Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 100818
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0318 AM CDT THU AUG 10 2006
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE NRN GREAT
BASIN...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE INTERIOR PAC NW
FOR DRY TSTMS...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW
TODAY. AHEAD OF AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...GUSTY SWLY WINDS COMBINED
WITH LOW RH READINGS WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
OVER THE PORTIONS OF THE NRN GREAT BASIN. IN ADDITION...SCT DRY
TSTMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER ERN ORE INTO WRN ID LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON/OVERNIGHT. FURTHER SE...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE SRN 1/2 OF THE COUNTRY SOUTH OF A COLD
FRONT. INCREASING SLY WINDS ALONG WITH NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES
OVER OK/NRN TX WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NERN CA...NRN NV...MUCH OF ERN
ORE/SWRN ID...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM
10-15 PERCENT
AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH AXIS THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PAC NW
DURING THE PERIOD...SWLY SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER MUCH OF THE
NRN GREAT BASIN AND INTERIOR PAC NW. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN
THE 90S WILL SUPPORT LOW RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT WHICH IS FCST TO MOVE THROUGH ERN ORE DURING THE
AFTERNOON HRS. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH
THE LOW RH READINGS WILL SUPPORT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A NWLY
DIRECTION WITH ONLY SLOWLY IMPROVING RH READINGS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ERN ORE...PORTIONS OF WRN ID...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SCT DRY TSTMS
AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS AND ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT...MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT SCT TSTM DEVELOPMENT. AS WAS
MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS PARAGRAPH...MUCH OF ERN ORE INTO SWRN ID
WILL SEE LOW RH READINGS. THE COMBINATION OF FOCUSED LIFT ALONG THE
FRONT/UPPER TROUGH ABOVE A DEEPLY MIXED AND DRY BOUNDARY LAYER WILL
SUPPORT A CRITICAL DRY TSTM THREAT. TSTMS SHOULD INITIALLY FORM OVER
ERN ORE BEFORE MOVING INTO WRN ID DURING THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT HRS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ALL OF CENTRAL/WRN
OK...NCENTRAL/NWRN TX AND THE ERN TX PANHANDLE...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SWLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
MPH...LONG TERM DROUGHT...MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-20
PERCENT...ISOLATED DRY TSTMS
MODERATE LOW LEVEL JET EARLY THIS MORNING WAS SUPPORTING SUSTAINED
WINDS FROM 10-15 WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 20 MPH. ONLY MODEST RH
RECOVERY WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING BEFORE
ANOTHER HOT DAY OVER MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS. AS THE UPPER TROUGH
OVER THE NRN PLAINS AT THE START OF THE PERIOD MOVES ESEWD INTO THE
UPPER MIDWEST...A COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHED SWD INTO KS. A LOW
PRESSURE AREA IS ANTICIPATED TO BE LOCATED ALONG THE FRONT OVER FAR
NWRN OK/SWRN KS BY THE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL
REMAIN IN NEARLY THE SAME LOCATION AS THE LAST FEW DAYS OVER THE
NCENTRAL GULF COAST. THE RESULTANT PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG WILL
SUPPORT SUSTAINED SSWLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
OVER 25 MPH. GIVEN THE SWLY COMPONENT TO THE SFC WIND FIELDS...VERY
HOT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH NEAR RECORD READINGS FROM 105-110
DEG F. DEEP MIXING AND NEGATIVE FEEDBACK SOIL MOISTURE EFFECTS WILL
SUPPORT DEWPTS IN THE UPPER 40S/LOWER 50S DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-20 PERCENT. DESPITE MARGINAL WIND
FIELDS...THE EXCESSIVE HEAT/LOW RH READINGS AND LONG TERM DROUGHT
SUPPORTS A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED
REMNANT TSTMS MAY MOVE INTO THE ERN TX PANHANDLE/NWRN TX AND FAR WRN
OK LATE TONIGHT. GIVEN RELATIVELY HIGH CLOUD BASES AND LIKELY
WEAKENING TREND...SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LITTLE RAIN.
..CROSBIE.. 08/10/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 100821
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 AM CDT THU AUG 10 2006
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE NRN/ERN GREAT BASIN FOR SCT
DRY TSTMS...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE NRN ROCKIES...NRN HIGH
PLAINS AND THE NRN GREAT BASIN...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NRN TX AND SRN OK...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE PAC NW INTO THE NRN ROCKIES
THROUGH THE PERIOD. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM...MODERATE SWLY
SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP FROM THE NERN GREAT BASIN INTO PORTIONS OF
THE NRN ROCKIES/NRN HIGH PLAINS. ALSO SCT DRY TSTMS WILL ARE
EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND ALONG A COLD FRONT AS IT
MOVES THROUGH THE NRN/NERN GREAT BASIN DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HRS. FURTHER SOUTH...UPPER RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL
OVER MUCH OF THE SRN TIER OF STATES. AS AN UPPER TROUGH SLIDES
AROUND THE UPPER RIDGE INTO THE SERN STATES...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
SWD INTO OK/TX PANHANDLE DURING THE DAY. SOUTH OF THE FRONT...HOT
TEMPERATURES/LOW RH READINGS AND MODEST WINDS WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT OVER SRN OK/NRN TX.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF THE NRN ROCKIES/NRN HIGH
PLAINS SWWD INTO THE NRN GREAT BASIN...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH...MIN RH
READINGS FROM 5-15 PERCENT...COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH AND INCREASING MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL
SUPPORT SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH FROM ERN ID THROUGH MUCH
OF WRN/NRN WY AND THE ERN HALF OF MT. LOW RH READINGS WILL BE
COMMONPLACE WEST OF A LEE TROUGH THAT IS FORECAST TO BE ALONG THE
ND/MT BORDER DURING THE AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM NW-SE
ACROSS WRN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS.
ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL COOL WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...THE
COOLING WILL BE LIMITED. WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WINDS WILL SWITCH
TO NWLY AND REMAIN MODERATE FOR SEVERAL HRS...CONTINUING CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF NV/UT AND SRN ID...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SCT DRY TSTMS
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...SCT TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM
CENTRAL NV NEWD INTO SCENTRAL ID DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS. FCST
SOUNDINGS ARE SUPPORTIVE OF LITTLE RAINFALL REACHING THE SFC WITH
THESE TSTMS. AS THE FRONT PROGRESSES SEWD...DRY TSTMS WILL MOVE INTO
PORTIONS OF SERN ID AND NRN UT DURING THE EVENING HRS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN OK/NRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SSWLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH...MIN RH
READINGS FROM 15-20 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
SOUTH OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT...ANOTHER HOT DAY IS EXPECTED OVER
SRN OK/NRN TX WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 104-109 DEG F RANGE.
DEEP MIXING WILL AGAIN SUPPORT DEWPTS FALLING INTO THE UPPER
40S/LOWER 50S WITH MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-20 PERCENT DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SWLY WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SIMILAR TO DAY
ONE /15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH/. ALTHOUGH THESE WIND SPEEDS
ARE MARGINAL...THE DEGREE OF LONG TERM DROUGHT COUPLED WITH VERY LOW
RH READINGS AND FAIR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY LATE ON DAY ONE SUPPORTS
A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT FOR DAY TWO.
..CROSBIE.. 08/10/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...