Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 040907
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0407 AM CDT FRI AUG 04 2006
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR NRN NEB...SD...SERN ND AND
NWRN MN...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NRN AND WRN MT AND NRN
ID...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR DRY THUNDER ACROSS SWRN MT...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG SEWD OUT OF CANADA AND INTO THE MT
TODAY...INCREASING WLY WIND SPEEDS. AN AREA OF MOISTURE WILL ALSO
MOVE NWD AROUND THE UPPER RIDGE INTO SWRN MT...CAUSING SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY...WHICH WILL HAVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS. FARTHER E...SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN OVER THE WRN DAKOTAS AND
WILL CAUSE VERY STRONG SURFACE WINDS TO DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA...WITH LOW RH.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FAR NRN NEB...SD...SERN ND AND NWRN
MN...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY BY MID MORNING WITH A STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT IN PLACE. SUSTAINED SLY WIND SPEEDS OF 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
OVER 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF NRN NEB...MOST OF SD...AND
SERN ND INTO NWRN MN. RH LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE WITH
HEATING...HOWEVER...SOME CLOUDS AND LIGHT PRECIPITATION OVER NERN SD
THIS MORNING WILL HAMPER HEATING FROM THERE EWD. THESE CLOUDS SHOULD
THIN DURING THE DAY...ALLOWING SOME HEATING. RH LEVELS WILL RANGE
FROM THE UPPER TEENS INTO WRN SD TO 25-30 PERCENT ERN DAKOTAS INTO
WRN MN. MOST OF THE AREA HAS REMAINED DRY...THUS AN ENHANCED FIRE
THREAT.
LATE IN THE DAY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND BRING
RAIN...DECREASING FIRE THREAT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NRN AND WRN MT AND NRN ID...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
A STRONG UPPER JET WILL DIG SEWD INTO MT LATER TODAY. THE WLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL BE MIX DOWNWARD TO THE SURFACE...AND WILL CAUSE SUSTAINED
WLY WINDS NEAR 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY IN THE ELEVATED
TERRAIN. RH LEVELS WILL BE NEAR 15 PERCENT IN GENERAL. LATE IN THE
EVENING...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD THROUGH NRN MT...CAUSING
SHIFTING WINDS TO A NWLY DIRECTION...ALTHOUGH RH WILL INCREASE AS
WELL.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - DRY THUNDER ACROSS SWRN MT...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SCATTERED DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS
AN AREA OF MOISTURE WILL SHIFT NWD INTO SWRN MT TODAY AND WILL
COMBINE WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH AND UPSLOPE TO CAUSE
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. GIVEN A VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIR MASS...AND
STRONG WIND SHEAR ALOFT PRODUCING FAST STORM MOTIONS...MOST OF THESE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY. IN ADDITION...SURFACE WINDS WILL
AVERAGE NEAR 15 MPH OUT OF THE WEST WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ENHANCING
THREAT OF FIRE SPREAD.
...ERN WA...
NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP TODAY DUE TO MODERATE WINDS
AND LOW RH. WHILE THE STRONG WIND FIELDS WILL REMAIN E OF THE
AREA...WLY WINDS OF 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY OVER ERN
WA WITH RH LEVELS DROPPING INTO THE TEENS. HAINES INDEX WILL BE
MDT...THUS...ANY ONGOING FIRES MAY FLARE UP BY LATE AFTERNOON.
...ERN MT AND WY...
WINDS WILL BE LESS IN THESE AREAS ALTHOUGH IT WILL VERY WARM AND
DRY. WIND SPEEDS NEAR 10-15 MPH WILL BE COMMON BY LATE IN THE
DAY...WITH RH LEVELS IN THE LOWER TEENS. IN ADDITION...HAINES INDEX
WILL BE MDT TO HIGH...THUS...ANY ONGOING FIRES WILL HAVE A GOOD
CHANCE OF FLARING UP DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
..JEWELL.. 08/04/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 041003
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0503 AM CDT FRI AUG 04 2006
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR WRN SD...SWRN ND...ERN MT...FAR
NERN WY...
...SYNOPSIS...
A POTENT UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE SWIFTLY SEWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS
INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY ON SAT...WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT PLOWING
INTO WRN MN BY LATE IN THE DAY. BEHIND THIS FRONT...THE AIR MASS
WILL BE DRY...WITH STRONG WINDS AND CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS. ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A POSSIBLE OUTBREAK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. DEEPENING SURFACE LOW TO THE NORTH WILL CAUSE
INCREASING SLY WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH MARGINAL FIRE
THREAT. ELSEWHERE...WARM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST UNDER UPPER HIGH
FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY WWD INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND CA. MONSOONAL
MOISTURE WILL KEEP SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY OVER THE
FOUR CORNERS STATES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - WRN SD...SWRN ND...ERN MT...FAR NERN
WY...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG NWLY WINDS AND LOW RH
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE MISSOURI RIVER BY LATE MORNING
AND WILL CONTINUE EWD...ALLOWING DRIER AIR TO INFILTRATE THE AREA.
NWLY WINDS WILL BE STRONG WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20-25 MPH AND
MUCH HIGHER GUSTS. RH WILL BE MODERATELY LOW...RANGING FROM 15-20
PERCENT OVER CENTRAL AND WRN SD TO NEAR 20-25 PERCENT FARTHER NW
INTO ND AND NERN MT.
...NRN AND WRN OK...NWD INTO WRN KS AND NEBRASKA...
IT WILL BE A MODERATELY WINDY DAY ON SAT AS SURFACE LOW/TROUGH
PASSES TO THE N. SUSTAINED SLY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH WILL BE LIKELY
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS OF
95-100 F...AND IT WILL BE DRY WITH RH INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE.
HOWEVER..RECENT PRECIPITATION HAS LESSENED FIRE THREAT...ALTHOUGH
SOME OF THE DRIER SPOTS WILL HAVE INCREASED THREAT.
..JEWELL.. 08/04/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...