Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 180858
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 AM CDT TUE JUL 18 2006
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN ID...CENTRAL AND ERN
MT...CENTRAL AND NRN WY...WRN DAKOTAS/NEB....
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER JET WILL SINK SEWD ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES AND PLAINS...WITH
SURFACE FRONT/WIND SHIFT MOVING OUT OF ERN MT/WY INTO THE WRN
DAKOTAS BY AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...STRONG SLY WINDS WILL OCCUR AHEAD
OF THE FRONT INTO CENTRAL ND/SD/NEB WHILE TEMPERATURES REMAIN HOT.
ISOLATED WET AND DRY STORMS ARE LIKELY LATE IN THE PERIOD ACROSS SRN
MT.
ELSEWHERE...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NWWD ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN...WITH BOTH WET AND DRY STORMS ACROSS NV AND WRN UT.
IT WILL REMAIN VERY HOT BENEATH UPPER RIDGE...FROM CA EWD INTO THE
PLAINS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN ID...CENTRAL AND ERN
MT...CENTRAL AND NRN WY...WRN DAKOTAS/NEB....
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY AND SHIFTING WINDS WITH FRONT--MDT TO HIGH
HAINES--A FEW DRY STORMS
A STRONG UPPER JET WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION TODAY...AND WILL HELP
PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS OVER A LARGE AREA. A SURFACE FRONT
WILL STRETCH FROM ERN MT INTO NRN WY THIS MORNING...AND WILL MOVE
EWD INTO WRN DAKOTAS TO CENTRAL WY THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG WIND
SHIFT WILL OCCUR WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE...FROM SOUTH AT 15-20 MPH TO
WNWLY AT 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FARTHER W BEHIND THE
FRONT...WLY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH AND GUSTY ARE LIKELY...FROM SERN ID
INTO WRN MT AND ACROSS WY. RH LEVELS WILL DROP INTO THE 10-15
PERCENT RANGE OVER THE ENTIRE REGION WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER
100F FROM ERN WY INTO WRN DAKOTAS AND NEB. THESE WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS MAY HELP ANY NEW FIRES...POSSIBLY STARTED BY LIGHTNING
THAT MOVED ACROSS MT LAST NIGHT...TO GROW.
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE MTNS
OF SRN MT DUE TO WNWLY UPSLOPE FLOW AND STRONG HEATING. STRONG WINDS
ALOFT WILL CARRY THESE STORMS QUICKLY TO THE E AT 30-40
MPH...MINIMIZING CHANCES OF RAIN. FARTHER E ALONG THE FRONT...THERE
IS A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONGER INSTABILITY. THESE
STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH WIND HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN.
...ERN DAKOTAS INTO NWRN MN...
LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL REMAIN WELL WEST OF THE AREA UNTIL LATE IN
THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS. RH
LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO 25-30 PERCENT WHICH WOULD BE MARGINAL
FOR A CRITICAL ISSUANCE. HOWEVER...THESE AREAS HAVE RECEIVED LITTLE
PRECIPITATION RECENTLY...THUS NEAR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON.
...NV...WRN UT...CA SIERRA...
ISOLATED STORMS ARE LIKELY OVER THE SIERRA WITH SCATTERED STORMS
INTO ERN NV AND UT. WETTING RAINS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE SRN
SIERRA INTO SRN NV AND UT...BUT STORMS WILL BE MORE DRY FARTHER N
INTO CENTRAL AND ERN NV AS WELL AS NRN AND WRN UT...BUT MORE
ISOLATED AS WELL. STORM MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
WILL OCCUR.
...SRN OK AND NRN/NWRN TX...
IT WILL AGAIN BE EXTREMELY HOT TODAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES OF
105-110 F. RH WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S AT PEAK
HEATING...WITH SLY WINDS OF 5-10 MPH. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT...A HIGH HAINES INDEX COMBINED WITH PERSISTENT DROUGHT WILL
INCREASE FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON.
..JEWELL.. 07/18/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 181000
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0500 AM CDT TUE JUL 18 2006
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NWRN OK...NERN TX PANHANDLE..CNTRL
KS/NEB...
...SYNOPSIS...
WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS SEVERAL DAYS WITH
UPPER RIDGE AXIS FROM CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS...AND LOW
AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING ALONG THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER.
EXTREMELY HOT CONDITIONS WITH LOW RH AND HIGH WINDS WILL MATERIALIZE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SRN PLAINS WITH TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT. OUT WEST...SCATTERED MONSOONAL STORMS WILL PERSIST OVER
THE FOUR CORNERS STATES AND GREAT BASIN...WITH SOME STORMS DRY. IT
WILL BE ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES/PLAINS DUE TO
COLD FRONT PASSAGE BUT WINDS WILL DECREASE WITH A MARGINAL FIRE
THREAT DUE TO LOW RH.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NWRN OK...NERN TX PANHANDLE..CNTRL
KS/NEB...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: EXTREME HEAT...HIGH WINDS...LOW RH
UPPER RIDGE CENTER WILL REMAIN OVERHEAD WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR A
CONTINUATION OF EXTREMELY HOT TEMPERATURES OF 105-110 DEGREES. WINDS
WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH AT 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AS
THERMAL LOW OVER ERN CO DEEPENS. ALTHOUGH SOME AREAS ARE STILL IN
GREENUP...SIGNIFICANT FIRE THREAT WILL EXIST IN AREAS THAT HAVE
RELATIVELY DRY FUELS.
...ERN MT/WY...DAKOTAS AND WRN NEB...
A CONTINUATION OF WARM...DRY...AND LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL
KEEP FIRE THREAT HIGH BUT LESS THAN PREVIOUS DAY. IN A POST FRONTAL
AIR MASS...STRONG HEATING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO ONCE AGAIN
BREAK 100 DEGREES INTO CENTRAL SD AND WRN NEB...WITH HIGHS ABOVE 90
ELSEWHERE. RH WILL BE UP TODAY...RANGING FROM 20-30 PERCENT OVER ND
AND CENTRAL SD...TO 15-20 PERCENT ERN MT/WY. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD
REMAIN AT OR BELOW 15 MPH...ALTHOUGH HIGHER GUSTS ARE LIKELY
ESPECIALLY OVER THE DAKOTAS AND WRN NEB.
...SIERRA INTO NV AND WRN UT...
SCATTERED STORMS WILL FORM WITH AMPLE PRECIPITABLE WATER REMAINING.
MOISTURE VALUES ALONG WITH FORECAST SLOW STORM MOTIONS SUGGEST
STORMS WILL BE MOSTLY WET. NEVERTHELESS...GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING
WILL OCCUR WITH MOST STORMS...WHICH COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY CRITICAL
CONDITIONS NEAR ONGOING FIRES.
...SRN AND WRN OK...CENTRAL AND NRN TX...AR...
IT WILL BE VERY HOT WITH HIGHS NEAR 105 COMMON. FIRE THREAT WILL BE
MITIGATED BY GENERALLY WEAK WINDS...ESPECIALLY OVER AR AND SERN OK.
HOWEVER...RECENT LACK OF RAINFALL SUGGESTS ENHANCED THREAT OF FIRES
EVEN IN THESE AREAS. FARTHER S AND W...WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AND
NEAR 15 MPH. THIS...COMBINED WITH DROUGHT AND RH OF 20-30 PERCENT
WILL MAKE FORE RELATIVELY HIGH FIRE THREAT BY AFTERNOON.
..JEWELL.. 07/18/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...