Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 290901
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0401 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2006
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN QUITE SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FEW DAYS WITH
   AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST AND A TROUGH ACROSS THE EAST. MOISTURE
   WILL REMAIN IN SPOTS BENEATH THE RIDGE WHICH WILL KEEP THE CHANCE OF
   THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS STATES.  SOME WILL BE DRY IN
   CO AND UT...WHILE WETTING RAINS MOVE ACROSS OREGON AND IDAHO.
   
   NRN EDGE OF UPPER RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN/FLATTEN AS UPPER SHORTWAVE
   MOVES FROM ID INTO MT. THIS WAVE WILL HELP A SURFACE FRONT MOVE SEWD
   WITH TIME...EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL ND INTO WRN SD. WINDS WILL SHIFT
   WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT. 
   
   ACROSS THE PLAINS...SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AS
   PRESSURES LOWER OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. RH WILL BE LOW IN THE
   PLAINS...BUT ALSO ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND TOWARD THE GULF
   COAST AREA WHERE HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESIDE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
   THOUGH GULF COAST STATES.
   
   ...CENTRAL UT INTO WRN CO...
   SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY BY AFTERNOON...MAINLY ALONG
   THE WASATCH MTNS. MORE ISOLATED STORMS WILL OCCUR OVER WRN CO. SOME
   OF THESE STORMS WILL BE DRY...BUT SOME WILL CONTAIN RAIN AS WELL.
   SURFACE RH LEVELS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY LOW...DUE IN PART TO
   SEVERAL DAYS OF MOISTURE AND STORMS. THE DRIEST CONDITIONS WILL BE
   OVER ERN UT INTO WRN CO...BUT THIS IS WHERE STORMS WILL BE MORE
   ISOLATED. A HIGHER CONCENTRATION OF STORMS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
   WASATCH MTNS...BUT RH LEVELS WILL BE A BIT HIGHER HERE WITH MORE
   RAIN. THUS...DRY THUNDER SITUATION WILL BE MARGINAL TODAY...BUT A
   FEW FIRE STARTS MAY OCCUR ESPECIALLY WHERE NO RAIN HAS FALLEN AS OF
   LATE.
   
   LATE IN THE DAY...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS NRN INTO
   CNTRL UT. THIS WILL BRING A WIND SHIFT TO NWLY...BUT SPEEDS WILL NOT
   BE VERY STRONG...AVERAGING NEAR 10 MPH. ALSO...RH LEVELS WILL BE
   RECOVERED BY THIS TIME.
   
   ...ERN MT INTO ND...
   IT WILL BE VERY WARM TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 90S AND
   RH LEVELS DROPPING TO NEAR 15 PERCENT OVER MT TO 20-25 PERCENT
   CENTRAL ND AND SD. WINDS WILL BEGIN AS SLY AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT
   WILL SHIFT GRADUALLY TO WLY S AT 10-15 MPH.
   
   ...NEB/WRN KS/OK AND TX PANHANDLES...
   IT WILL BE WINDY AND DRY TODAY WITH SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH AND RH OF
   15-20 PERCENT. THIS WILL PRODUCE MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS
   IN AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED LITTLE PRECIPITATION AS OF LATE...MAINLY
   ACROSS THE ERN TX PANHANDLE.
   
   ...SRN OK/NRN TX EWD INTO LOWER MS VALLEY AND GULF COAST STATES...
   PRESENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS VERY DRY AS
   TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S. RH LEVELS WILL DROP
   INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE FROM TX INTO GA AND THE FL PANHANDLE.
   WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THOUGH...WHICH WILL MITIGATE FIRE THREAT.
   STILL...FUELS ARE BECOMING VERY DRY WITH INCREASING THREAT OF FIRE
   STARTS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 290939
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0439 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2006
   
   VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE NW CA COAST INTO
   OREGON...AND WILL HELP TRIGGER ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH
   WILL CONTAIN WETTING RAIN. FARTHER E...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL BE
   RIDING EWD ALONG THE NRN EDGE OF THE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS MT AND INTO
   ND...BRINGING RAIN THERE AS WELL. FARTHER S BENEATH THE
   RIDGE...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN OCCUR MAINLY OVER
   CENTRAL CO...THE MOGOLLON RIM IN AZ AND THE WASATCH OF UT. THESE
   WILL BE A MIXTURE OF WET AND DRY STORMS. 
   
   PRESENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SERN STATES WILL AGAIN HELP
   PRODUCE WARM AND DRY WINDS ACROSS THE PLAINS...WHILE KEEPING THE
   LOWER MS VALLEY AND DEEP SOUTH HOT...DRY AND CALM.
   
   ...ERN NV / SRN UT / WRN CO / NRN AZ...
   SCATTERED STORMS WILL AGAIN BE LIKELY...FOCUSED OVER THE WASATCH IN
   UT...THE HIGH TERRAIN IN E CENTRAL NV...THE MOGOLLON RIM IN AZ...AND
   THE MTNS OF WRN CO. GIVEN SEVERAL DAYS OF MOISTURE IN THE
   AREA...OVERALL DRY THREAT IS DECREASING WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
   VALUES AROUND 0.75 TO 1.00 INCHES. HAINES INDEX WILL APPROACH HIGH
   OVER NRN AZ INTO SRN NV AND SRN CA THOUGH...SUGGESTING ANY LIGHTNING
   STARTED IGNITIONS MAY INCREASE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
   
   ...NRN TX/SRN OK...
   WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY TO 10-15 MPH AS HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
   ARE MAINTAINED. KBDI VALUES ARE HIGH IN THESE AREAS WITH LITTLE RAIN
   IN THE PAST MONTH. THUS...COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...RH OF
   20-30 PERCENT AND INCREASED WINDS WILL PRODUCE NEAR CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
   
   ...LOWER MS VALLEY AND GULF COAST AREA...
   PRESENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS VERY WARM AND DRY
   WITH ANOTHER DAY OF INCREASED FIRE ACTIVITY LIKELY. WINDS WILL BE
   LIGHT...THEREBY MITIGATING THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT WILDFIRE
   SPREAD...ALTHOUGH DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL FOSTER NEW STARTS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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