Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 290901
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0401 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2006
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN QUITE SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FEW DAYS WITH
AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST AND A TROUGH ACROSS THE EAST. MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN IN SPOTS BENEATH THE RIDGE WHICH WILL KEEP THE CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS STATES. SOME WILL BE DRY IN
CO AND UT...WHILE WETTING RAINS MOVE ACROSS OREGON AND IDAHO.
NRN EDGE OF UPPER RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN/FLATTEN AS UPPER SHORTWAVE
MOVES FROM ID INTO MT. THIS WAVE WILL HELP A SURFACE FRONT MOVE SEWD
WITH TIME...EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL ND INTO WRN SD. WINDS WILL SHIFT
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT.
ACROSS THE PLAINS...SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AS
PRESSURES LOWER OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. RH WILL BE LOW IN THE
PLAINS...BUT ALSO ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND TOWARD THE GULF
COAST AREA WHERE HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESIDE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
THOUGH GULF COAST STATES.
...CENTRAL UT INTO WRN CO...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY BY AFTERNOON...MAINLY ALONG
THE WASATCH MTNS. MORE ISOLATED STORMS WILL OCCUR OVER WRN CO. SOME
OF THESE STORMS WILL BE DRY...BUT SOME WILL CONTAIN RAIN AS WELL.
SURFACE RH LEVELS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY LOW...DUE IN PART TO
SEVERAL DAYS OF MOISTURE AND STORMS. THE DRIEST CONDITIONS WILL BE
OVER ERN UT INTO WRN CO...BUT THIS IS WHERE STORMS WILL BE MORE
ISOLATED. A HIGHER CONCENTRATION OF STORMS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
WASATCH MTNS...BUT RH LEVELS WILL BE A BIT HIGHER HERE WITH MORE
RAIN. THUS...DRY THUNDER SITUATION WILL BE MARGINAL TODAY...BUT A
FEW FIRE STARTS MAY OCCUR ESPECIALLY WHERE NO RAIN HAS FALLEN AS OF
LATE.
LATE IN THE DAY...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS NRN INTO
CNTRL UT. THIS WILL BRING A WIND SHIFT TO NWLY...BUT SPEEDS WILL NOT
BE VERY STRONG...AVERAGING NEAR 10 MPH. ALSO...RH LEVELS WILL BE
RECOVERED BY THIS TIME.
...ERN MT INTO ND...
IT WILL BE VERY WARM TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 90S AND
RH LEVELS DROPPING TO NEAR 15 PERCENT OVER MT TO 20-25 PERCENT
CENTRAL ND AND SD. WINDS WILL BEGIN AS SLY AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT
WILL SHIFT GRADUALLY TO WLY S AT 10-15 MPH.
...NEB/WRN KS/OK AND TX PANHANDLES...
IT WILL BE WINDY AND DRY TODAY WITH SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH AND RH OF
15-20 PERCENT. THIS WILL PRODUCE MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS
IN AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED LITTLE PRECIPITATION AS OF LATE...MAINLY
ACROSS THE ERN TX PANHANDLE.
...SRN OK/NRN TX EWD INTO LOWER MS VALLEY AND GULF COAST STATES...
PRESENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS VERY DRY AS
TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S. RH LEVELS WILL DROP
INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE FROM TX INTO GA AND THE FL PANHANDLE.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THOUGH...WHICH WILL MITIGATE FIRE THREAT.
STILL...FUELS ARE BECOMING VERY DRY WITH INCREASING THREAT OF FIRE
STARTS.
..JEWELL.. 06/29/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 290939
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0439 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2006
VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE NW CA COAST INTO
OREGON...AND WILL HELP TRIGGER ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH
WILL CONTAIN WETTING RAIN. FARTHER E...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL BE
RIDING EWD ALONG THE NRN EDGE OF THE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS MT AND INTO
ND...BRINGING RAIN THERE AS WELL. FARTHER S BENEATH THE
RIDGE...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN OCCUR MAINLY OVER
CENTRAL CO...THE MOGOLLON RIM IN AZ AND THE WASATCH OF UT. THESE
WILL BE A MIXTURE OF WET AND DRY STORMS.
PRESENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SERN STATES WILL AGAIN HELP
PRODUCE WARM AND DRY WINDS ACROSS THE PLAINS...WHILE KEEPING THE
LOWER MS VALLEY AND DEEP SOUTH HOT...DRY AND CALM.
...ERN NV / SRN UT / WRN CO / NRN AZ...
SCATTERED STORMS WILL AGAIN BE LIKELY...FOCUSED OVER THE WASATCH IN
UT...THE HIGH TERRAIN IN E CENTRAL NV...THE MOGOLLON RIM IN AZ...AND
THE MTNS OF WRN CO. GIVEN SEVERAL DAYS OF MOISTURE IN THE
AREA...OVERALL DRY THREAT IS DECREASING WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES AROUND 0.75 TO 1.00 INCHES. HAINES INDEX WILL APPROACH HIGH
OVER NRN AZ INTO SRN NV AND SRN CA THOUGH...SUGGESTING ANY LIGHTNING
STARTED IGNITIONS MAY INCREASE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
...NRN TX/SRN OK...
WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY TO 10-15 MPH AS HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
ARE MAINTAINED. KBDI VALUES ARE HIGH IN THESE AREAS WITH LITTLE RAIN
IN THE PAST MONTH. THUS...COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...RH OF
20-30 PERCENT AND INCREASED WINDS WILL PRODUCE NEAR CRITICAL
CONDITIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
...LOWER MS VALLEY AND GULF COAST AREA...
PRESENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS VERY WARM AND DRY
WITH ANOTHER DAY OF INCREASED FIRE ACTIVITY LIKELY. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT...THEREBY MITIGATING THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT WILDFIRE
SPREAD...ALTHOUGH DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL FOSTER NEW STARTS.
..JEWELL.. 06/29/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...