Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 280902
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0402 AM CDT WED JUN 28 2006
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NV...SWRN UT...
...SYNOPSIS...
MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER HIGH
WHICH WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AREA. DRY THUNDERSTORMS
WILL THUS PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE GREAT BASIN...WITH WETTER STORMS
ELSEWHERE. TO THE E...NWLY UPPER FLOW WILL KEEP IT DRY ACROSS THE
MS VALLEY AND INTO THE SERN STATES WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS BUT LOW
RH. LOWERING PRESSURES ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL HELP INDUCE
STRENGTHENING SLY WINDS FROM W TX INTO WRN KS...BUT SPEEDS WILL NOT
BE PARTICULARLY STRONG ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE HOT AND DRY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NV...SWRN UT...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY LIGHTNING
SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM ACROSS MUCH OF THE WRN
U.S. THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE SEVERAL AREAS WILL SEE A THREAT FOR
LIGHTNING CAUSED FIRE STARTS...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR DRY STORMS
APPEARS TO BE OVER CENTRAL/ERN NV INTO WRN UT WHERE CLOUD BASES WILL
BE HIGHER. STORMS WILL FAVOR THE HIGH TERRAIN AND SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY
NWD ACROSS NV JUST WEST OF UPPER HIGH CENTER...WHILE STORMS OVER UT
SHOULD REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY. THESE ARE AVERAGE EXPECTED STORMS
MOTIONS...BUT A FEW STORMS COULD MOVE IN ANY DIRECTION DUE TO VERY
WEAK FLOW ALOFT.
...CENTRAL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS...
ISOLATED DRY THUNDER WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS ERN CO LATE TODAY. BY
LATE AFTERNOON...MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP AND WITH STRONG
HEATING...A FEW STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP OVER SERN CO. GIVEN VERY WARM
AND DRY AIR MASS...THEY WILL BE DRY WITH GUSTY WINDS. A GREATER
NUMBER OF STORMS WILL EXIST OVER THE MTNS OF CENTRAL CO...BUT MOST
OF THESE SHOULD BE WET.
SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO LOWERING PRESSURE TO THE
WEST. SPEEDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH WILL OCCUR AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 90S. RH WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS OVER ERN
CO AND WRN KS AND TO AROUND 20-25 PERCENT OVER THE TX PANHANDLE AND
WRN OK. AREAS SUCH AS SRN OK AS WELL AS THE OK AND TX PANHANDLES
HAVE RELATIVELY HIGH KBDI VALUES. THUS...WHILE THREAT IS NOT
CRITICAL...STRONG DRYING TODAY MAY POSE A MARGINAL FIRE THREAT BY
LATE AFTERNOON WHERE FUELS REMAIN DRY.
..JEWELL.. 06/28/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 280955
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0455 AM CDT WED JUN 28 2006
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
NRN EDGE OF UPPER RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVES OUT OF THE WRN GREAT BASIN INTO ID AND MT. THIS WILL INCREASE
UPPER FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND SHUNT UPPER HIGH CENTER
FARTHER S INTO AZ AND NM WITH THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY...ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA. TO THE EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE LOWER
MS VALLEY AND SERN STATES AND WILL CAUSE RH VALUES TO BE VERY LOW
BUT WITH LIGHT WINDS.
...UT/WRN CO...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST...WITH
THE MOST CONCENTRATED AREAS WITH UPPER SHORTWAVE INTO OREGON ID AND
MT...AND ALSO FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM OF AZ INTO WRN AND NRN
NM...ALTHOUGH MOST OF THESE STORMS WILL BE WET. THE BEST CHANCE AT
DRY STORMS WILL BE OVER CENTRAL UT AND WRN CO WHERE SUB CLOUD RH
LAYER WILL BE DRIER. A DRY THUNDER CRITICAL MAY BE ISSUED NEXT DAY 1
ONCE CONFIDENCE IN PRIME DRY THUNDER LOCATION BECOMES MORE EVIDENT.
...PLAINS STATES...
IT WILL BE VERY WARM AND DRY ON THU AS SLY WINDS INCREASE. THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM SRN NEB INTO OK WITH SPEEDS OF 15-20
MPH. RH LEVELS WILL DECREASE TO 20-25 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING FROM
WRN ND SWD TO TX. AREAS SUCH AS N TX AS WELL AS ND AND NWRN MN HAVE
HAD LITTLE RAINFALL RECENTLY...THUS KBDI VALUES ARE INCREASING.
...LOWER MS VALLEY...
WINDS WILL BE WEAKER FROM ERN TX INTO AR/LA/MS/AL/NRN FL...BUT RH
WILL BE VERY LOW FROM 25-35 PERCENT. DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE. WARM
TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S AND STRONG HEATING WILL PRODUCE DEEP MIXING
LAYERS BY LATE AFTERNOON. GIVEN MANY DAYS OF LOW DEWPOINTS...FIRE
THREAT LIKELY INCREASING AS FUELS CONTINUE TO DRY.
..JEWELL.. 06/28/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...