Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 270853
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0353 AM CDT TUE JUN 27 2006
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF UT...WRN CO AND NRN AZ...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WRN CONUS WITH UPPER HIGH CENTERED
   OVER THE GREAT BASIN. WEAK DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE
   RIDGE...ALONG WITH MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
   THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS WRN CO...NM AND AZ. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
   ON THE LARGE SCALE...BUT STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS AND DRY LIGHTNING WILL
   RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS OVER THE ERN GREAT BASIN INTO WRN
   CO AND NRN AZ. MORE ISOLATED DRY THUNDER WILL OCCUR OVER THE WRN
   GREAT BASIN AS WELL AS OVER PORTIONS OF NRN CA AND OREGON.
   
   ELSEWHERE...NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP THE PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY
   DRY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER AR. LOW RH WITH LIGHT NLY
   WINDS WILL RESULT FROM ERN TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...WHERE
   DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF UT...WRN CO AND NRN AZ...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY LIGHTNING WITH GUSTY WINDS / LOW RH
   
   MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS STATES...SHIFTING NWD
   BENEATH UPPER HIGH. WEAK WINDS ALOFT ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING WILL
   CAUSE SCATTERED STORMS TO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON. COVERAGE OF
   STORMS MAY BE ENHANCED BY A WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT WILL ROTATE AROUND
   THE RIDGE ACROSS ERN UT INTO CO. WHILE STORMS WILL BE WET AND MORE
   NUMEROUS TO THE SOUTH OF THE CRITICAL AREA...LOWER RH LEVELS BENEATH
   CLOUD BASE WILL EXIST FARTHER NW INTO UT WHERE STORMS WILL BE MOSTLY
   DRY.
   
   AWAY FROM STORMS...MIN RH LEVELS WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS WITH LIGHT
   WINDS. AROUND STORMS...STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR WITH THE THREAT OF
   DRY LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR.
   
   ...MUCH OF NV...NRN CA...SRN OREGON AND SWRN ID...
   DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY...THOUGH COVERAGE SHOULD
   REMAIN MUCH MORE ISOLATED THAN OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AREA. FAVORED
   AREAS WILL INCLUDE THE SRN SIERRA AS WELL AS FAR NRN CA IN THE HIGH
   TERRAIN. LOW LEVEL RH WILL BE VERY LOW AND WITH A MDT HAINES
   INDEX...LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE FIRES.
   LARGE SCALE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...BUT LOCALLY GUSTY NEAR STORM
   OUTFLOW.
   
   ...ERN TX INTO MS...
   IT WILL BE WARM AND VERY DRY TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN FROM
   THE NW. NLY WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WILL HELP DECREASE RH LEVELS INTO
   THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE. GIVEN DROUGHT CONDITIONS...AREAS THAT HAVE
   RECEIVED LITTLE RAIN WILL SEE ENHANCED THREAT OF FIRES...ALTHOUGH
   WEAK WINDS WILL MITIGATE OVERALL THREAT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/27/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 271001
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0501 AM CDT TUE JUN 27 2006
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN OREGON...NWRN AND CENTRAL
   NV...SWRN UT...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EWD ON WED WHILE ERN U.S. UPPER
   TROUGH BEGINS TO LIFT NEWD. AT THE SURFACE...PRESSURES WILL LOWER
   ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND SOUTH WINDS
   INCREASE. THE MAIN FOCUS FOR FIRE WEATHER WILL BE ACROSS THE GREAT
   BASIN AND PACIFIC NW...WHERE A COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE SHIFTING WINDS
   AND WILL ALSO CONCENTRATE AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG
   WINDS. AWAY FROM THE FRONT...STORMS WILL BE MORE ISOLATED BUT DRY
   INTO THE GREAT BASIN. ELSEWHERE...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL
   PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SRN PLAINS AS WELL AS THE LOWER MS
   VALLEY WHERE HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIST. WINDS WILL PICK UP ACROSS THE
   TX PANHANDLE INTO WRN KS WITH WEAK LOW OVER SERN CO.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN OREGON...NWRN AND CENTRAL
   NV...SWRN UT...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY LIGHTNING...WIND SHIFT WITH FRONT(NWRN
   AREAS)
   
   A POCKET OF HOT AND DRY AIR WITH MDT TO HIGH HAINES WILL EXIST
   ACROSS CENTRAL AND ERN NV AS WELL AS MUCH OF UT WED AFTERNOON. THIS
   WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE BACKGROUND ENVIRONMENT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORM
   ACTIVITY AS MOISTURE SHIFTS NWD THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN ATOP THIS
   DRY AIR. WITH SUCH A DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER...ANY RAIN WILL BE
   LIGHT...AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STORMS
   OVER CENTRAL NV INTO SWRN UT.  FARTHER NW...A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND
   FROM SERN OREGON INTO NWRN NV. MORE NUMEROUS STORMS WILL BE
   CONCENTRATED ALONG THIS FRONT...WITH POSSIBLY A STRONG WIND SHIFT
   DUE TO CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED FRONTAL ZONE. THE FRONT WILL BE MOVING
   SLOWLY SEWD.
   
   AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SURFACE WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL BE COMMON
   ACROSS MOST OF NV AND UT...AS WELL AS INTO NWRN AZ. HUMIDITY
   LEVELS...IN GENERAL...ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 15-20 PERCENT...EXCEPT
   HIGHER NEAR STORMS.
   
   ...ERN CO...
   NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE STATE OF CO. MOST WILL
   BE WET...ESPECIALLY OVER CENTRAL AND WRN CO.  HOWEVER...DRY STORMS
   WILL BE LIKELY OVER ERN PARTS OF THE STATE WHERE IT WILL GET HOT
   WITH INVERTED-V TYPE SOUNDING STRUCTURES. ALTHOUGH STORMS MAY BE DRY
   AND WITH GUSTY WINDS...RECENT PRECIPITATION WILL HELP MITIGATE
   OVERALL FIRE THREAT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/27/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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