
WINDS WILL RESULT FROM ERN TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...WHERE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF UT...WRN CO AND NRN AZ...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY LIGHTNING WITH GUSTY WINDS / LOW RH
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS STATES...SHIFTING NWD
BENEATH UPPER HIGH. WEAK WINDS ALOFT ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING WILL
CAUSE SCATTERED STORMS TO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON. COVERAGE OF
STORMS MAY BE ENHANCED BY A WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT WILL ROTATE AROUND
THE RIDGE ACROSS ERN UT INTO CO. WHILE STORMS WILL BE WET AND MORE
NUMEROUS TO THE SOUTH OF THE CRITICAL AREA...LOWER RH LEVELS BENEATH
CLOUD BASE WILL EXIST FARTHER NW INTO UT WHERE STORMS WILL BE MOSTLY
DRY.
AWAY FROM STORMS...MIN RH LEVELS WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS WITH LIGHT
WINDS. AROUND STORMS...STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR WITH THE THREAT OF
DRY LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR.
...MUCH OF NV...NRN CA...SRN OREGON AND SWRN ID...
DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY...THOUGH COVERAGE SHOULD
REMAIN MUCH MORE ISOLATED THAN OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AREA. FAVORED
AREAS WILL INCLUDE THE SRN SIERRA AS WELL AS FAR NRN CA IN THE HIGH
TERRAIN. LOW LEVEL RH WILL BE VERY LOW AND WITH A MDT HAINES
INDEX...LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE FIRES.
LARGE SCALE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...BUT LOCALLY GUSTY NEAR STORM
OUTFLOW.
...ERN TX INTO MS...
IT WILL BE WARM AND VERY DRY TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN FROM
THE NW. NLY WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WILL HELP DECREASE RH LEVELS INTO
THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE. GIVEN DROUGHT CONDITIONS...AREAS THAT HAVE
RECEIVED LITTLE RAIN WILL SEE ENHANCED THREAT OF FIRES...ALTHOUGH
WEAK WINDS WILL MITIGATE OVERALL THREAT.
..JEWELL.. 06/27/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 271001
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0501 AM CDT TUE JUN 27 2006
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN OREGON...NWRN AND CENTRAL
NV...SWRN UT...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EWD ON WED WHILE ERN U.S. UPPER
TROUGH BEGINS TO LIFT NEWD. AT THE SURFACE...PRESSURES WILL LOWER
ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND SOUTH WINDS
INCREASE. THE MAIN FOCUS FOR FIRE WEATHER WILL BE ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN AND PACIFIC NW...WHERE A COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE SHIFTING WINDS
AND WILL ALSO CONCENTRATE AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG
WINDS. AWAY FROM THE FRONT...STORMS WILL BE MORE ISOLATED BUT DRY
INTO THE GREAT BASIN. ELSEWHERE...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SRN PLAINS AS WELL AS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY WHERE HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIST. WINDS WILL PICK UP ACROSS THE
TX PANHANDLE INTO WRN KS WITH WEAK LOW OVER SERN CO.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN OREGON...NWRN AND CENTRAL
NV...SWRN UT...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY LIGHTNING...WIND SHIFT WITH FRONT(NWRN
AREAS)
A POCKET OF HOT AND DRY AIR WITH MDT TO HIGH HAINES WILL EXIST
ACROSS CENTRAL AND ERN NV AS WELL AS MUCH OF UT WED AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE BACKGROUND ENVIRONMENT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY AS MOISTURE SHIFTS NWD THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN ATOP THIS
DRY AIR. WITH SUCH A DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER...ANY RAIN WILL BE
LIGHT...AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STORMS
OVER CENTRAL NV INTO SWRN UT. FARTHER NW...A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND
FROM SERN OREGON INTO NWRN NV. MORE NUMEROUS STORMS WILL BE
CONCENTRATED ALONG THIS FRONT...WITH POSSIBLY A STRONG WIND SHIFT
DUE TO CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED FRONTAL ZONE. THE FRONT WILL BE MOVING
SLOWLY SEWD.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SURFACE WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL BE COMMON
ACROSS MOST OF NV AND UT...AS WELL AS INTO NWRN AZ. HUMIDITY
LEVELS...IN GENERAL...ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 15-20 PERCENT...EXCEPT
HIGHER NEAR STORMS.
...ERN CO...
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE STATE OF CO. MOST WILL
BE WET...ESPECIALLY OVER CENTRAL AND WRN CO. HOWEVER...DRY STORMS
WILL BE LIKELY OVER ERN PARTS OF THE STATE WHERE IT WILL GET HOT
WITH INVERTED-V TYPE SOUNDING STRUCTURES. ALTHOUGH STORMS MAY BE DRY
AND WITH GUSTY WINDS...RECENT PRECIPITATION WILL HELP MITIGATE
OVERALL FIRE THREAT.
..JEWELL.. 06/27/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...