Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 230852
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 AM CDT SUN JUL 23 2006
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE WEST THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING OVER MUCH OF
THE REGION. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE
RIDGE AND AID IN SCT-NMRS TSTMS DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
ALTHOUGH A FEW DRY TSTMS MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NRN GREAT BASIN
AND INTERIOR PAC NW...LACK OF A STRONGER FORCING MECHANISM AND
INCREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL DRY TSTM
EVENT. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE NATION SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EWD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. IN THE WAKE OF THE SFC HIGH AN UPPER
TROUGH WILL MOVE SEWD OUT OF CANADA AND SUPPORT INCREASING WINDS
OVER THE PLAINS REGION.
....ERN ORE/WRN AND SRN ID...
WITH RELATIVELY WEAK TO NON-EXISTENT MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS...LITTLE
TO NO MID LEVEL COOLING AND INCREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE/PRECIP
WATER...EXPECT CONVECTION OVER THE REGION TO INITIALLY START OUT DRY
BUT TRANSITION RELATIVELY QUICKLY TO A MIX OF WET/DRY. WITHOUT A
MORE FOCUSED AND SIGNIFICANT DRY TSTM EVENT EXPECTED HAVE DOWNGRADED
THE CRITICAL OUTLOOK AREA.
...INTERIOR NRN/CENTRAL CA...
ISOLATED TO SCT TSTMS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE COASTAL RANGES AND
MOVE INTO THE IMMEDIATE FOOTHILLS/VALLEYS FROM CENTRAL INTO NRN CA
TODAY AND TONIGHT. GIVEN VERY HOT TEMPERATURES /105-115 DEG F/ SOME
OF THESE STORMS MAY BE INITIALLY DRY. GIVEN RELATIVELY MOIST MID
LEVELS THE EXPECTED TRANSITION TO WET TSTMS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
...CENTRAL PLAINS...
SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS PRESSURE FALLS COMMENCE IN THE WAKE
OF A SFC HIGH PRESSURE AND AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TOPPING THE WRN
RIDGE AND MOVING SEWD INTO MT/ND. WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN
THE 90S ALONG WITH MIN RH READINGS AROUND 25 PERCENT WILL AID IN AN
INCREASED FIRE DANGER. HOWEVER SUSTAINED SLY WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW 20 MPH.
...MT...
BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT AND NORTH OF A SFC LOW OVER WY...NLY WINDS
FROM 10-20 MPH WILL DEVELOP. VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S TO
LOWER 100S AND LOW DEWPTS WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-20
PERCENT. LACK OF STRONGER UPPER SYSTEM/SFC WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
..CROSBIE.. 07/23/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 230853
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 AM CDT SUN JUL 23 2006
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST WILL SLOWLY SHIFT SWD AS SEVERAL WEAK
UPPER TROUGHS MOVE FROM THE NRN PACIFIC INTO THE NRN ROCKIES/SWRN
CANADA. MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER
RIDGE SUPPORTING SCT-NMRS TSTMS. A FEW TSTMS MAY BE DRY...GIVEN THE
VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AT THE SFC OVER LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE GREAT
BASIN AND NRN ROCKIES...HOWEVER MOST TSTMS ARE ANTICIPATED TO
TRANSITION TO WET WITH TIME. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...SLY WINDS
WILL INCREASE OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS. ALONG WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...THE LACK OF SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE RETURN WILL LEAD TO
MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-25 PERCENT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS.
...ERN WA/NRN ID...
AS THE UPPER RIDGE GETS SHUNTED SWD...INCREASING MID LEVEL FLOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE AREA. IN ADDITION MID LEVEL COOLING WILL OCCUR
HOWEVER LITTLE SENSIBLE COOLING WILL OCCUR IN THE LOW LEVELS.
HOWEVER WITH RELATIVELY HIGH AMTS OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE...ANY TSTMS
SHOULD TRANSITION TO WET WITH TIME. THUS ONLY ISOLATED DRY TSTMS ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR AND THESE ARE ANTICIPATED TO OCCUR ON THE NRN
FRINGES OF THE MID LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY OVER ERN WA/NRN ID.
IN ADDITION BREEZY WLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE AND WRN BASIN WITH THE AID OF AN INCREASING
PRESSURE GRADIENT.
...PORTIONS OF INTERIOR CA...
WITH FALLING MID LEVEL HEIGHTS THE SFC THERMAL TROUGH SHOULD MOVE
INTO THE CENTRAL VALLEY DURING THE PERIOD. AS A RESULT...THE SEA
BREEZE WILL GATHER STRENGTH DURING THE DAY MONDAY. LITTLE SENSIBLE
COOLING WILL BE FELT WELL INLAND...BUT AN INCREASING PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL AID IN SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 20 MPH FOR A FEW HR
PERIOD IN FAVORABLE LOCATIONS. THESE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH MIN RH
READINGS FROM 20-25 PERCENT DUE TO TEMPERATURES IN THE 95-105 RANGE
TO ENHANCE THE FIRE DANGER.
...CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OVER NEB/SD AS SEVERAL MID LEVEL
IMPULSES MOVE EWD ATOP THE WRN UPPER RIDGE INTO THE NRN/CENTRAL
PLAINS. THE RESULTANT STRENGTHENING SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
SUPPORT SUSTAINED SLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH. LACK OF ANY MOISTURE
RETURN AND WARMING TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 90S WILL PRODUCE MIN
RH READINGS FROM 20-25 PERCENT.
..CROSBIE.. 07/23/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...